Ongoing Russia-Ukraine Conflict Extends into 2024

Russia-Ukraine War Update (2024):

Russia has deployed Howitzers near Finland's border after seizing the town of Marinka in eastern Ukraine, a key gateway for drones.
Ukraine destroyed a Russian landing ship in an attack on a naval base in Crimea.
After 672 days, Russia controls about one-fourth of Ukraine, with a front line of approximately 1,000 km showing little change in the past year.
2023 Ukrainian Hopes and Disappointments:

The year 2023 began with high hopes for a Ukrainian counteroffensive, but disappointment followed, especially after Russia captured Marinka.
Despite setbacks, Ukraine has made gains in the south and east, recovering over half the territory seized by Russia since February 2022.
Challenges and Military Support for Ukraine in 2024:

Ukraine faces ammunition shortages, with challenges in receiving timely military support, as the EU struggles to deliver promised ammunition by March.
Republican support in the U.S. and the actions of Viktor Orban, Hungary's leader, hinder military aid to Ukraine.
Russia's Hybrid Warfare Tactics:

Russia deploys Howitzers near Finland's border, engaging in hybrid warfare measures without expanding the conflict beyond Ukraine.
Attempts to push migrants, including asylum seekers, across the border aim to overwhelm Finland, mirroring tactics used with Poland in 2021.
Analysis and Outlook:

Stalemate is deemed a lazy characterization; despite front lines remaining relatively static, Ukraine continues to disrupt Russian control.
Ukraine's actions in breaking Russia's control of the Black Sea and targeting oil and ammunition facilities demonstrate ongoing resistance.
The key challenge for Putin is to break international support for Ukraine through propaganda, portraying the situation as a stalemate to discourage aid.

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