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SCOTT RITTER ON WHY ISRAEL WILL PROBABLY CEASE TO EXIST WITHIN 10 SHORT YEARS
Where does this leave Israel? You know, Israel is in a very difficult situation right now. And the Israelis know it. There's panic in Israel as we speak. In order for Israel, the nation, to exist, it needs to be literally a land of plenty, a land of comfort, a land of economic success. And to have that, Israel has to live in peace and harmony with its neighbors, and to be horizontally and vertically integrated with its neighbors from an economic standpoint. This was on October 6th. You know, everybody was talking about normalization of relations. Israel was negotiating normalization of relations with Saudi Arabia. Joe Biden had just gone to the G20 summit in India, where he bragged about what he called the India-Middle East economic corridor, which would connect India with Dubai, and Dubai with Saudi Arabia by rail from Jordan into Israel through Haifa into Greece, so that India and Europe are now connected by this corridor. And this is such a big deal that Benjamin Netanyahu himself briefed us during the General Assembly debate in September. He said, put another cartoon figure of the Iranian bomb. He put up a map that showed Israel's role in this. And this is what Israel needed to survive as a nation, to say, peace and prosperity. Israel will never again enjoy peace, ever. They're not going to defeat Hamas. Gaza is a permanent wound. It's not going to be resolved in Israel's favor. Israel is talking about extending the conflict into southern Lebanon against Hezbollah. Israel cannot win that conflict. I think one of the reasons why Israel hasn't yet launched an invasion is because they were reminded of that fact by Hezbollah, who successfully took out several iron dome sites in the city, letting the Israelis know that they could take out all the iron dome sites. And Israel had no ability to protect itself from tens of thousands of rockets that land on Israel, fired from Hezbollah on a daily basis. And if you hit Israel with enough rockets over a period of time, Israel doesn't exist. And the other thing is that Hezbollah isn't going to fight a fight that allows Israel to put 50,000 troops in southern Lebanon to push Hezbollah back to the Latakia River. Hezbollah has gone underground, just like Hamas did in Gaza. And while Israel is being fighting Hezbollah there, Hezbollah will appear in the rear of Israel and take Galilee, take the northern. Hezbollah will ensure that the next fight between Israel and Hezbollah isn't going to be fought amongst southern Lebanese villages, but amongst the villages and towns of northern Israel. And Hezbollah will win this fight. Israel now knows this. But we've shown that Israel's sea lines of communications are vulnerable and have been successfully interdicted. And Israel has suffered billions of dollars of economic loss as a result. And then there's the continued attacks from Gaza, from Yemen, from Hezbollah, from Iraq now. The pro-Iranian Shia militias are now firing drones and cruise missiles that are striking Haifa, the city of Haifa. The bottom line is that Israel will never know peace as long as it continues this current stance. The Indian-Middle East economic corridor is finished. It's not going to be revived because of the normalization of relations between Israel and its neighbors. It's ridiculous. Israel has lost the support it enjoyed amongst other nations around the world. In fact, the only nation that unabashedly supports Israel is the United States. Everybody else is turning their back on Israel. Israel has lost the world, which means that if this is not rectified and it won't be rectified, that millions of Israelis are going to start asking themselves the question, can we continue to live in Israel? Is it the quality of life that we were expecting? Is this a healthy enough economy do I want to subject my family to the economic pressures and psychological pressures of living in a besieged Israeli state? And the answer is no. Millions of Israelis have dual citizenship. They hold second passports. And we've already seen hundreds of thousands of them flee Israel. And if the situation deteriorates, you'll see millions more. And as Israel depopulates, it becomes less and less viable as a nation state, especially in terms of a singular state. Israel's in big trouble. The only thing that's holding Israel up right now is the support of the United States. The United States just passed a resolution that was voted in favor of by the Security Council. If Israel disregards this, they're going to lose the United States. The United States will have no choice but to move forward and impose some sort of restrictions on Israel. And we can make the following observation throughout the modern history of Israel, especially since the 6-Day War in 1967, no Israeli prime minister has been able to remain in power without the support of the United States. And no American president has been able to be elected without the support of the state of Israel. We have a situation now where Joe Biden is probably going to be compelled to decisively act against the state of Israel. This is going to create tremendous political problems for him here in the United States. And we have a problem for Mr. Netanyahu that he's going to have to act in a manner which alienates him from the United States at a time when his government is in collapse. And there may be the necessity for a re-election, but this is going to damage him politically. So this is a big deal. This resolution puts both the United States and Israel, both Biden and Bibi in a lot of hot water, which only then comes back to the point I was making. None of this promotes stability and peace. All of this promotes continued chaos and anarchy. And this will be disruptive to the region, disruptive to Israel, and probably even more to Israel itself. I don't see Israel lasting a decade. I don't see Israel as currently surviving another 10 years. It can't. Its economy will collapse. And it's the political isolation that will be real. And as we move forward with the two-state solution, then the works of both states are viable. But as Israel depopulates, remember that if Israel is compelled to move towards a two-state solution, there's going to be big problems. There's going to be a lot of Israelis that are going to say, we don't want to live in a two-state solution. They'll leave. The other thing is you have a bunch of West Bank settlers in there who have stolen land that they're going to have to be evicted. That is another guaranteed outcome for this. The settlers cannot be allowed to remain in any construct. That is Palestinian land. If the Israelis move against those West Bank settlers, there's going to be a crisis of confidence inside Israel. Again, those settlers aren't going to say, OK, we're just going to stay in Israel. These are Brooklyn Jews who fled the United States knowing they were going to steal land and stay there. These are people who don't believe in hard work. They don't believe in earning anything. They're thieves. They're thugs. They're murderers. They're bandits. And when they lose their settlements, they're going to go back to where they came from, the United States or Australia or Canada or Europe. They're not staying. Israel's going to depopulate and lose its most fervent Zionist elements, which means that the Israelis that stay behind are going to be those Israelis who are conditioned to the understanding that Israel has to live peacefully with their Palestinian neighbors, which means that the Zionist entity, this Zionist experiment, is finished and that whatever emerges from this isn't going to be called the state of Israel. It's going to be called the state of Palestine. And hopefully, it will incorporate a significant Jewish population, of course, a significant Muslim population, a significant Christian population, Jewish population, the current population of Palestine. It's going to have to come together and learn to live together. I had an interesting question from somebody the other day who talked about maybe the Irish could provide some sort of guidance based on the Northern Ireland compromises that have been made in terms of governance between Catholics and Protestants. And I thought that was a genius idea. So who knows what the future holds? But none of this bodes well for this entity known as Israel today, the Zionist state of the future does not bode well. Yeah, and when you mentioned the United States possibly turning on Israel or at least placing pressure on Israel to comply with something like this UN Security Council resolution, I immediately hearkened to this video clip, this interview of a brief press report that Antony Blinken gave now in Egypt. And I just want to show what he said and have you react to it. Sorry about that. Because, and then we can finish up here. Because I think it goes to show that there's a lot of, I think, very impassioned, quote, unquote, ironclad still support of the United States, I definitely agree, is feeling the pressure to bring this thing, or at least the iteration that we're in, this brutal genocide to a particular kind of close. But even so, you're going to have to say when, just, just after this horrific military operation, called the Russia operation happens, is what he said when he landed in Egypt. And of course, what separates Israel, the United States, and other democracies when it comes to incredibly difficult situations like this is our respect for international law and as appropriate to the laws of war. So we know that Israel will take all of the precautions that they can, just as we would. And again, that's what separates us from Hamas. And of course, that's what separates the United States and Israel from Hamas. The final word, Scott. I love what you said, and as appropriate to the laws of war. It's appropriate. I know that when I was going through my officer training at the end, and we received extensive training on the law of war, that the judge advocate who was up there schooling us never once said, and as appropriate, the laws of war. He said the laws of war are absolute, and you will go to hell if you violate them. I mean, that was drilled into our mind, the absolute imperative of Marine Corps leadership, to ensure that the men and women that we're entrusted to lead into harm's way never allow the emotion of war to get the better of them, never allow revenge and, you know, to allow the death of your fellow Marine to turn you into a maniacal killer of innocent civilians. There wasn't a, as appropriate, no, no, no, it was absolute. It's because the law of war is absolute. So Lincoln gave away the farm there. That's one of the more dumb things that he could say. But the fact is, and here we have the International Court of Justice, the court mandate by the United Nations Charter, you know, calling what Israel is doing genocide. And we have a rate that appears to have violated, you know, critical elements of proportionality when it comes to this legal question of, can you use humanitarian aid as a front for carrying out a military operation? Is that a violation? You're not allowed to launch a tax from hospitals. So could you be allowed to launch a tax from a pier that was built for the purpose of delivering humanitarian goods? There's a whole bunch of questions here, but Lincoln, you know, this is a line through his seat. Israel has not been operating in conformity with international humanitarian law. The law of war in Israel is a gross violator of international law in the United States and facilitating Israel's actions is likewise a gross violator. So with all due respect to the Secretary of State, he's dead wrong on this. But again, what do you expect from a Biden administration which has provided widespread support for the crimes committed by Israel's assistance to both sides?
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