Ukraine's "Victory Plan" Implies NATO Intervention

Update on the conflict in Ukraine for October 20, 2024…

- Ukraine unveils its “victory plan,” including membership in NATO, additional weapons, and all restrictions on their use lifted;

- Ukraine has also warned that it will pursue nuclear weapons if NATO membership is not granted;

- Former Ukrainian Commander in Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi, now Ukraine’s ambassador to the UK, has backed the “victory plan,” but complains Western support in terms of arms and ammunition have fallen far short of what’s required;

- No aspect of the “victory plan,” or the pursuit of nuclear weapons acknowledges the disparity between Ukraine, its Western sponsors and Russia in terms of military industrial capacity or trained manpower;

- Western-Ukrainian escalation with Russia at this juncture risks forcing a greater imperative for Russia in expanding the scope of its special military operation;

References:

BBC - Zelensky presents 'victory plan' to Ukrainian parliament (October 18, 2024):
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd0z8gg5v14o
Washington Post - Ukraine's former armed forces chief endorses 'victory plan' in first speech since his dismissal (October 17, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/17/victory-plan-ukraine-russia-war-zelenskyy-zaluzhnyi/b6610384-8c92-11ef-84b5-dacd642f5899_story.html
Kyiv Independent - Zelensky says he told Trump that either Ukraine will join NATO or pursue nuclear weapons (October 17, 2024):
https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-says-he-told-trump-that-either-ukraine-will-join-nato-or-pursue-nuclear-weapons/
Harvard University - Budapest Memorandum (1994):
https://policymemos.hks.harvard.edu/links/ukraine-budapest-memorandum-1994
Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (2004):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
Channel 4 (UK) - Far-right group at heart of Ukraine protests meet US senator (December 2013):
https://www.channel4.com/news/ukraine-mccain-far-right-svoboda-anti-semitic-protests
BBC - Ukraine crisis: Transcript of leaked Nuland-Pyatt call (February 2014):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
Reuters - Georgia started war with Russia: EU-backed report (September 2009):
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE58T4MO/
US DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (October 16, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3937146/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Flight Global - NATO signs $700m contract for Stinger anti-air missiles (July 2024):
https://www.flightglobal.com/defence/nato-signs-700m-contract-for-stinger-anti-air-missiles/159061.article
Defense One - Why It’s Hard to Double GMLRS Production (March 2023):
https://www.defenseone.com/business/2023/03/why-its-hard-double-gmlrs-production/384646/
CNN - Russia’s jamming of US-provided rocket systems complicates Ukraine’s war effort (May 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/05/politics/russia-jamming-himars-rockets-ukraine/index.html
History Legends (YouTube) - How Russian Motorbike Squads Changed Battlefield Tactics in Ukraine (September 2024):
https://youtu.be/ybSx2Zu8TCQ?si=f_pk4JlYGmyQoKfa
ABC (Australia) - Ukraine to receive aging Abrams tanks in latest Australian military aid package (October 16, 2024):
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-16/ukraine-to-receive-aging-australian-abrams-tanks/104480368
Army Recognition - US General Rejects Ukrainian Complaints about M1A1 Abrams Tank. (June 2024):
https://armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/army-news-2024/us-general-rejects-ukrainian-complaints-about-m1a1-abrams-tank
AP - Ukraine pulls US-provided Abrams tanks from the front lines over Russian drone threats (April 2024):
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-war-abrams-tanks-19d71475d427875653a2130063a8fb7a
Forbes - Ukraine’s Up-Armored, Drone-Jamming M-1A1 Abrams Tanks Are The Ultimate M-1A1s (October 7, 2024):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/10/07/ukraines-up-armored-drone-jamming-m-1a1-abrams-tanks-are-the-ultimate-m-1a1s/
Forbes - The Biggest Problem With Ukraine’s M-1 Tanks: They Don’t Like Staying Dirty (November 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/11/30/the-biggest-problem-with-ukraines-m-1-tanks-they-dont-like-staying-dirty/

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