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Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Checked Out Early
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The Los Angeles Sparks are heading to the WNBA All-Star Break on quite a tailspin, losing five straight with a sixth quite likely tonight. The Las Vegas Aces are heading to the break, preparing to host the festivities, on a two-game winning streak and winning 11 of their last 12. The question tonight should not be who will win, but can the defending champions rise up to cover a 12.5-point spread?
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for the Aces vs the Sparks on July 12, with tip set for 10:00 ET.
Aces vs Sparks best odds Aces...
The Los Angeles Sparks are heading to the WNBA All-Star Break on quite a tailspin, losing five straight with a sixth quite likely tonight. The Las Vegas Aces are heading to the break, preparing to host the festivities, on a two-game winning streak and winning 11 of their last 12. The question tonight should not be who will win, but can the defending champions rise up to cover a 12.5-point spread?
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for the Aces vs the Sparks on July 12, with tip set for 10:00 ET.
Aces vs Sparks best odds Aces vs Sparks picks and predictions
The Las Vegas Aces righted their ship Tuesday with a 26-point win against the Phoenix Mercury, hardly a tough task but still one that exceeded even bookmakers’ expectations, given they favored Las Vegas by just 17 points. Yes, “just” 17 points.
That made two clear covers and outright wins in a row for the Aces, needed after struggling with the Wings in a two-game series last week. Dallas undid Las Vegas first by winning the turnover battle, 13-8, and second by outrebounding the Aces, 36-25.
In beating Minnesota over the weekend, the Aces won both those box-score indicators. Beating Phoenix last night, they forced nine turnovers while giving up only three and were within one rebound entering the fourth quarter with a 27-point lead before the Mercury snagged two more boards in the final frame to create an optically-worrisome 38-35 gap.
Yes, the Lynx and the Mercury are some of the league’s worst teams, but so are the Los Angeles Sparks. The Sparks are the second-worst team in the league in grabbing rebounds, ahead of only Phoenix, and gives up the second-most rebounds per 100 possessions in the league, while Las Vegas ranks No. 2 in opponent rebounds.
The Aces’ only struggles in a month should not be a worry against the Sparks.
But, a 12.5-point spread just before a week off could be a problem. If ever there was a moment for a fourth-quarter scoreboard letdown, it would be tonight.
In fact, that feels even likely. And if it is, then one thing should come with it: the Under.
The Aces are going to let up tonight once they are well ahead. It will be only human. And in doing so, the offense will suffer. This total of 169.5 is tilted toward Las Vegas. The Aces may be only a 12-8 team toward their Overs, but their last 10 games have averaged pregame totals of 170.9. The Sparks’ last 10 games have averaged pregame totals of 160.6.
A total this high tonight is betting on Las Vegas putting the pedal to the metal for the full 40 minutes, but a blowout will allow the Aces to ease into the party in their hometown, starting perhaps with a night on the prowl in Los Angeles. Letting up like that will create a mundane fourth quarter and an Under opportunity. My best bet: Under 169.5 (-110 at Fanduel) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best WNBA bonuses
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