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Angels vs Padres Predictions, Picks, Odds: Ohtani Duels Snell at the Plate
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If there is someone who can produce fireworks the day before the Fourth of July, it’s Los Angeles Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani.
Ohtani is the overwhelming favorite to win the AL MVP after a monster month of June that included him swatting 15 dingers. Now, he’ll try to carry that into the month of July when he and the Angels open a series with the uninspiring San Diego Padres.
Despite the struggles, San Diego hopes handing the ball to Blake Snell will help build some momentum before the All-Star break. And with Snell on the mound, the Padres will...
If there is someone who can produce fireworks the day before the Fourth of July, it’s Los Angeles Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani.
Ohtani is the overwhelming favorite to win the AL MVP after a monster month of June that included him swatting 15 dingers. Now, he’ll try to carry that into the month of July when he and the Angels open a series with the uninspiring San Diego Padres.
Despite the struggles, San Diego hopes handing the ball to Blake Snell will help build some momentum before the All-Star break. And with Snell on the mound, the Padres will be big favorites tonight.
However, does that mean Ohtani Co. have value as an underdog? I have an Ohtani-themed best bet, plus a juicy same-game parlay in my MLB picks and predictions for Angels vs. Padres below.
Angels vs Padres odds Angels vs Padres predictions
Let me yell this for people in the back to hear: Shohei Ohtani is the greatest player to ever step on a baseball field and I can’t believe he doesn’t get more media attention for what he's doing this season.
As a hitter, Ohtani leads the majors in home runs, RBI, slugging, OPS, and total bases. As a pitcher, he leads the league in hits per nine innings and the AL in strikeouts per nine.
No one does that! Like, ever.
The two-way superstar is coming off a monster month of June at the plate. Ohtani hit for a ridiculous .394 batting average and a 1.444 OPS while swatting 15 dingers. He also scored 27 runs and drove in another 29 more. Basically, he's been run production personified.
As a result, Ohtani is now the overwhelming -1,400 favorite to win the AL MVP Award, and even with a red-hot Blake Snell on the mound, I don’t expect Ohtani to slow down tonight.
Snell has been dominant of late, pitching to a 0.86 ERA and striking out 14.12 batters per nine innings over his last seven starts but if there's a caveat to that, he still has an expected ERA of 4.06 this season and he has some reverse splits vs. left-handed hitters.
Snell is giving up a .246 batting average and a .777 OPS to lefties and there isn’t a lefty more elite than Ohtani. And in a small sample size, Ohtani is 2-for-3 with a double and two walks in five career at-bats vs. Snell. That’s good for a .960 expected slugging percentage.
Plus, all those strikeouts mean Snell probably doesn’t pitch more than six innings. Then he hands the ball off to a San Diego bullpen that ranks 18th in xFIP and 26th in strikeouts per nine innings.
As I said, Ohtani has been pure production, which is why I’m honing in on his hits + runs + RBI prop. It's set at a low 1.5 due to the matchup with Snell, but I think that’s just giving up some value. It’s not like Ohtani hasn’t faced elite pitchers during this incredible run.
Want one more incredible Ohtani stat? He's gone Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 24 of his last 31 games. My best bet: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+115 at DraftKings) Angels vs Padres same-game parlay Shohei Ohtani to record a hit (-170) Shohei Ohtani to record an RBI (+205) Blake Snell to record 7+ strikeouts (-195) Angels +1.5 (-125) Clearly, this is going to be a Shohei-inspired same-game parlay. Unfortunately, we can’t add hits + runs + RBI to a same-game parlay, so instead we start with one hit and one RBI. Ohtani has only gone hitless four times in his last 31 games and has at least one RBI in 20 of those 31 games.
We have to give Snell some lov...
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