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Turning point in war - Ukraine's lightning invasion of Russia may bring the end of war closer
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The invasion of Ukraine into the territory of Russia may lead to a faster end to the military conflict.
Andreas Umland, an analyst at the Swedish Institute of International Relations, wrote about it for Foreign Policy. According to him, the last four days drastically changed the Russian-Ukrainian war. The operation of the Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region quickly turned into the largest territorial advance since the successful counteroffensive in Kharkiv and Kherson in the fall of 2022.
It is not yet clear whether the Russians were able to stop the advance of the BSU. After all, more and more footage of captured Russians and destroyed convoys of Russian vehicles are appearing online. In some places, the situation is very similar to the first chaotic days of the Great War.
"The operation demonstrates the ability of Ukraine to achieve surprise and use sudden breakthroughs, in which Russia has always failed since the beginning of the conflict," the analyst noted.
In addition, this is the first case of the invasion of foreign troops into the PF since the Second World War. Consequently, Ukraine demonstrates to Russians that the war is returning to their territory.
It seems that the West has approved the operation. The White House and the EU said that the decision to carry out the operation should be made by Ukraine itself. Earlier, the allies declared that an attack on the Russian Federation could become a "red line", the beginning of the Third World War and nuclear Armageddon. But the Ukrainians did it.
Umland noted that the effect and purpose of the Kursk operation may be to erase arguments about the "red line".
In addition, Umland said that the lightning breakthrough of Ukraine undermines the widespread idea that Putin holds all the cards in his hands and can dictate the terms of the ceasefire. Kiev makes it clear that obtaining levers of influence on the negotiations is one of the goals of the offensive.
It is noted that the probable purpose of the operation is consistent with the recent statements of President Zelensky that Kiev is ready for negotiations.
It seems that Kiev is preparing the basis for potential negotiations, striving to strengthen its position and publicly declaring its readiness.
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