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Blue Jays vs Tigers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Runs for $200, Alek
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Take a deep breath Toronto Blue Jays fans. Alek Manoah is starting a baseball game tonight. Manoah will make his first start since being sent down to the minors to re-find his game, following a disastrous first two months of the season.
Toronto will try to toss Manoah a softball in his return to Big League action by having him take the mound against the light-hitting Detroit Tigers.
But is a month in the minors enough to get Manoah back on track? And is it enough to give you the confidence to back the Jays as healthy road favorites in...
Take a deep breath Toronto Blue Jays fans. Alek Manoah is starting a baseball game tonight. Manoah will make his first start since being sent down to the minors to re-find his game, following a disastrous first two months of the season.
Toronto will try to toss Manoah a softball in his return to Big League action by having him take the mound against the light-hitting Detroit Tigers.
But is a month in the minors enough to get Manoah back on track? And is it enough to give you the confidence to back the Jays as healthy road favorites in Detroit on Friday night?
I break down the MLB odds and bring you my best bet, plus a same-game parlay in MLB picks and predictions, Blue Jays vs. Tigers.
Blue Jays vs Tigers odds Blue Jays vs Tigers predictions
I was surprised the Toronto Blue Jays recalled Alek Manoah to pitch in this spot and I don’t really understand their thought process here. It seemed like the Blue Jays' would leave the big right-hander in the minors at least through the All-Star break as now this almost feels like a lose-lose situation. Manoah either pitches well against the Detroit Tigers and what amounts to a Triple-A lineup, or he pitches poorly against what amounts to a Triple-A lineup.
For those unaware, Manoah was sent down to the Blue Jays training facility in Florida following his June 5 start vs. the Houston Astros, which lasted just a third of an inning where he got tagged for six runs on seven hits. It was the culmination of a dumpster fire that was the first two months of the season for a pitcher who finished third in American League Cy Young voting a season ago.
Nothing was going right for Manoah. His velocity was down. He lost his command. And he wasn’t striking out anyone. The right-hander pitched to a 6.85 expected ERA and surrendered a 2.85 expected batting average and a.495 expected slugging percentage which were all in the Bottom 9% of the MLB.
So, the Jays sent him down to reportedly work on his mechanics and get in better shape. But can that really be accomplished in a month?
He made one rookie ball start. And he got rocked for 11 earned runs on 10 hits in just 2 2/3 innings. Now, sure, maybe he was working on something. But that's bad. His next outing was much better where he gave up just one run on three hits with 10 strikeouts in five innings at Double-A New Hampshire. But is that enough to say he’s ready for Big League hitting again?
Now, the Tigers are bad at hitting but even bad-hitting teams can take advantage of bad pitching. And there is nowhere that Manoah was worse than in the first inning. Manoah owns an ugly 10.95 ERA, surrendering a .959 OPS in the first inning this season. So, the Tigers have a good chance to get off to a good start tonight.
But they’re not the only ones.
That’s because the Tigers hand the ball to Alex Faedo. The right-hander is making just his sixth start of the season and while the first four went fairly well, pitching to a 4.15 ERA, he got lit up last time out against the Texas Rangers giving up six runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings.
Toronto has some trouble cashing in runners this season, but overall they rank sixth in batting average, ninth in OPS, and sixth in wRC+ when facing right-handed pitching this season.
I’m taking a shot at Manoah not being ready to return and the Jays bats to be riding the momentum of the week’s sweep of the Chicago White Sox. Take the Over 1.5 runs in the first...
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