Tropical Storm CARLOTTA to Intense HURRICANE Cat 2 100mph 🙏🏽

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Carlotta, ti
o become HURRICANE CATEGORY 2 located a few hundred miles southwest
of #Manzanillo #Mexico.

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to
the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California #peninsula
Conditions appear to be only marginally favorable for some
gradual development of this system over the next couple of
days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10
mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. #South of #CentralAmerica and Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of
Central America is producing some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this
system later this week where environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development. A #tropicaldepression is likely
to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several #days
remaining #offshore
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Landsea/Papin
North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the #tropicalcyclone Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
A large tropical wave located over the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
While development in the short-term is not anticipated as the system
moves over portions of the Greater Antilles, environmental
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for
development as the system moves generally west-northwestward towards
the #Bahamas and #Cuba A tropical depression could form this weekend
or early next week when the system is in the vicinity of the Greater
Antilles, Bahamas, or near #Florida Interests in the Greater
Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Landsea
www.nhc.noaa.gov
www.weather.gov
www.tropicaltidbits.com
www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

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