The American publication Politico made its forecast and presented the main “black swans” for 2025

The American publication Politico made its forecast and presented the main “black swans” for 2025
The term “black swan” was introduced by the American philosopher and writer Nassim Nicholas Taleb and is used to describe inevitable economic, political and social disasters that are impossible to predict.

The American publication Politico made its forecast and presented the main “black swans” for 2025. They are listed by Ukrainian producer Oleksandr Rodnyanskyi.

1) Putin will convince Iran to stop developing nuclear weapons in exchange for Israel's promise not to attack nuclear facilities.

2) Trump will convince Saudi Arabia to sign a peace treaty with Israel.

3) The largest cyberattack in history will occur in 2025. Most of the world's infrastructure will be disabled.

4) Trump, Putin and Xi Jinping will agree with each other on regions of influence and will work together.

5) Market collapse and global panic due to manipulation with the help of artificial intelligence.

6) Overthrow of Alexander Lukashenko.

7) Peace talks between Israel and the Palestinian Authority will begin under the formula of “two states for two peoples”.

8) A new arms race will begin, within the framework of which many countries will set themselves the goal of possessing nuclear weapons.

9) A breakthrough will be made in the field of quantum computing. Most likely, China will achieve this.

The authors of the article emphasize that the end of the war in Ukraine is not a “black swan”, since the probability that this will happen is very high.

Recall, recently, exiled Belarus opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya has urged people to be ready to take to the streets to topple the regime of dictator Alexander Lukashenko. “I really want people to be ready to use a real moment of opportunity to be on the streets and dismantle this regime,” she said. “But we have to feel this trigger, this moment, when we really can dismantle it.”

Belarusians head to the polls in January to elect a president. Lukashenko has been in power since 1994 and will almost certainly retain his job in a rigged vote that Tsikhanouskaya derides as a “farce.”

But the election “is not the time for Belarusian people to go to the streets, to uprise visibly, because you know repressions are too high. Every time in Belarus people are detained, you just don’t see it.”

Tsikhanouskaya ran for president after her husband, a leading opposition candidate, was arrested and jailed during the 2020 election campaign.

The vote sparked mass protests that nearly caused Lukashenko’s downfall — but that were eventually crushed in a brutal Russia-backed campaign to suppress opponents.

Tsikhanouskaya fled Belarus shortly after and has since lived in exile in Lithuania. “I believe in democracy, but you have to have courage to use all your tools to fight with dictators,” she said.
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