Guardians vs Cubs Predictions, Picks, Odds: Cleveland Stays Disciplined vs Stroman

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Two teams looking to contend in weak divisions will face off on Saturday night as the Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago Cubs in an interleague matchup.
Game 1 of the series was all Chicago (38-42), as the Cubs broke a four-game losing streak with a 10-1 victory. Cleveland (39-42) wants each of these wins desperately, as the Guardians are just one game back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. 
Chicago will hope to have the edge again on Saturday as mild home favorites in the MLB odds, as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound to try and...

Two teams looking to contend in weak divisions will face off on Saturday night as the Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago Cubs in an interleague matchup.
Game 1 of the series was all Chicago (38-42), as the Cubs broke a four-game losing streak with a 10-1 victory. Cleveland (39-42) wants each of these wins desperately, as the Guardians are just one game back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. 
Chicago will hope to have the edge again on Saturday as mild home favorites in the MLB odds, as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound to try and shut down a resilient Cleveland offense. We’ll look at how that might play out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Guardians vs. Cubs on July 1.
Guardians vs Cubs odds Guardians vs Cubs predictions Marcus Stroman has quietly put together one of the most solid pitching runs in baseball over his last four seasons. Beginning in 2019 — and not including the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, which Stroman opted not to play in — he has never had an ERA over 3.50. He has also been reliable, making 107 starts in that period.
That success has continued into this season, where he leads the league in starts with 17 while putting up an impressive 2.47 ERA. But there’s one thing that Stroman doesn’t do particularly well: strike out batters.
Stroman’s success this season has come in two areas. First, he’s holding opponents to just 6.6 hits per nine innings. His WHIP would be off the charts if it weren’t for the fact that he’s also walking 3.1 batters a game, but it’s still at a strong 1.078. He’s also allowing just 0.4 homers per nine innings, which has prevented opponents from taking advantage of the few hits they do get.
However, Stroman is striking out just 7.5 batters per nine innings this season. That’s a relatively low number, and his lowest since 2018. And while that’s still acceptable for a starting pitcher even in 2023, it doesn’t bode well against the Cleveland lineup, at least in one respect.
The Guardians don’t strike out a lot. They’re averaging just 7.13 strikeouts per game, the second-lowest total in all of MLB. This hasn’t translated into a lot of offense overall, but Cleveland does put the ball in play against virtually every pitcher it faces.
That job will be even easier against Stroman, who is not a strikeout pitcher. The Guardians also perform slightly better against right-handed pitching, striking out in only 18.9% of their plate appearances.
Overall, this has me looking to make an aggressive play in the MLB player props for tonight’s game.
Stroman’s strikeout total has been set at just 3.5. This is a matchup that isn’t conducive to a lot of swings and misses, so I’m taking those generous odds and betting on the Guardians to make a lot of contact tonight, even if it’s soft. Let’s go with the Under on Stroman’s strikeouts, which is being offered at plus money at several sportsbooks. My best bet: Stroman Under 3.5 strikeouts (+117) Guardians vs Cubs same-game parlay Stroman Under 3.5 strikeouts Guardians +1.5 Under 8 We can build a solid same-game parlay around my best bet tonight, especially with a third pick that doesn’t obviously correlate with the strikeout prop. We’ll start by once against taking Stroman to hit the Under at 3.5 strikeouts, counting on both him and Cleveland to play to contact while he’s in the game.
Next, I’m taking the Guardians at +1.5 on the run line. I d...