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The encirclement of Ukrainian troops south of #pokrovsk in #donetsk is almost sealed after #russia claims to have captured #ukrainsk yesterday as reported by Reuters. Russia continues to advance in this area. Meanwhile in #kursk, the Ukrainian counterattack does not seem significant enough to stop the Russian counterattack that advanced 6 miles deep and captured #snagpost. Western media and officials give pessimistic assessments of the Ukraine war as they admit that military aid has declined significantly from the USA due to dwindling stockpiles. Further, Russian President #putin has issued a decree to increase the Russian army by a further 180,000 troops. US General John Heckler also admitted that contrary to the western aims, the Russian army is not weakened by this war. Instead, it has grown bigger and better. Lastly, Politico publishes a bombshell article blaming #zelensky for Kursk, stating that several Ukrainian commanders objected to the incursion due to a lack of a clear plan and insufficient resources.

On September 11 #Ukraine and #Russia media reported on a counteroffensive by the Russian Armed Forces to the North and West flanks of the #Kursk bulge held by the UAF since August 6th. Russian military sources claim to have seized 10 villages in just two days. Some Ukrainian experts see panic and project that the UAF may have to retreat eventually as Russia amasses significant personnel and armour in Kursk. Reports are still sparse as the counterattack recently occurred. Meanwhile in the East, the salient south of #Porkrovsk has worsened for Ukraine as Russia makes advances near Ukrainsk and Krasnahorivka. Ukraine will have to pull out soon from the Nevelske cauldron and environs or else, they may be encircled. Lastly, Russian advances near #Vulhedar have also put the town in a cauldron.

The Ukrainian incursion into #Kursk has largely stalled while things continue to worsen in Donetsk. Ukrainian media were optimistic at the fact that the Russian advance toward #Porkrovsk seemed to have slowed after the rapid movement from #Ocheretyne to #Novohrodivka. However, that jubilation is short lived. Russians, likely realising their advance was too rapid and that the bulge they created from #Avdiivka to Pokrovsk was too thin and amenable to a counterattack, decided to switch direction and focus on its southern flank. This move combined with an advance toward #Kurkahove has put 4 combat-ready Ukrainian brigades in a possible encirclement. Should Russia capture #Ukrainsk, the situation could be dire for Ukraine, who is already suffering manpower shortages and can't afford to lose anymore.

3 weeks into the surprising Ukrainian invasion of #Kursk and the front line is more or less stabilising. Ukrainians continuously attack but little gains have been made. further, their focus seems to have switched to clearing the territory they have captured and digging in. Meanwhile, despite General #Syrsky claims that the purpose was to divert #Russia from the #donbas, much to the contrary, the Russian advance has accelerated. Russia has advanced 4 km toward #selydove which was supposed to hold back their advance. More alarmingly, the Russians were able to capture #Novohrodivka in a matter of days, another town that was supposed to offer a stronger resistance. As it stands, the Russian army is a mere 3.5 km away from #Pokrovsk and #Myrnohrad. The situation has equally worsened in #Toretsk where the Russians are already in the southern outskirts of the city. Articles from Foreign Affairs and Forbes see the Kursk incursion as a failure with little to no military benefit. In my estimation, the Russians are sending only conscripts and reserves indicating that they are in no rush to push them out. Rather, they wish to fix the Ukrainian troops in Kursk so they're unable to reinforce their teammates in Donetsk.

Despite my recent videos which confirm that most experts see the #Kursk incursion ending in disaster, something still bothers me about it. It's hard to think that #Ukraine would simply squander all that elite manpower and NATO equipment to establish a mere buffer zone in Kursk, as the western media now claims. When I examined the maps again, I came up with another theory. It sounds contradictory, but I say that Ukraine has decided it is unable to defend against the relentless #russia offensive toward #pokrovsk and knows it will lose that main logistical hub and with it, the main supply of the last defensive belt of #donetsk form the Donbas, which comprises #konstantynovka, #druzhivka #kramatorsk and #slovyansk. However, those four cities could still be supplied from the north via the M-03 highway, which runs from slovyansk to #kharkiv city. I believe Ukraine thinks it has a better chance at keeping that supply road open than the one from Pokrovsk. Hence they've sacrificed their defence in the #donbas around pokrovsk in exchange for a northern offensive aiming to keep the supply line to Slovyansk open.

#Ukraine has pulled all reserves gathered from the summer and sent them to #Kursk. This indicates that the UAF considers Kursk to be their main offensive and has gone all in. Russia refuses to divert troops from the #donbas to Kursk and instead is capitalising on the weakened defensive lines near #Pokrovsk and #Toretsk. Pokrovks is described as the most important logistical hub for the Ukrainian army in the whole of the Donbas and they are in jeopardy of losing it because of their decision to focus on Kursk. Several western experts including the esteemed Professor John Mearshreimer were interviewed about the Kursk offensive and without exception they all think it will end badly for Ukraine with Mearshreimer saying that it is a strategic blunder that will only accelerate Ukraine's defeat. A Ukrainian brigade soldier told Politico that the Kursk offensive has made things worse for the defence of Donbas as they are receiving less ammo than before.

Ukrainian advances into the #Kursk region of #Russia have slowed without them being able to capture anything of note. Their invasion into the border region of Russia comprises largely cow country and Ukraine has succeed in capturing several farming villages and a small number of Russian prisoners but nothing of military significance . Meanwhile Russia continues to advance in the #Donbas toward #Pokrovsk and wisely, has not diverted any troops from the east to Kursk. Most analysts think Ukraine was seeking to get more leverage in upcoming peace talks but President #Putin, angered by the Kursk incursion, has removed negotiations off the table with #Ukraine. This makes this offensive seem all the more pointless. If Ukraine is eventually driven out or starts taking too many casualties, this offensive could prove to be the end of the war for Ukraine. This is what Austrian expert told German Magazine Der Spiegel in an interview. Asia Times believes that Ukraine may try to use its capture of the #Sudzha gas metering station as a way to blackmail Russia into exchanging some territory, but Ukrainian officials do not think this can work. In the end, with nothing to show for all this sacrifice in Kursk, the words of the former German Chancellor, Otto Von Bismarck seem true: I have known many armies that have entered Russia but none have ever returned

4 days into a Ukrainian cross border incursion into #Kursk Oblast Russia, many experts including the #Russians are trying to not only figure out the purpose but mobilise enough forces to stall the advance. It is clear that this surprise attack was well planned and took the Russian armed forces by surprise. One the first day the Ukraine Armed Forces were able to capture 10 km and seize several villages. The attacked on two axis to the east and west of the #Sudzha border and captured dozens of Russian border guards. initially estimate dot comprise 300 troops, that number quickly swelled to over 1,000 according to the Chief of the Russian Staff General Gerasimov. In this video, I give general overview of how the invasion occurred and most importantly, what are Ukraine's likely goals. I also give my take on what the real purpose is before discussing the many disadvantages the Ukrainians could face and why this offensive could go very wrong if Russia is able to push the Ukrainian army out without diverting forces from its major offensive to #Pokrovsk. IN fact, the Ukrainian are facing en encirclement near the town of #Nuiyork or #newyork, which badly needed the troops, air defence and equipment that was used in this curious offensive to #Kursk.

Russia is attacking on 3 fronts: one main thrust in central Donbas toward #pokrovsk and two auxiliary attacks in the north near #kharkiv and #kupyansk and in the south near #vulhedar. Russia's greatest success is coming on its main thrust as it approaches a main supply route that would put Ukrainian forces in cities under threat. It is also approaching Pokrovsk which is the most important logistical hub for the UAF in the #donbas. In this video, I analyse the advantages and disadvantages #russia faces on each of these axes as well as the prospect of a #ukraine counteroffensive next year.

More and more people are calling for President Joe Biden to resign. If he is incapable for competing for the election then he cannot be competent to remain as President. The U.S empire is in turmoil. they are lsoing both proxy wars in Ukraine and Israel. Its allies are making deals with America's biggest enemy, China without even consulting the US. Its enemies smell blood and act in brazen ways. If the Democrats believe Kamala is their choice then she should take the helm now and retire Biden. At least she has mental clarity and physical fitness which Biden doesn't have. These are the most perilous times the US empire has seen since its existence and currently, no one knows if Biden is still at the helm. No one has seen him live since he allegedly contracted covid and resigned from the candidacy via social media posts. Israel is about to enter a war with Lebanon despite being admittedly short on ammunition. Now is not the time to have a senile President conducting foreign policy.

Russia's breakthrough toward "Pokrovsk continues and #ukrainian #commanders are concerned about the Porkrovsk- #Konstantynivka highway, which acts as the main supply line for the #ukraine armed forces in #chasivyar and #toretsk . Russian forces are advancing in several areas at the same time, from #newyork to #kupyansk and in the South toward #vulhedar. Further, the Ukrainian #counterattack toward #kharkiv has failed to push the #russian army out and instead, the Russians, after transferring #reserves to the area where able to push the Ukrainians out of #hlyboke. Ukrainian personnel describe the situation as critical and that there is serious chaos on the #frontline and that the hottest situation remains at Pokrovsk. Soldiers are claiming failures in leadership as responsible for the collapse. Meanwhile, Ukrainians watch carefully at the #uselections2024 and fear a #trump victory which would lead to peace talks. The Russians are clearly making a heavy push to seize as much territory they can in anticipation of negotiations or #surrender

#russia has achieved another significant #breakthrough in the #donbas region against what #ukraine journalist Yuri Butusov described as poorly organised #ukrainian #brigades while the Russians were moving toward the key logistical hub of #pokrovsk. In a span of just seven days, it is reported by the daily #telegraph that the Russian Armed Forces were able to advance 4 miles along a railway that leads to Pokrovsk. This comes on the heels of several villages such as #prohres falling to Russia. Mr Butusov reports that the ukrainian brigades were so poorly commanded that their electronic warfare systems jammed their own #drones. Despite this setback, the commander in chief, General #syrsky spoke to the #guardian newspaper of the #uk and claimed that Ukraine can still win and reach #crimea. The majority of the article however, consisted of the General speaking of how much better trained, manned and armed the Russian army is. More notably, he admitted that the Russian army had swelled from the 100,000 man #army they started off with in February 2022 to a whopping 520,000 man force that may reach 690,000 by end of this year. Meanwhile, Ukraine's number one supplier, the #usa is in chaos in their election campaign after #biden withdrew from the candidacy and his #vp #kamalaharris was appointed in what the #newyorktimes described as an undemocratic process that is more consistent with #autocratic states. Nothing seems to be going well for Ukraine. Moreoever, the Russian strategy in #donetsk seems to remain focused on #demilitarisation rather than terrritorial gain and it is casuing massive #casualties for Ukraine.

The #usa #election2024 campaign is becoming ever more curious. President #biden has, much to the shock of even his own staffers, announced his #withdrawal from the #candidacy as the #democrats #nominee this past Sunday. What makes this so odd is not only that such a withdrawal has never occurred this late in the game, and not only because the day before, he and his team insisted that he would not drop out, but also because of the way in which he made the announcement: on a letter posted to #twitter, with no press conference nor any explanation for his sudden decision and initially without any #endorsement of his substitute. Further, it was not even on a presidential letterhead. Later on, in a separate post also on social media, Biden endorsed #kamalaharris . #Republican candidate, #Vivek #Ramswammy, predicted this move beforehand as being a "feigned retreat" and thinks that Kamala is unlikely to end up being the Democratic nominee. Given all this chaos in the Democratic Party and the likely outcome that Donald #Trump may win the election, President #zelensky senses his time is up. He has, since the #presidentialdebate2024 made two statements on tv professing that he doesn't have much time left and has expressed a desire to engage in #peace talks. But given the dire situation on the #frontline for his army in #Ukraine, particularly with the recent advances in #Donetsk and the #donbass made by the #russian army along with the onerous #debt obligations and likely upcoming default given the deadline in August for repayment, #Ukraine will not be engaged in peace negotiations but an unconditional #surrender to #Russia and its President #Putin and it will likely occur this year.

"What lies ahead of us is far worse than we have now". These were the words of the Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor #orban after visiting #china #russia and #ukraine on a mission to try to get peace. He spoke with President #putin , #zelensky and #xijinping and he is convinced that if #europe doesn't get together and develop an autonomous policy separate from the #usa to achieve peace, we may be in for the most dangerous period in the next 3 months. bThis of course coincides with the US Presidential #election2024, which is already frought with controversy given #biden senility and the mebarssing #presidentialdebate2024 but even more recently with the attempted #assassinationattempt of #trump . So in this, vidoe I exmaine two articles, one from the #russian #embassy to #southafrica and another from a #canadian professor and columnist about the #endgame for the #ukrainewar . Both assessments, form differing points of view agree on many ppints, namely that the chances for a Ukrainain vicotry are slim to none, and that a Russian victory could end the age of western hegemony for good.

The Russian war machine is running at full steam and seems impossible to beat. This reality has sown despair into the minds of Ukraine's most ardent supporters. In this video, I will discuss one of the most insightful analyses about the current situation of the #ukrainewar which comes unexpectedly from a pro-Ukrainian supported on #twitter . He sets out a bleak picture for Ukraine due to is #manpower shortage, which cannot be fixed by any amount of #wepaons. Further, given the high #casualty and catastrophic battles of #bakhmut and the summer 2023 #counteroffensive most #ukrainian citizens avoid the #draft as they know it is suicide. Further, as western #europe becomes more #nationalism the #rightwing political parties are seeing more popularity and the support for #ukraine will decrease. In any event, the militaries of Europe and their productions capacities are woefully inadequate and as a result, they are using this war to distract #russia and buy time so that they can build up their armies and industry for any potential future conlfict with #.putin In the #usa , the likley #election of Donald #trump will almost certainly mean the end of the war as #america provides by far the majoirty of support to Ukraine. All these factors and more evince a hopeless situation for Ukraine and this despair has made its way into its soldiers.

he recent #presidentialdebate2024 between President #biden and former President #trump was an embarrassing disaster. It was like watching two children name-calling and mudslinging instead of professionally debating serious and real topics plaguing the #american public. Biden's #dementia was on full display and while it shocked many, it did not shock me and those who knew that Biden was #senile for over a year now. But what is alarming about the situation is how the #mainstreammedia has covered up the truth, both of Biden's mental decline but also about the true situation in the wars in #ukraine and #gaza and most worryingly of all, the true economic situation for the #usa being mired in 34 trillion dollars of #debt and engaged in two unwinnable #wars that are sucking its #economy dry. The rubicon has long been crossed and there is no magic trick or rabbit that the #globalists , or the #militaryindustrialcomplex or the #elite pull out of their hat to save either the war in Ukraine or #Israel. America's enemies are smelling blood and #putin is flexing his military muscle more than ever by sending ships to #cuba and making deals with #northkorea and #kimjungun . The worst blow will come when Ukraine capitulates and #nato fractures as we see #turkey now interested in joining #brics. When that happens, Western #europe will have to decide who is their true ally, the declining american empire across the ocean, or the new #multipolar world headed by #russia and #China. Americans will wake up in a world where they have lost Europe, the #middleeast and #africa and with it, most of the world's resources and allies. The porous southern #border with the influx of #fentanyl made by #mexican drug #cartel along with their #immigrants are invading the homeland. It is clear to me, American is doomed.

Putin is keeping his massive 700,000 man strong army in defence in eastern Ukraine for a reason. First, he does not want to inflict unnecessary damage and casualties to the Russian speaking people of east ukraine where the war is being fought as that would defeat the purpose of his special military operation goals and would give the West a powerful propaganda win should he destroy Donetsk in a major Russian offensive. Second, given the recent escalations by the west, including their ramping up of the defence industries, there is a big threat that NATO may enter the war in some fashion. Putin, in response, has made recent trips to his strongest allies of Belarus, Vietnam, China and North Korea, with whom he made a military pact. It is clear that Putin is preparing for a major escalation by the West. The recent atacms strike on Crimea was a clear and wilful provocation attempt by the US using Ukraine to induce Putin into a rash response. So far, Putin is not biting as his long term goal is to bleed America dry in this unwinnable war while showing the world that he is not a threat and therefore, that there is no need for NATO. Any major offensive from Putin could see a currently divided Western populace galvanise from the fear of seeing hundreds of thousands of Russians marching across western Ukraine. Putin will avoid this at all costs.

#Russia has been advancing on all fronts in eastern and southern #ukraine except for the #kharkiv front where fighting is occurring near the town of Vovchansk. Recent reports from Western media relying on dubious sources like President Zelensky and unnamed NATO officials claim that Russias is experiencing heavy losses, as much as 8 killed Russians to 1 Ukrainian and that, according to US admiral John Kirby, the Russian offensive is all but over. The reality however seems far different: First, the Russian goal was merely to create buffer zone but mostly, to induce Ukraine to transfer reserves away from the Donbas to Kharkiv, which Ukraine has done. This has allowed recent advances for Russia in the Donbas. Second, Russia has lured Ukrainian troops in Kharkiv city out into the open plains to fight making them easier to kill. After analysing the western sources, it is clear they are guilty of misleading reports and the truth is, Ukraine has walked into a trap in Kharkiv.

Yesterday, June 14th 2024, Russian President Putin made his first PUBLIC peace offer to Ukraine. It required Ukraine to remove all its troops and armaments from the 4 annexed regions of Ukraine, abandon its NATO ambitions and in return, an immediate cease fire will be instituted and negotiations would resume. I say resume because peace talks had occurred since 2022 in the Istanbul Communique, which was the reason for Moscow's withdrawal from Kyiv and which had very similar terms to the recent offer. It was the West, parituclary the USA and the U.K. who thwarted that agreement via the then British Prime Minister Boris Johnson who flew to Kyiv on April 9th 2022 and torpedoed any such agreement. Now that all reports confirm Russian continuous though slow advance across the front, the question is whether this olive branch from the Russian President is a last offer before a major escalation or whether, it is a sign of desperation as some western officials would like us to believe. Further, does Putin really even expect the West to accept such terms which would in effect, amount to a Russian victory. Is the offer then for propaganda purposes, to give the impression that it is the West and President #zelensky who are the true war mongers?

Since 2022, after Russia defeated the first NATO trained Ukrainian army in the battles of Mariupol, Severeodonetsk and Lysychansk, Russia switched to an attrition war with a focus on demilitarisation and the capture of the Donbas. NATOs infusion of massive aid to save Ukraine from an early defeat and imbued them with a false confidence that led to the twin offensives in Kherson and Kharkiv of 2022, which, though touted as successes, were really Ukraine's undoing. What followed were a string of military defeats for Ukraine in Bakhmut, Avdiivka and the disastrous summer 2023 counteroffensive that has destroyed whatever strike capacity Ukraine had. Now Russia is attacking across the large front line with particular focus in Zaporyzhia, Chasiv Yar, the Avdiivka front, Kupyansk and recently toward Kharkiv. There are also rumblings about a build up of Russian and Chechen troops near Sumy, which, if it amounts to another front would stretch Ukraine to a breaking point. Meanwhile, Ukraine's manpower shortage shows no signs of resolution anytime soon and their committal of their last available reserves to Kharkiv now gives Russia room to resume its advances in Chasiv Yar- which it has done. Russian troops have crossed the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas River and have gained a foothold in the Kanal Microdistrict. The promised military aid from the US seems to not yet have arrived and we are now in June. Summer is here, and we all await the Russian offensive to break the Ukrainian resistance for good. NATO is now faced with two choices, prepare for a humiliating defeat or go all-in. Either way, the Ukrainian army won't be saved and will not make it to 2025.

Recent statements from NATO officials evidence an intention to heavily escalate the conflict in Ukraine, particularly now because things look very dire for Ukraine on the battlefield. The manpower shortage in Ukraine is worse than the ammo shortage and thus, Ukraine has asked NATO countries to send troops to either help train 150,000 new Ukrainian troops or to relieve Ukrainian troops stationed on the border so they can participate on the frontline combat. However, some NATO officials have pondered sending troops nearer the frontline to speed up the training and deployment. This will, of course, put NATO troops at risk of being attacked by Russia. It seems that now NATO is also deliberating on permitting Ukraine to use western supplied weapons to strike deep into Russia. Several countries have already agreed and only the US, Italy and Germany still have to sign on. Ukraine has already seized on this permission to strike two Russian radar detection facilities deep in Russia in the City of Orsk. This has prompted President Putin to give a stark warning to NATO allies, particularly, the Baltic States who he described as being very small with dense populations. Dr Doctorow, an independent analyst regards this as the gravest threat issued by Putin since the war began and a change of tune from the once "nice guy" Putin who has practised enormous restraint, to not being nice anymore. Given these events, how close are we to world war 3?

New reports suggest that Russia's tactical gains in Kharkiv were not only result of Ukraine's lack of proper defence fortification, but also because superior Russian electric warfare. Russia was able to jam Ukraine's drones and star link terminals before the incursion, which lead to chaos in the border troops. Further, Russia crafted their advances near rivers which provided cover. Ukraine is not only suffering from insufficient ammo but all of their brigades have a 40% manpower deficit. Russian glide bombs are also supremely effective as they evade all Ukrainian air defences. This equates to a dire situation for Ukraine which prompted President Zelensky to cancel a planned trip to Spain and rush to Kharkiv. Rumours say that Western Officials are beginning to conclude that peace talks are necessary especially if Russia decides to open up another front.

In August 2023, a Military Historian, M Vlahos, published a piece entitled the Ukrainian army is breaking where he set out three factors that comprise an army and nation that is breaking and stated that all are present in Ukraine. Thie 3rd factor was the internal in fighting and loss of trust in the political leadership of the country. This is being exmeplified in the Russian Kharkiv offensive as Military Commanders are accusing Ukrainian government officials of corruption in stealing money that was supposed to be used to build defences as there are none on the border. This is why they say the Russians entered Kharkiv so easily. What is worse, is that Ukraine's Head of Military Intelligence, General Budanov, says they that have committed all reserves to Kharkiv, some of which were ear-marked for Chasiv Yar. He also said, that he expects another front to open in Sumy, which, if true, will likely come from the Wagner troops in Belarus to swoop South to Sumy and stretch the Ukrainian army beyond their capacity and cause them to break. In those circumstances, the Ukrainian army will not make it past this summer.

Every single report that I read speaks of an unstoppable Russian advance after Avdiivka. Several villages are falling within days and Russia is widening the breakthrough in Ocheretyne. One of th problems, aside form the paucity of ammunition and manpower is the lack of defensive lines built after Avdiivka. The US Ad package still seems to be elusive as the ammo. hasn't arrived yet. Russia just took a town called Arkhangelsk and western officials predict Chasiv War will fall within weeks. This is what I predicted. that the US Aid is a ruse and there's nothing that will stop Russian advance to take Donetsk. Some western officials, as a consolation, try to claim Russia is taking huge casualties, say 450,000 troops. While those numbers are hyperbole, whatever Russia casualties are occurring, Al Jazeera confirms its Russia's lowest quality convict troops forming the Storm V and Storm Z formations.

Day 3 of the Russian offensive in the Kharkiv region of northern Ukraine has seen further advances by the Russian army on two axis: one to Vovchansk and another to Lyptsi . It has been confirmed that five villages have been captured including Strilecha, Krasne, Pylna and Borosivka. All reports suggest that it does not seem that Russia intends or brought enough forces to capture Kharkiv city which has been heavily defended with fortifications and trenches by Ukraine. Rather, it spears Russia has 3 primary goals: 1. Create a buffer zone for the Belgorod region to prevent any future Ukrainian incursions into the Russian regions 2. Advance to about 10 -15 km deep and put Kharkiv City within striking range of Russian artillery and 3. To divert Ukrainian troops away from other regions in the South, most likely from Donetsk, in particular Chasiv Yar. There is further evidence that goal number 3 is Russia’s primary goal. Russian reports say that the Russian ministry of defence is preparing a Russian offensive across the Dniper river to the west bank of Kherson. I suspect this is misinformation but who knows. Either way, Ukraine has sent reserves to defend Kharkiv but with weapons and ammo still low, this could prove dangerous if it exposes other areas on the front.