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Alouettes vs Lions Week 5 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Ready to Roar
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Week 5 in the CFL wraps up on Sunday with a showdown between the Montreal Alouettes and BC Lions. Both teams will try to bounce back from their first defeats of the year after the Lions got destroyed by the Argonauts and the Als were shut down by the Blue Bombers last weekend. CFL betting lines opened with the Leos as 7-point home favorites before that number ticked up to -7.5. Here are my best free CFL picks and predictions for Alouettes vs. Lions on Sunday, July 9.
Alouettes vs Lions best odds Alouettes vs Lions picks and predictions
Lions...
Week 5 in the CFL wraps up on Sunday with a showdown between the Montreal Alouettes and BC Lions. Both teams will try to bounce back from their first defeats of the year after the Lions got destroyed by the Argonauts and the Als were shut down by the Blue Bombers last weekend. CFL betting lines opened with the Leos as 7-point home favorites before that number ticked up to -7.5. Here are my best free CFL picks and predictions for Alouettes vs. Lions on Sunday, July 9.
Alouettes vs Lions best odds Alouettes vs Lions picks and predictions
Lions quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. is coming off one of his worst performances as a pro, throwing six interceptions in a 45-24 loss to the Argonauts on Monday.
That said, the 2019 East All-Star is a veteran with a proven track record and he has the requisite mentality to bounce back this week. Despite those six picks, Adams still threw for 388 yards and wasn't benched, which shows the faith this team has in him as well as the quality of his receiving targets.
Those targets will be bolstered by the return of 2021 All-Star Lucky Whitehead, who missed last week with a hamstring injury. Whitehead, Dominique Rhymes, and Keon Hatcher give Adams one of the best groups of wideouts in the CFL and they'll look to take advantage of an Alouttes secondary that will likely be missing its top defensive back Ciante Evans.
Adams will also have plenty of time to throw with Montreal's defense ranking second-last in the CFL in pressure rate — a far cry from last week when they faced an Argos stop unit that leads the league in that category.
The main concern when betting on passing yards props for a QB on a 7.5-point favorite is that his team could lean on the ground game if they get up big. Don't expect that to happen here.
The Leos starting running back Taquan Mizzell is sidelined with a knee injury and backup Kienan LaFrance is also injured. That means the only running back on their roster is 186-pound rookie Shaun Shivers who they signed off the street less than two weeks ago.
Suffice to say that Adams will be airing it out on Sunday and should surpass his relatively modest passing yards total. My best bet: Vernon Adams Jr. Over 249.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel) Alouettes vs Lions same-game parlay Vernon Adams Jr. Over 249.5 passing yards (-114) Keon Hatcher Over 54.5 receiving yards (-114) Austin Mack Over 71.5 receiving yards (-114) Hatcher broke out with 1,043 receiving yards last season and he was even better in the playoffs where he totaled 295 yards in a pair of contests. He missed the first three games of this season with a foot injury, but showed he was back to full strength on Monday, hauling in eight of 10 targets for 104 yards.
Although Rhymes might be the best receiver in the league, Hatcher's O/U on receiving yards in nearly 20 yards lower and he should get plenty of targets in the slot as he bullies Montreal's smaller defensive backs.
Since I'm backing Adams and the Lions offense to have a big game it makes sense to assume that the Als will also be throwing the ball a lot as they try to play catch up. Montreal's wide receiver corps has been decimated by injuries, but Austin Mack has been carrying the offense.
The first-year wideout has been one of the league's breakout players this season and has racked up more than 80 receiving yards in every contest. He should continue to see plenty of targets with R...
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