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#Artificialintelligence (#AI) is a #technology that is already revolutionizing our world, with ChatG
#Artificialintelligence (#AI) is a #technology that is already revolutionizing our world, with ChatGPT being the first widely available #generativeAI. As AI companies race to develop and deploy better models, it is expected that AI will become more intelligent than the most brilliant human within a few years. This is known as "artificial #general #intelligence," or #AGI, which means that AIs will inevitably outperform the best of humans across specific cognitive domains.
The #AI #DominoEffect illustrates how AI will eventually evolve into AGI and then ASI. Imagine a long chain of dominoes representing #cognitive tasks, each increasing in complexity and size. The smaller dominoes at the start might symbolize simpler #tasks, like basic #calculations, while the larger, more complex dominoes further down the line represent higher-order tasks, such as creating art, writing screenplays, writing computer code, or conducting scientific research. As time passes and tech companies improve AI, these more powerful #AIs will #outperform humans in progressively more demanding #cognitive #endeavors.
Today's AI systems can perform as well as or better than humans across a wide range of tasks, such as writing poetry, generating art, stock market analysis, #medical #diagnoses, legal document review, and passing the #Turingtest by fooling #humans into believing they are interacting with another human rather than an AI. Instead of one AI being "smarter" than any human across all cognitive domains, it is more likely that we will first have different AIs that are each trained to be experts in their respective domains (e.g. law, medicine, history, philosophy, programming, creating music).
Specific #AIs like #Midjourney and #DALLE 3 for creating art and @OpenAI #Codex for computer #programming are already available. From one perspective, we will reach a form of AGI when there are numerous specialized #AIs that can each #outperform the best humans within their respective domains. From one perspective, we will reach a form of #AGI when we have numerous specialized AIs that can each outperform the best humans within their respective domains.
The concept of artificial general intelligence (#AGI) enters the domino chain because it is not simply about mastering a single task but about excelling at any cognitive task that a human can perform. At that point, the AI doesn't just exceed human capabilities in specialized areas but broadly matches or exceeds human intelligence across a wide range of tasks.
#Recursive #selfimprovement is a pivotal concept in the development of AI systems, where they become adept at improving their code. This could lead to rapid advances that are difficult to predict and control. Beyond AGI lies artificial #superintelligence (ASI), where AI surpasses all human intelligence combined. This potential is both exhilarating and terrifying, as it could solve complex problems that humans cannot or pose risks that we haven't even conceived.
Understanding the #progression toward #AGI and #ASI is crucial because it shapes our future in unimaginable ways. Developing new technologies, such as quantum computing, with which AI can assist could rapidly propel AGI to ASI. However, the possibility of AI evolving into ASI raises important ethical and technical considerations. We have an n of zero upon which to base our predictions, and we have an n of zero upon which to base our predictions.
Human #intervention is the wildcard that could slow #AI's advance. Through our collective efforts, we can skillfully use #AI to benefit #humanity, such as slowing or reversing climate change or curing cancer. Ethical considerations, regulations, or unforeseen #technological #limitations could act as barriers, slowing the fall of the next domino. The coordinated efforts of humans can slow the march toward AGI and ASI, but we must ensure that we have appropriate #guardrails in place to mitigate the substantial risks.
#Artificialintelligence has amazing potential, but it also creates perils for ourselves. We cannot access the incredible power of #AI to do good without simultaneously creating the ability to do wrong. A race to create utopia with AI opens the door to #dystopian scenarios. We must develop and use AI with great #wisdom and skill, or suffer the consequences. We have much to gain from using AI wisely and much to lose from using it foolishly or recklessly. It is time to level up and be more united than ever to face the challenges of evolving #AIs.
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