Red Sox vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Jose Leads The Way

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It may not feel like it, but things may be starting to turn around for the Toronto Blue Jays. They have won three consecutive series and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is starting to hit bombs again. 
The next step? Beat some division opponents. Toronto will get just that opportunity when they welcome the Boston Red Sox to town for a Canada Day weekend series. 
The Jays will be moderate favorites for Friday night’s opener as they hand the ball to a resurgent Jose Berrios who has found his good stuff once again. The Red Sox will counter with Big Maple himself,...

It may not feel like it, but things may be starting to turn around for the Toronto Blue Jays. They have won three consecutive series and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is starting to hit bombs again. 
The next step? Beat some division opponents. Toronto will get just that opportunity when they welcome the Boston Red Sox to town for a Canada Day weekend series. 
The Jays will be moderate favorites for Friday night’s opener as they hand the ball to a resurgent Jose Berrios who has found his good stuff once again. The Red Sox will counter with Big Maple himself, James Paxton. 
Can Toronto get the monkey off its back and secure a win against an American League East opponent? Or will their divisional woes continue? I break down the MLB odds and bring you my best bet, plus a same-game parlay, in MLB picks and predictions Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions
The Toronto Blue Jays have quietly won six of their last eight games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit three home runs in his last six games. And despite playing nowhere near their potential, the Jays are in a wildcard spot. So, things are looking up for Toronto. 
But before Jays fans can get too excited, there is one more hurdle they must leap over — play better against the American League East. Toronto’s in-division struggles have been well documented and at this point as the Jays are 38-20 against the rest of the MLB and just 7-17 vs. their own division. 
So, securing a win in this series opener against the Red Sox would be a good start to help remedy that. So, too is handing the ball to Jose Berrios. 
The Blue Jays' right-hander looks like the guy they traded for back in 2021. Berrios is pitching to a 2.74 ERA, a 3.89 FIP, and is limiting opponents to a .231 batting average over his last 14 starts.
Berrios has located his sinker much better this season, and mixing that with his slurve and four-seamer has meant a lot of soft contact. He ranks in the 78th percentile in average exit velocity and the 85th percentile in hard-hit percentage.
The Boston Red Sox have solid numbers vs. right-handers this season as they are hitting just .231 and rank 24th in OPS and wRC+. Mix in the fact, that Berrios’ numbers improve at home (2.48 ERA, .221 opponent batting average) and he is set up for another solid start.
Countering Berrios is the Big Maple himself, James Paxton. The Canadian starter returns to the ballpark where he threw his only career no-hitter as a member of the Seattle Mariners. While he may not no-hit the Jays tonight, he can certainly have success.
Paxton has been a breath of fresh air for the Red Sox’s rotation. The lefty is pitching to a 3.36 expected ERA and ranks in the 91st percentile in terms of strikeout rate over his first eight starts of the season.
Even though Toronto has been more consistent at the plate recently southpaws are still giving them problems. The Blue Jays rank 19th in OPS and 15th in wRC+ vs. left-handed pitchers this season. And we just saw a struggling at the time Alex Wood shut them out over five innings with seven strikeouts earlier in the week.
I’m betting on pitching being the story early on in this one and taking the Under five-inning total. My best bet: Under 5 first five innings (-116 at SPORTS INTERACTION) Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay Under 5.5 alt 5 inning total Berrios 5+ Ks Verdugo 2+ TB Shockingly, Berrios wil...