The Coffee Lid Debate

Posted • September 10, 2024: After a month or more of media fluff, things are not panning out for Kamala Harris the way Barack Obama had hoped. Hey, don't look at us that way. We all know that a Harris first term would be an Obama fourth term, just like Biden's first term was Obama's third term. Unfortunately, those pesky American voters aren't buying the 'joy.' Yesterday, statistician Nate Silver released a new election odds prediction and it is all bad news for the Harris campaign.

Nate Silver Model - Win Chance

🔴 Trump 64.4% (Highest ever)
🔵 Harris 35.3%

Yikes. Sound the alarms. Of course, elections aren't decided on polls or predictions, so anything could still happen, but we are not surprised to see the Democrats in full panic mode. We have seen it from Aaron Rupar and David Hogg in recent days. (Have we mentioned how hilarious it is to see Hogg talking about masculinity? Because we would like to mention that again.) But with all of this dismay from Democrat influencers, who can Harris rely on to try to gin up some more fake joy? This sounds like a job for the mainstream media. Last night, CBS News tried to quell the fear with a new 'excitement poll,' showing Harris doing very well among Democrats in swing states. LOL. 'Excitement factor.' The first thing to know about excitement polls is that they are completely meaningless. The second thing to know about excitement polls is that they are completely meaningless.

Basically, all those polls do is measure how enthusiastic people each candidate's own party is about voting for their nominee. The breaking news here? Both Harris voters and Trump voters are pretty revved up to vote for their guy (or girl). Eighty-nine percent of Democrats in Michigan, 82% in Pennsylvania and 87% in Wisconsin say they're excited by Harris campaign. By comparison, among Republicans, 78% said the same of Trump in Michigan, 75% in Pennsylvania and 76% in Wisconsin. Now, Democrats in the three battleground states are also just as likely as Republicans to say they will definitely vote, as Harris has consolidated the votes among the party's base. But Trump leads in the states among some key issues, including the economy and inflation. Oh, that pesky economy and inflation.

Here is all this poll tells anyone: Democrats were dead in the water with Joe Biden, probably heading for a defeat of gigantic proportions in November, unseen since George McGovern in 1972 or maybe Walter Mondale in 1984. Now, they actually have a living, breathing human being they can vote for. Yippee. She has a pulse. Can you feel the joyous energy? Excitement doesn’t pay for groceries, rent or gas last time I checked. That is why 'excitement polls' are useless. Yes, Democrats will get out their vote for Harris, even to their own detriment. But that group cannot win statewide or nationwide elections. They need independents for that. Independents vote based on their wallets more than anything else, and certainly not on their 'joy.' This side-by-side is made up, obviously, but that is a real Harris quote, talking about lipstick on coffee lids for some unimaginable reason. This was before her handlers forced her to tone down her insane cackle. (…)

• More at: Twitchy - They're Desperate: CBS News Tries to Gin Up the 'Joy' With Poll About Kamala's 'Excitement Factor'
https://twitchy.com/grateful-calvin/2024/09/10/theyre-desperate-cbs-news-tries-to-gin-up-the-joy-with-poll-about-kamalas-excitement-factor-n2400740
Rumble: They're Desperate: CBS News Tries To Gin Up The 'Joy' With Poll About Kamala's 'Excitement Factor'
https://rumble.com/v5ef523-theyre-desperate-cbs-news-tries-to-gin-up-the-joy-with-poll-about-kamalas-e.html