Class 18: Probability Is Not Propensity

Lesson 18: Probability Is Not Propensity

Probability is not a part of things. Probability is only a relation between propositions that you assume. It is not an essence. It has no causal powers. Things do not have probabilities; no, not even quantuam mechanical objects.

HOMEWORK: Read Uncertainty Chaper 5 excerpt.

All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/52506/
https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf

Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science