Recession Looms as Risks Rise, But Labor Market Holds—Claudia Sahm: We're Not There Yet, But Close

2 months ago
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In an insightful interview, Jeremy Szafron, Anchor at Kitco News, speaks with Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and chief economist at New Century Advisors, about the current state of the U.S. economy. Despite the Sahm Rule being triggered, Sahm explains why she believes the U.S. is not yet in a recession. She delves into the complexities of the labor market, consumer spending trends, and the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions. Sahm offers critical insights into the rising unemployment rate, the potential effects of increased labor force participation, and what actions the Fed should take to prevent an unnecessary recession. Tune in for expert analysis on navigating these economic challenges.

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00:00 - Introduction
02:00 - Welcoming Claudia Sahm
03:30 - Explaining the Sahm Rule
05:45 - Why the Sahm Rule Triggered but No Recession Yet
08:20 - The Role of Consumer Spending and Income
11:15 - Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment
14:00 - Impact of Increased Labor Force Participation
17:25 - Federal Reserve's Policy Decisions
20:10 - Risks of an Unnecessary Recession
23:00 - Future Economic Projections
26:40 - Closing Thoughts

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