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Braves vs Rays Predictions, Picks, Odds: No One Can Stop Atlanta
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Two of the top teams in the majors face off in the Sunshine State today with the Tampa Bay Rays hosting the Atlanta Braves. This is the second contest of a three-game set at Tropicana Field with Atlanta taking the opener last night in a 2-1 pitcher's duel.
The Braves are sending ace Spencer Strider to the mound for today's showdown and MLB betting lines opened with them installed as -145 road favorites. Here are my best free MLB picks and predictions for Braves at Rays on July 8.
Braves vs Rays odds Braves vs Rays predictions Spencer Strider was...
Two of the top teams in the majors face off in the Sunshine State today with the Tampa Bay Rays hosting the Atlanta Braves. This is the second contest of a three-game set at Tropicana Field with Atlanta taking the opener last night in a 2-1 pitcher's duel.
The Braves are sending ace Spencer Strider to the mound for today's showdown and MLB betting lines opened with them installed as -145 road favorites. Here are my best free MLB picks and predictions for Braves at Rays on July 8.
Braves vs Rays odds Braves vs Rays predictions Spencer Strider was the runner-up for NL Rookie of the Year last season (behind teammate Michael Harris II) and has quickly emerged as one of the best pitchers in the majors. He's 10-2 with an expected ERA of 3.17 in 17 starts this season and his MLB-leading 14.2 strikeouts per nine innings is 2.2 strikeouts higher than second-place Kevin Gausman. Strider had back-to-back poor outings in June but has allowed just four runs while fanning 28 batters in 19 2/3 innings since.
The Rays are giving the pill to struggling rookie Taj Bradley. The 22-year-old was sent down to the minors in April and despite getting rocked at Triple-A Durham (surrendering 21 runs in 16 innings), he was recalled after injuries decimated Tampa Bay's rotation. In nine starts since slotting back into the rotation, Bradley has a 5.93 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and an OBA of .290.
Bradley ranks in the Bottom 20th percentile in hard-hit rate and exit velocity, which is bad news against an Atlanta lineup that leads the majors in both categories. The Braves also lead the majors in wOBA (.360) with that number surging to an incredible .398 since the start of June.
The Rays are third in the majors in wOBA (.341) but their bats have gone cold since the start of June with that number plummeting to .312.
The Braves have gone a sizzling 19-2 in their last 21 games and with their best hurler on the mound against a struggling rookie, there's little reason to consider the underdogs at this number. With the disparity in starting pitchers for this matchup, I'm backing the Braves to have the lead after five innings. My best bet: Braves first five innings -0.5 (-120 at bet365) Braves vs Rays same-game parlay Braves first five innings -0.5 (-120) Taj Bradley Over 5.5 strikeouts (+105) Matt Olson Over 1.5 total bases (-105) +650 at bet365
While Bradley has been getting hit hard, he has electric stuff and his strikeout rate ranks in the Top 15th percentile. Despite striking out fewer than 5.5 batters in his last two outings, he has still eclipsed that number in eight of 12 starts on the year. Fading the Rays in the first five innings and backing their starter to go Over his strikeouts prop provides a nice multiplier for a parlay. Ronald Acuna Jr. might be the overwhelming favorite in NL MVP odds but teammate Matt Olson isn't far behind him on the total bases leaderboard. Olson is tied for third in the majors with 192 total bases and is slashing .254/.360/.573 this season. Olson has been red-hot lately, slugging .688 over the last month, and the left-handed power-hitter will hold the platoon advantage against Bradley. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Braves vs Rays moneyline and Over/Under analysis
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