Mark Halperin: Democrat And Republican Analysts All Agree That Harris Is In Deep Trouble

Posted • October 12, 2024: No, I am not going to make a "Red Wave" argument. I got caught up in the excitement in 2022 and got burned. It happens, but it shouldn't happen to ME! Kamala Harris CAN win, but you don't have to be able to read the entrails of chickens or the scatterings of tea leaves to see that the campaign is panicking, and rightly so. It is obvious to the meanest intelligence. Imagine how alarming internal DNC polling must be for them to run “its first-ever” attack ads on Jill Stein. They assumed Arab, Muslim and leftists would snap into line and do what they’re told no matter how much contempt Dems heaped on them. Not everyone is a liberal YouTuber. Today the DNC is releasing its first-ever ad focused on third-party candidates. Trump “likes” that Jill Stein is in this race—because Jill Stein can’t win, but she can help Trump win.

Kamala Harris' only hopes are that: 1) women voters overperform so dramatically that their numbers offset the substantial loss of support in union voters, men, minorities, and generally sane people; and 2) that just enough people cannot stomach a return of Donald Trump to the Oval Office that they will hold their nose and vote for her despite her manifest flaws. If you are doing well, you don't run attack ads on marginal candidates, and the DNC is doing it despite never having done so before. Ever. Almost nobody knows Jill Stein is running, but the Democrats are so worried that they are looking for votes under the couch cushions. Mark Halperin has been around the block a few times as a political reporter and is the guy who first reported--days before Biden got out of the race--that the decision to cede the nomination took place. His sources are impeccable, and he and his (Democrat and Republican) analysts all agree that Harris is in deep trouble.

“When I’ve reported over the last several days about private polling” which is favorable to Trump, says Mark Halperin, “that is not Republican-only private polling. It's reflected in the Democrat private polling, too. In fact, I think if you'd ask the Harris campaign about their polling, you'd hear a similar story. This is not spin by Republicans about secret or fake polls. This is what is happening in the data. And as we've said repeatedly, the public and private data differs. The public data is cheap and has issues in almost every case. It's just the nature of the beast now for academic and media organizations, not every one, but most.” Democrat Senate candidates have sounded the alarm about Harris' vulnerability, and the only reason the campaign shifted the strategy from hiding from the media to the "blitz" was that her campaign needed a reboot.

Harris's campaign is in collapse, which ironically means that she will lose a point or three in the polls. Voters for Kamala are so anti-Trump that they will never vote for him, so a collapse for Harris will be fewer voters holding their noses and voting for her. The very slow creep downward is evident in the polls, but her floor is high due to hatred of Trump. The media blitz was supposed to help, but Harris is SO awful that it has, if anything, hurt her. And putting her out there unscripted is not an alternative. (…)

• More at: HotAir - Yes, The Democrats Really ARE Panicking
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2024/10/12/yes-the-democrats-really-are-panicking-n3795703
Rumble: Yes, The Democrats Really ARE Panicking: DNC Running 'Its First-Ever' Attack Ads On Jill Stein
https://rumble.com/v5ihunp-yes-the-democrats-really-are-panicking-dnc-running-its-first-ever-attack-ad.html