Cubs vs Brewers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Something's Brewing Tonight

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The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers will continue their close, high-scoring series tonight in the third installment of a four-game set that has seen the NL Central teams split the opening two games. 
The MLB odds see the Cubs sit at -150 favorites thanks to a starting pitching advantage (Justin Steele vs. Adrian Houser) but should bettors be backing the home side at plus money thanks to a stable starter in Houser and a shorter leash on Steele?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Cubs vs. Brewers for Wednesday, July 5.
Cubs...

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers will continue their close, high-scoring series tonight in the third installment of a four-game set that has seen the NL Central teams split the opening two games. 
The MLB odds see the Cubs sit at -150 favorites thanks to a starting pitching advantage (Justin Steele vs. Adrian Houser) but should bettors be backing the home side at plus money thanks to a stable starter in Houser and a shorter leash on Steele?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Cubs vs. Brewers for Wednesday, July 5.
Cubs vs Brewers odds Cubs vs Brewers predictions Justin Steele is enjoying one hell of a mid-season campaign as he enters tonight with a sub-2.50 ERA and currently is the No.6 betting favorite for NL Cy Young at bet365. However, pitching at this rate continuously could prove troublesome for a left-hander that most places projected as a 3.60-4.20 ERA pitcher this year. That yields some value on his Under 17.5 outs today at a very attractive +150.
He isn’t a strikeout-heavy pitcher (less-than-K/inning rate this season) which could favor the K-heavy Milwaukee Brewers lineup. He’s been fairly lucky with the home-run ball thanks to a HR/FB rate that is seven points lower than his career MLB average. 
Despite pitching above his projections, the Chicago Cubs lefty is not a long-leashed pitcher and needs a lot of things to go right to get into the seventh inning. He averages 84 pitches per start and has recorded 18 or more outs in just two of his last five starts.
He’s also pitching on four days of rest where he owns a WHIP 0.423 points higher than when he pitches on five days of rest and is coming off his highest pitch count (96 pitches) in 11 starts. There is a chance he pitches well and still hits the plus-money Under as his leash is plenty short.
The Brewers are not a good left-handed-hitting team but that is priced into this Under 17.5 and they’ve beaten the last two lefties they’ve seen in Drew Smyly and Rich Hill. They were a dog in both of those games. 
It’s hard not to take this Under 17.5 outs at +150 when Steele could be down before 90 pitches — something he’s seen happen in nine of his 15 starts this season. THE BAT is projecting 17.4 outs which gives this slightly better than 50/50 odds at a +150 price tag. My best bet: Justin Steele Under 17.5 outs (+150 at bet365) Cubs vs Brewers same-game parlay Steele Under 17.5 outs (+150)
Houser Over 15.5 outs (-120)
Adames Over 1.5 total bases (+150) Both pitchers project to win their total out props by more than 50% as Steele projects for 17.4 outs and Adrian Houser for 17.0. Steele is a short-leashed pitcher who needs a lot to go right for 18 outs while Houser should have a mid-90 pitch count and went 18 outs in his return to the rotation last week.
Adames projects to have the most total bases of the Brewers, per THE BAT, at 1.70. He's hitting third in the lineup, should get 4-plus plate appearances, and has at least two bases in five straight games. He's also seen Steele 16 times and is hitting .250 vs. the lefty.
  Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Cubs vs Brewers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The first two games of this series have closed within 10...