Rays vs Rangers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Pitchers Keep Runs to a Minimum

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Fans will get to enjoy a potential ALCS preview this week, as the Tampa Bay Rays visit the Texas Rangers for a three-game series beginning on Monday night.
Tampa Bay (60-36) owns the best record in the American League but has been struggling a bit as of late, losing eight of its last 11 games. Texas (55-39) leads the AL West, has the best run differential in the majors, and is coming off a three-game sweep of the Guardians.
The series starts Monday night with a great pitching matchup between Shane McClanahan and Dane Dunning. We’ll break down what this...

Fans will get to enjoy a potential ALCS preview this week, as the Tampa Bay Rays visit the Texas Rangers for a three-game series beginning on Monday night.
Tampa Bay (60-36) owns the best record in the American League but has been struggling a bit as of late, losing eight of its last 11 games. Texas (55-39) leads the AL West, has the best run differential in the majors, and is coming off a three-game sweep of the Guardians.
The series starts Monday night with a great pitching matchup between Shane McClanahan and Dane Dunning. We’ll break down what this means for tonight’s matchup in our free MLB picks and predictions for Rays vs. Rangers on July 17.
Rays vs Rangers odds Rays vs Rangers predictions Shane McClanahan came out of the gate as one of the best young pitchers in the league when he debuted with Tampa Bay in 2021. Since then, the lefty has only gotten better.
For the second straight year, McClanahan is a contender for the Cy Young Award, and even if he can’t quite win it this season, it’s starting to seem inevitable that he’ll be adding to his trophy case at some point.
McClanahan currently leads the AL in ERA (2.53) and wins (11), while holding opponents to a 1.167 WHIP. While he went through two rough starts right before the All-Star break due to back tightness, he's now ready to return and should be at full strength given his nearly three weeks of rest.
Rangers starter Dane Dunning isn’t nearly as heralded as McClanahan but has been excellent for Texas in 2023. Initially used out of the bullpen, Texas moved Dunning to the rotation in May, and he has generally rewarded them with solid starts.
Dunning has thrown to a 3.14 ERA as a starter and can go deep enough into games to at least keep that position through the rest of the regular season.
Tonight’s game features two of the top offenses in the majors, with the Rangers leading the league at 5.86 runs scored per game, but there’s no guarantee that either lineup will thrive when facing off against capable pitching. And even if one of these teams manages to break through, it’s hard to imagine two-way traffic resulting in a slugfest tonight.
Over their last nine games, the Rays are averaging just 3.55 runs per game. Even the Rangers have slowed down a bit, with their output dropping to just five runs per game in their last eight contests — and that’s without facing a pitcher the caliber of McClanahan over that span.
Despite the matchup, sportsbooks saw tonight’s game and set a reasonably high total of 8.5. Bettors then jumped on the party, moving the Over/Under up to a flat 9. In my opinion, that number shows a shocking lack of respect for McClanahan and Dunning, who should be able to keep these lineups in check. I’m taking the Under tonight. My best bet: Under 9 (-115 at Caesars) Rays vs Rangers same-game parlay Under 9.5 (-160) Dane Dunning to record 4+ strikeouts (-260) Shane McLanahan to record 6+ strikeouts (-110) For my same-game parlay tonight, I’m going to bank on both pitchers getting the job done in a big game for these teams. That starts by playing into my best bet by anchoring this SGP with the Under at 9.5 runs.
Then, we’ll take strikeout props on both starting pitchers. We’ll be a little more careful with Dunning, who doesn’t typically go as deep into games, and bet on the Texas starter to get at least four strikeouts. We can be a bit more aggressive when it co...

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