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Today’s MLB Prop Picks and Best Bets: Elly Keeps Cruzing Saturday
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Hogan's heroes
Carlos Correa isn’t having the kind of season the Minnesota Twins paid him for when they signed the superstar shortstop before the 2022 season. While Correa lived up to expectations last year, he’s hitting just .228 with a .704 OPS in 2023, both of which would be the worst numbers of his nine-year career.
Things have looked a bit better for Correa lately. Over his last nine games, he’s hitting .314, though he’s still struggling to find much power, with just two extra-base hits and a single run batted in over that span. But at least he’s putting...
Hogan's heroes
Carlos Correa isn’t having the kind of season the Minnesota Twins paid him for when they signed the superstar shortstop before the 2022 season. While Correa lived up to expectations last year, he’s hitting just .228 with a .704 OPS in 2023, both of which would be the worst numbers of his nine-year career.
Things have looked a bit better for Correa lately. Over his last nine games, he’s hitting .314, though he’s still struggling to find much power, with just two extra-base hits and a single run batted in over that span. But at least he’s putting the ball in play now, which is a promising sign after he failed to hit above .230 in any full month through June.
While his numbers are down, Correa is still most effective against lefthanded pitching, with an OPS that is 36 points higher against southpaws. He’ll get a particularly juicy spot on Saturday night, as he gets to face off against Oakland starter Hogan Harris.
Harris has been nothing short of terrible for the Athletics this season. The 26-year-old rookie has nine appearances (four as a starter), and has thrown to a 6.07 ERA. He is allowing nearly a hit per inning, and righthanded batters have a .765 OPS against him. In his last two starts, he’s given up 11 earned runs on 17 hits over just 10 innings.
This is a dream scenario for Correa, who should feast on Harris and his stuff, which is just uncompetitive at the MLB level. Correa is already heating up with 11 hits in his last nine games, and this is a perfect opportunity to build on that momentum. I’m looking for Correa to do some damage tonight against the woeful Athletics pitching staff, whether that’s Harris or their equally vulnerable bullpen. Carlos Correa prop : Over 1.5 total bases (+100) Seeing ghosts
The Mets are bad. They were terrible again last night, finishing with just one hit — a first-inning leadoff double by Brandon Nimmo — in a 6-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers that left the Citi Field crowd booing once again at the conclusion. We’re about at the point where this can be called a lost season for the Mets.
However, there has been at least one surprising bright spot in New York. Japanese import Kodai Senga has made an impressive MLB debut at age 30, beguiling opposing batters with what he calls his “ghost forkball.”
In reality, the pitch is something of a hybrid of a splitter and a traditional forkball, usually coming into batters at around 85 mph and dropping sharply through the strike zone. That pitch helped Senga earn an invitation to the All-Star Game, as he went 7-5 with a 3.31 ERA over the first half of the year.
While Senga has been merely good rather than spectacular, his strikeout numbers have been otherworldly. In 89.2 innings, he has struck out 113 batters, good for 11.3 Ks per nine innings. He was only getting better at finishing off batters as the All-Star break approached, striking out 20 hitters in 13 innings over his last two starts.
Senga gets most of his strikeouts via the ghost forkball. And while this is anecdotal, it stands to reason that this is a pitch that’s especially hard to deal with the first time you see it. We do know that two divisional rivals, the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies, have seen Senga twice and struck out at a lower rate the second time around.
The Dodgers haven’t seen Senga yet, however, and will get their first taste of him on Saturday nigh...
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