Covid-19 Belgium: The True Numbers of Infections and Death Ratios

This bar chart race compares confirmed cases in Belgium vs. the average of two epidemiological models estimating the true numbers. Cumulative cases, estimated percentage of population infected, daily cases and level of lockdowns, CFR (case fatality rate) and the resulting IFR (infection fatality rate) for the estimate. The date range is from 3rd February 2020 until January 4th 2021.

Sources: Imperial College London (ICL), Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), John Hopkins University (CSSE) and Government Response Stringency Index (lockdown strictness): Thomas Hale, Sam Webster, Anna Petherick, Toby Phillips, Beatriz Kira Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, Blavatnik School of Government.

The two methodologies for estimates:

Imperial College London (ICL)
https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
https://covid19.healthdata.org

Music: Omega by Scott Buckley – www.scottbuckley.com.au