Ukraine's "Victory Plan" Implies NATO Intervention

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Update on the conflict in Ukraine for October 20, 2024…

- Ukraine unveils its “victory plan,” including membership in NATO, additional weapons, and all restrictions on their use lifted;

- Ukraine has also warned that it will pursue nuclear weapons if NATO membership is not granted;

- Former Ukrainian Commander in Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi, now Ukraine’s ambassador to the UK, has backed the “victory plan,” but complains Western support in terms of arms and ammunition have fallen far short of what’s required;

- No aspect of the “victory plan,” or the pursuit of nuclear weapons acknowledges the disparity between Ukraine, its Western sponsors and Russia in terms of military industrial capacity or trained manpower;

- Western-Ukrainian escalation with Russia at this juncture risks forcing a greater imperative for Russia in expanding the scope of its special military operation;

References:

BBC - Zelensky presents 'victory plan' to Ukrainian parliament (October 18, 2024):

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd0z8gg5v14o

Washington Post - Ukraine's former armed forces chief endorses 'victory plan' in first speech since his dismissal (October 17, 2024):

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/17/victory-plan-ukraine-russia-war-zelenskyy-zaluzhnyi/b6610384-8c92-11ef-84b5-dacd642f5899_story.html

Kyiv Independent - Zelensky says he told Trump that either Ukraine will join NATO or pursue nuclear weapons (October 17, 2024):

https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-says-he-told-trump-that-either-ukraine-will-join-nato-or-pursue-nuclear-weapons/

Harvard University - Budapest Memorandum (1994):

https://policymemos.hks.harvard.edu/links/ukraine-budapest-memorandum-1994

Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (2004):

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa

Channel 4 (UK) - Far-right group at heart of Ukraine protests meet US senator (December 2013):

https://www.channel4.com/news/ukraine-mccain-far-right-svoboda-anti-semitic-protests

BBC - Ukraine crisis: Transcript of leaked Nuland-Pyatt call (February 2014):

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957

RAND Corporation - Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground (2019):

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html

Reuters - Georgia started war with Russia: EU-backed report (September 2009):

https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE58T4MO/

US DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (October 16, 2024):

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3937146/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/

Flight Global - NATO signs $700m contract for Stinger anti-air missiles (July 2024):

https://www.flightglobal.com/defence/nato-signs-700m-contract-for-stinger-anti-air-missiles/159061.article

Defense One - Why It’s Hard to Double GMLRS Production (March 2023):

https://www.defenseone.com/business/2023/03/why-its-hard-double-gmlrs-production/384646/

CNN - Russia’s jamming of US-provided rocket systems complicates Ukraine’s war effort (May 2023):

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/05/politics/russia-jamming-himars-rockets-ukraine/index.html

History Legends (YouTube) - How Russian Motorbike Squads Changed Battlefield Tactics in Ukraine (September 2024):

https://youtu.be/ybSx2Zu8TCQ?si=f_pk4JlYGmyQoKfa

ABC (Australia) - Ukraine to receive aging Abrams tanks in latest Australian military aid package (October 16, 2024):

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-16/ukraine-to-receive-aging-australian-abrams-tanks/104480368

Army Recognition - US General Rejects Ukrainian Complaints about M1A1 Abrams Tank. (June 2024):

https://armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/army-news-2024/us-general-rejects-ukrainian-complaints-about-m1a1-abrams-tank

AP - Ukraine pulls US-provided Abrams tanks from the front lines over Russian drone threats (April 2024):

https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-war-abrams-tanks-19d71475d427875653a2130063a8fb7a

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