Padres vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Starters String Together Zeroes in Toronto

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The Toronto Blue Jays dropping their series opener to the San Diego Padres was almost too predictable. It was Alek Manoah’s first start in over a month against a real major-league lineup, and it did not go well. 
So, the Blue Jays will try to reset in Game 2 in what should be an interesting pitching matchup as Yu Darvish toes the rubber against Jose Berrios. Can Toronto rebound as slight home favorites, or will San Diego steal this interleague series as road dogs?
I break down the MLB odds and bring you my best bet, plus a juicy same-game...

The Toronto Blue Jays dropping their series opener to the San Diego Padres was almost too predictable. It was Alek Manoah’s first start in over a month against a real major-league lineup, and it did not go well. 
So, the Blue Jays will try to reset in Game 2 in what should be an interesting pitching matchup as Yu Darvish toes the rubber against Jose Berrios. Can Toronto rebound as slight home favorites, or will San Diego steal this interleague series as road dogs?
I break down the MLB odds and bring you my best bet, plus a juicy same-game parlay in our MLB picks and predictions for Padres vs. Blue Jays on Wednesday, July 19.
Padres vs Blue Jays odds San Diego Padres Toronto Blue Jays -105 Moneyline -115 +1.5 (-200) Run line -1.5 (+170) Over 9 (+100) Total Under 9 (-120) Odds courtesy of bet365 as of July 19, 2023. Padres vs Blue Jays predictions
The Padres took last night’s opener, 9-1, in a result that felt all too predictable. It was Alek Manoah’s first real start against a big-league lineup since getting sent back down to the minors in early June.
While some calls may not have gone Manoah’s way, he was clearly still battling his control, handing over five free passes while racking up 92 pitches in just three innings of work. San Diego jumped all over him, getting out to a 4-1 lead and never looking back.
And even though the Padres were able to take advantage of Manoah, things should be different tonight. The Jose Berrios bounce-back this season has been a revelation, and frankly, a needed one with the way Manoah has pitched. 
Berrios was a little inconsistent over the first month of the season, but he sure has settled down since. The right-hander is pitching to a 2.61 ERA while limiting opponents to a .222 batting average over his last 13 starts. Berrios also has the advantage of pitching at home. He has a 2.83 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over eight starts at the Rogers Centre.
So, while San Diego has plenty of talent, the lineup has clearly underperformed this season. Berrios will pose a much tougher matchup than Manoah. The Padres own the second-lowest batting average in baseball when facing right-handed pitching, and rank 18th in OPS and 15th in wRC+.
Countering Berrios is Yu Darvish and like most of the Padres, 2023 hasn’t gone as planned for him. That said, he has pitched better than his ERA. The right-hander’s expected ERA is sitting at 3.65 while he's limiting opponents to a .368 expected slugging percentage, and he has a solid strikeout rate of 25.9%.
With the way Darvish changes speeds and locations with his large arsenal of pitches, he does a solid job of keeping hitters off balance, even against a solid lineup like the Blue Jays. And we just saw Joe Musgrove do something similar last night, limiting Toronto to one run on five hits over six innings.
On top of that, the Padres and Jays rank 28th and 27th, respectively, in OPS with runners in scoring position. I’m betting the starting pitching will be good enough early on to keep this game close and below the five-inning total. My best bet: First-five Under 5 (-120 at bet365) Padres vs Blue Jays same-game parlay First-five Under 5.5 (-165) Yu Darvish Over 5.5 strikeouts (-130) Jose Berrios Over 5.5 strikeouts (+115) Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 hits (+185) Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 hits (+110) The theme of tonight’s same-game parlay will be backing the starting pitchers to do the...