Episode2 25th Hour Insights: 25th Amendment, New Military Alliance & The Pursuit For Peace

Briefing Document: Ukraine-Russia War Escalation and U.S. Involvement
Date: November 25, 2024

Subject: Analysis of Recent Events and Potential Implications of U.S. Policy Shift in Ukraine

Sources:

Source 1: Glenn Greenwald and Scott Horton discussing U.S. involvement in the 2014 Ukraine revolution and the lead-up to the current war.
Scott Horton Show
Source 2: Glenn Greenwald discussing the Biden administration's authorization of long-range missiles for Ukraine and its potential impact on the incoming Trump administration.
Tucker Carlson
Source 3: News article reporting on Biden's authorization of long-range missiles and reactions from Russia, Donald Trump Jr., and Josep Borrell.
Newsweek
Source 4: Vice President Kamala Harris' speech at the Peace Summit on Ukraine, outlining the U.S.'s commitment to supporting Ukraine.
White House.gov
Source 5: Article detailing the formation of the Northern Group-Ukraine, a European coalition aimed at enhancing defense cooperation with Ukraine.
UkraineWorldCongress.org
Source 6: CNN report confirming Ukraine's use of US-supplied ATACMS missiles to strike a target inside Russia.
CNN
Source 7: Analysis suggesting the Northern Group-Ukraine format may be aimed at counteracting President-elect Trump's peace negotiation plans.
Ukrinform.net
Source 8: The text of the 25th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.

Source 9: Discussion of the potential use of the 25th Amendment to remove President Biden from office.
C-SPAN
Source 10: Discussion between Alex Jones and Dr. Naomi Wolf about the potential invocation of the 25th Amendment and impeachment proceedings against Biden and Harris, as well as the implications of US involvement in Ukraine.
AlexJonesShow

Key Themes and Observations:

Escalation of US Involvement: The Biden administration's decision to authorize Ukraine to use ATACMS missiles against targets inside Russia represents a significant escalation of U.S. involvement in the conflict. This move has been condemned by Russia as a direct act of aggression and has sparked concerns about a potential wider war.
Quote: "This means our military, our intelligence community, is participating in missile attacks inside the country of Russia. This is something that even the Biden administration, for all their hawkishness on Russia and Ukraine… even they were unwilling to do because they understood the dangers of the escalatory risks." (Source 2)
Domestic Political Fallout: The decision to escalate US involvement has drawn criticism from both sides of the political spectrum, with some questioning Biden's motives so close to the end of his term.
Quote: "The Military Industrial Complex seems to want to make sure they get World War 3 going before my father has a chance to create peace and save lives," (Donald Trump Jr., Source 3)
International Response: While some European leaders have expressed support for Ukraine's right to defend itself, others are concerned about the potential for further escalation. The formation of the Northern Group-Ukraine, a coalition of European countries committed to enhancing defense cooperation with Ukraine, indicates a desire among some nations to continue confronting Russia militarily.
Quote: "We focused on shared threats and the equipping of combat brigades with heavy machinery,” (Rustem Umerov, Source 5)
Concerns Over Biden's Mental Capacity: There are growing concerns about President Biden's mental fitness to lead, particularly in light of the recent escalation in Ukraine. Some commentators have suggested invoking the 25th Amendment to remove him from office. This debate is further complicated by the potential for Vice President Harris to assume the presidency, a prospect that has raised alarms among some observers.
Quote: "So congress can convene right now and decide... to inaugurate uh President Trump early. Um I don't read Article 25 as saying anything against that.” (Dr. Naomi Wolf, Source 10)
Important Facts:

Ukraine used ATACMS missiles to strike a Russian weapons depot in Bryansk on November 21, 2024, marking the first confirmed use of these weapons against targets inside Russia. (Source 6)
The Northern Group-Ukraine format, comprising twelve European countries, has been established to enhance defense cooperation with Ukraine, potentially aiming to counter President-elect Trump's peace negotiation efforts. (Source 5 & 7)
President Biden's authorization of ATACMS missiles has been met with condemnation from Russia and concerns from some international observers about potential escalation. (Source 3)
There is ongoing debate about the potential use of the 25th Amendment to remove President Biden from office due to concerns about his mental fitness, with some advocating for Congress to intervene and potentially inaugurate President-elect Trump early. (Source 9 & 10)
Potential Implications:

Further escalation of the conflict in Ukraine, with increased risk of direct confrontation between Russia and NATO.
Heightened tensions between the United States and Russia, potentially leading to a new Cold War or worse.
Increased instability in the region, with potential spillover effects into neighboring countries.
Potential political crisis in the United States, as debate over Biden's fitness to lead intensifies and the 25th Amendment is considered.
Recommendations:

Monitor the situation closely: Track developments in Ukraine, including Russian responses to the ATACMS strikes and the activities of the Northern Group-Ukraine format.
Prepare for potential escalation: Assess the risks of further escalation and develop contingency plans to mitigate them.
Engage in diplomatic efforts: Explore diplomatic channels to de-escalate the situation and pursue a negotiated settlement to the conflict.
Address concerns about Biden's fitness to lead: Closely monitor the President's actions and statements for signs of further cognitive decline and consider the appropriate legal and political responses if necessary.

Note: This briefing document is based on the provided sources and reflects the viewpoints expressed within them. Further research and analysis may be necessary to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the situation.