Oil, Inflation, Geopolitical Risk have Markets Bottomed?

2 years ago
26

Fun with the FOMC-
-FED- we have liftoff, a .25 point and more to come
-Treasury Yield Curve has issues
-Who wants to fight the FED?

Risks on the Horizon-
-Volatility contango is back but far from “normal”
-Dollar still bid
-Oil has a bid back
-Inflation is out of control - retail negative implications
-Quintessential Rip your face off rally

Geopolitics—
-Damage already inflicted
-War ends sanctions will not dissipate

Trade Setups-
-Gold
-Risk reward SP500 following the rally
-Premium selling

SPX Expected Move --
--last week -- 144.35 (expected move)
--next week-- 106.19 (expected move)

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