Bipolar Divorcee Sam Seder & the 2030 Census Shift

18 days ago
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Bipolar Divorcee Sam Seder & the 2030 Census Shift

https://sbecouncil.org/2024/12/24/patterns-of-movement-of-people-among-the-states-continue/ https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/3268726/states-with-biggest-shifts-internal-migration/ https://thearp.org/blog/apportionment/2030-apportionment-forecast-2024/ https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/state/taxes-affect-state-migration-trends-2024/ https://www.uhaul.com/About/Migration/ https://www.unitedvanlines.com/newsroom/movers-study-2023 https://taxfoundation.org/blog/interstate-migration-tax-competitiveness/

Other data you might be interested in https://ballotpedia.org/Historical_and_potential_changes_in_trifectas#Changes_in_state_trifectas https://ballotpedia.org/State_government_trifectas https://web.archive.org/web/20250000000000*/https://ballotpedia.org/State_government_trifectas https://ballotpedia.org/Veto-proof_state_legislatures_and_opposing_party_governors_in_the_2024_elections https://ballotpedia.org/Veto-proof_state_legislatures_and_opposing_party_governors_in_the_2020_elections https://ballotpedia.org/Veto-proof_state_legislatures_and_opposing_party_governors_in_the_2018_elections https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_elections,_2024

I tried to find data for internal migration (e.g. people who do not get off on thinking about male pedophiles “changing” their gender & hanging out in the same bathroom as preteen girls – they decide that’s perverse, pack up the car & move from California to Idaho) because a lot of the illegal aliens that Biden/Harris invited in will be self-deporting over the next few years & many will be physically deported. Domestic internal migration is important.

States that Donald J. Trump won 3 times (Texas, Florida, Utah, Idaho) are currently slated to gain 10 Electoral Votes in the 2032 POTUS election & states that “Crooked” Hillary Clinton, “Kid Sniffer” Joe Biden & “Cackling Communist” Kamala Harris won (California, Oregon, Rhode Island, Minnesota, Illinois & New York) are slated to lose 9 Electoral Votes in the 2032 POTUS Sweepstakes.

That’s a shift of 19 Electoral Votes towards the GOP overall. If we re-run the shady 2020 POTUS Election https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php?year=2020&off=0&f=1 w/ that shift in mind & the GOP flipped enough states to change 15 electoral votes, the election goes to the House & 16 Electoral Votes results in victory (Remember, the electoral landscape changed after the 2020 Census). Flipping Georgia & Nevada would be enough or Arizona & Wisconsin, Arizona & Nevada, you get the gist.

“Purple States” (Wisconsin -1, Arizona +1 & Pennsylvania -1) are slated to lose one Electoral Vote in 2032.

Keeping that in mind, Democrat efforts to pack the SCOTUS w/ 4 Ruth Bader Ginsburg clones & *TRY* to take away everyone’s guns, ensconce WOTUS into law sans Congress, nationalize mail-in ballots & no Photo ID for federal elections, etc., the whole nine yards https://rumble.com/v5hrqml-jon-tester-and-sherrod-brown-will-vote-to-nuke-the-senate-filibuster.html https://rumble.com/v4ssglz-fascist-democrats-want-to-expand-the-scotus.html That’s in jeopardy as it will be harder for them to win POTUS elections (just because FL & TX are set to gain 4 seats each, does not mean those will be 8 GOP seats in the House) due to that shift. They know their time is short, which is why they are going into histrionics & their quest to turn these United States into a Chinese-style or Nazi-style Totalitarian society is slipping away.

States that I’m going to specifically cover (adding some states that aren’t gaining an Electoral Vote but have had lots of domestic migration & are solid GOP territory) are: Idaho, Florida, Texas, Utah, South Carolina, North Carolina & Tennessee.

We’ll see how they’ve fared since 2020 in POTUS elections, their U.S. House contingent (important, since they are elected every 2 years), their Gubernatorial elections & State Legislative elections.

This will debunk or support the oft-repeated talking point that “people are moving from California like locusts & then they’re voting for the same crap they abandoned.”

That’s not necessarily true & the last time I ran this little scenario https://rumble.com/v42o0en-creepy-sam-seder-and-the-2030-census-shift-tsunami.html GOP states w/ the most domestic in-migration increased their advantages in the State Legislature. So, it appears the folks moving to Idaho, Utah, Texas, Florida, etc. – those people are either recovering Democrats or GOP refugees who had enough of California’s male pedophiles in the women’s locker room & Byzantine regulatory framework.

*As I am writing this, some of the articles will be updated w/ the latest figures soon, so if you don’t see it right meow, just hold your horses*

Let’s start w/ Idaho: https://ballotpedia.org/Idaho_State_Legislature https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_elections,_2024 https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Idaho https://web.archive.org/web/20250000000000*/https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Idaho https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/ID (do some scrolling)

Since 2020, their U.S. House Delegation remains solidly Republican, Democrats are getting blown out by astronomical margins & all that in-migration has not helped them. People are moving to Idaho to get a good job & be safe from child molesters & murderers.

Since 2020, the Idaho State Senate has leaned even more toward the GOP (28-7, 28-7, 29-6), as has the House of Representatives (58-12, 59-11, 61-9).

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=16&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=16&f=1&off=0&elect=0 Donald Trump wins ID +30 in 2020 & wins it +36 in 2024. That’s good news!

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2022&fips=16&f=1&off=5&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2018&fips=16&f=1&off=5&elect=0 Brad Little had a higher % of the vote in 2022 than he did 4 years prior & the deficit between him & the Pedocrat nominee got larger. All that migration to ID has given the GOP a bigger advantage. Don’t talk to me about Democrat locusts from California, the people moving to ID are largely GOP refugees OR Democrats that said, “I didn’t leave the Democrat Party, it left me.”

Now for Utah: https://ballotpedia.org/Utah_State_Legislature https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_elections,_2024 https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/UT https://web.archive.org/web/20250000000000*/https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Utah https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Utah https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=49&f=1&off=5&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=49&f=1&off=5&elect=0

[NOTE: Two things to keep in mind kids. Most states elect State Senators for 4-year terms, a select few have 2-year terms. Most that feature 4-year terms have half of them up every 2 years. This is the case w/ Utah, so you could have some purple or Democrat-leaning Districts up in one cycle & the next cycle they take a bigger beating. It also depends on whether that cycle is a midterm (lower turnout) vs. a POTUS cycle (which will cause turnout to spike). In addition, you will sometimes see the after election totals (after the 2022 election cycle for UT State Senate) differ from the pre-2024 election totals. Sometimes people resign, die, get caught in bed w/ their secretary, etc. I will use the official Ballotpedia totals from the Legislature page, in this case https://ballotpedia.org/Utah_State_Legislature just an FYI]

Spencer Cox’s margin of victory declined markedly from in 2024, relative to 2020, However, the Dumocrat got a smaller % of the vote as well and his margin was still insurmountable. This could be attributed to Indy candidates siphoning off a bit more of the GOP vote than the Dumocrat vote.

UT’s U.S. House delegation was all GOP in every cycle from 2020-24 & all the victories in 2024 were in the 24% ranger or greater. One race in 2020 (lined were redrawn afterwards) was uber-close. It appears that the redrawing of CD lines, as well as all the domestic migration into UT has helped the GOP.

The UT State Senate (23-6, 21-8, 23-6) remains very lopsided, as does the House (58-17, 61-14, 61-14), in favor of the GOP.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=49&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=49&f=1&off=0&elect=0 Pertaining to POTUS elections, Donald Trump wins UT +20 in 2020 & +21 in 2024.

Tennessee, come on down:
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=47&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=47&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Tennessee https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee_General_Assembly https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/TN

Donald J. Trump wins TN +23 in 2020 & +30 in 2024.

TN’s Congressional Delegation remains (7-2, 8-1, 8-1) uber-GOP, even more so than in previous cycles, this is good news as well. TN State Senate (27-6, 27-6, 27-6) & TN State House (73-26, 75-24, 75-24) leans staunchly towards the GOP, all this domestic migration to TN has seen the GOP dominate even more than prior to the COVID-19 plandemic.

Florida: https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Florida
https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Legislature https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=12&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=12&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2024/FL

Donald Trump won FL +3 (I’m rounding) in 2020 & +13 in 2024. The FL State Senate (24-16, 28-12, 28-12) & FL State House (78-42, 85-35, 85-35) remain lopsided in favor of the GOP.

FL’s U.S. House Delegation (16-11, 20-8, 20-8) is dominated by the GOP also, all that migration to FL by folks from California, New York et al. has not hurt FL. Those folks are GOP refugees or Democrats that got off the crazy train & voted w/ their feet. Even though Matt Gaetz resigned & technically that seat is empty, the GOP won it & thus I am putting it in their column.

Texas: https://ballotpedia.org/Texas_State_Senate_elections,_2024 https://ballotpedia.org/Texas_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2024 https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_elections,_2024 https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_Texas https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=48&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=48&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=48&f=1&off=3&elect=0&class=1 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2018&fips=48&f=1&off=3&elect=0&class=1 https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/TX

Trump won TX +3.5% in 2020 & +13.5% in 2024. Ted Cruz won his 2018 Senate contest by 2.5 percentage points & in 2024 he won by +8.5%. The Lone Star State’s U.S. House delegations (23-13, 25-13, 25-13) are illustrating the GOP’s continued & growing dominance there.

The TX State Senate (18-13, 19-12, 20-11) & State House (83-67, 86-64, 88-62) remain in GOP hands. All that migration to TX has increased the GOP’s advantage there. I suppose one could try to argue that most of the people flowing in are voting Democrat, but that would mean a lot of those who have lived there for decades are changing their minds. I think some are changing their minds, but most of the folks moving there are Republicans who have had enough of whatever state they fled from.

North Carolina: https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/NC https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_North_Carolina https://ballotpedia.org/General_Assembly_of_North_Carolina https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=37&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=37&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_elections,_2024 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=37&f=1&off=5&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=37&f=1&off=5&elect=0

First, the bad news. The GOP lost the 2020 Gubernatorial by 4.5 points & lost in 2024 by >14.5%. The good news is that the State Senate (28-22, 30-20, 30-20) & State House (69-51, 71-49, 71-49) remain under GOP control, although they’re one seat short of a numerical 3/5 supermajority in the House. They had it since April, when a Democrat (Tricia Cotham) came to her senses & wandered off the Proglodyte Reservation.

Donald Trump won NC +1.3% in 2020 & +3% in 2024. NC’s U.S. House Contingent for the last 3 cycles (8-5, 7-7, 10-4) has leaned more towards the GOP, this is also good news. That influx of people fleeing crazy town has been good for the GOP in NC.

Last but not least, the great state of South Carolina: https://thearp.org/maps/congress/2020/SC https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_congressional_delegations_from_South_Carolina https://ballotpedia.org/South_Carolina_State_Legislature https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=45&f=1&off=0&elect=0 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=45&f=1&off=0&elect=0

SC’s U.S. House Delegation (6-1, 6-1, 6-1) is decidedly GOP, as is their State Senate (30-16, 34-12 all seats up every 4 years, in 2020 & 2024) & State House (81-43, 88-36, 88-35). Donald Trump won SC +11.5% in 2020 & +18% in 2024.

Again, that influx of people are not political locusts, they’re not nutjobs seeking to turn these states into California. I’d wager most of them (and the results make that clear) are GOP refugees or Democrats that changed their mind, to reiterate that point again.

I know the natural human response is to think of the worse-case scenario, but I don’t think those folks are right. I’m NOT saying people from California & New York haven’t moved to better climes & continued to vote for lunatics, but this post-COVID plandemic population shift is benefitting the GOP.

The Democrats are evil, they’re maniacal, they’re perverts & many of them are very stupid (I’m talking to you #AOC ), but they know this shift on population & the 2030 Census are going to hit them like a freight train. This will make it much harder for them to capture the House or win the presidency & if we can help J.D. Vance (who will likely be the GOP nominee, sorry Ron DeSantis or Vivek Ramaswamy fans) get it done in November of 2028, that will bridge the Census & the Demoncrats will be in deep trouble.

The likelihood of Democrats capturing the Senate (and we were very close to getting 56 seats) in 2026 is slim, but the GOP will have a few tough races & they could narrow it to 51-49. It could be 55-45 GOP too!

Look, I don’t like Susan Collins any more than any other Rand Paul/Libertarian member of the GOP, but would you rather have Susan Collins voting for you or Chuck Schumer? I thought so.

Susan Collins will likely run again & that will make it more difficult for the Dums to gain ground in the Senate. If we can make it 55-45, that only leaves the Dems 2 election cycles to try & wrest control away from us & If Vance wins, all bets are off.

#MorningInAmerica Mr. Chairman, I Yield Back!

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