Demilitarisation Update August 31, 2023

Ukraine's Western Sponsors Running Out of Ammo & Out of Time
The New Atlas
Update on Ukraine conflict for August 31, 2023

- The Western media is trying to spin Ukrainian gains within the security or “gray zone” ahead of Russia’s first of several defense lines as a “turning point” in the offensive;

- Ukraine’s offensive potential has been exhausted with the West struggling to find arms and ammunition to replace Ukrainian losses;

- The West is even struggling to pull together large numbers of antiquated and inappropriate equipment like the post-WW2 Leopard 1 tank;

- Meanwhile Ukraine continues conducting drone strikes in Russia, achieving questionable PR value and little else;

- A recent Ukrainian drone strike on an airport hosting Il-76 strategic airlift aircraft damaged 2. To put that in context, Russia operates over 100 of these aircraft and has production capacity to build up to 12 annually;

- Ukraine’s sponsors are unable to sustain the conflict “for as long as it takes,” and only for as long as they have arms and ammunition to supply Ukraine in sufficient quantities;

References:

Forbes - Two Ukrainian Air Assault Brigades Are Flanking Russia’s Next Strongpoint On The Road To Melitopol (August 29, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/08/29/two-ukrainian-air-assault-brigades-are-flanking-russias-next-strongpoint-on-the-road-to-melitopol/?sh=71ada6bc1d1c
Forbes - As Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Gains Momentum, Russia Is Deploying Some Of Its Last Good Reserves (August 27, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/08/27/as-ukraines-counteroffensive-gains-momentum-russia-is-deploying-some-of-its-last-good-reserves/?sh=e96a1f372bf8
Reuters - Ukrainian drones attack Russian air base near Estonia (August 30, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukrainian-drones-attack-russian-air-base-near-estonia-2023-08-30/
Ukrainska Pravda - Drone attack on Pskov: first satellite images of airfield (August 31, 2023):
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/08/31/7417802/
US Agency for Global Media - Radio Svoboda:
https://www.usagm.gov/tag/radio-svoboda/
Air Data News - 50 years after first flight, Il-76 is still being produced in Russia (2021):
https://www.airdatanews.com/50-years-after-first-flight-il-76-is-still-being-produced-in-russia/
US State Department - New Package of Additional U.S. Military Assistance for Ukraine (August 29, 2023):
https://www.state.gov/new-package-of-additional-u-s-military-assistance-for-ukraine/
US Defense Department - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (August 29, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3509116/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
The Drive - Ukraine’s Mi-24 Hinds Now Armed With U.S. 70mm Hydra Rockets (August 1, 2023):
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraines-mi-24-hinds-now-armed-with-u-s-70mm-hydra-rockets
Forbes - To Free Up Another Hundred Leopard 1 Tanks For Ukraine, German Diplomats Are Getting Creative (August 29, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/08/29/to-free-up-another-hundred-leopard-1-tanks-for-ukraine-german-diplomats-are-getting-creative/?sh=7d5f3f9852e0

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