New Light & A Guest Star: Solar Storm Forecast 02-13-2019

5 years ago
38

We are finally beginning to quiet down after exiting an extended source of sporadic fast solar wind hitting Earth over the past ten days. We may still see some storming at high latitudes, including a possibility of more aurora. However, there is only a slim chance of aurora dropping down to mid-latitudes this week. Overall, things should begin to quiet down through week's end. But we wont rest for long as another chance for a solar storm is on the horizon. Also, amateur radio and shortwave emergency responders hang on to the low end of marginal for radio propagation this week, but a new bright region will rotate into Earth view in the next few days. This new light should bump solar flux back into the mid-70s by next week, which means dayside radio propagation should improve. Luckily, this region is not a big flare producer so GPS reception should remain good on Earth's dayside. Catch up on some of the aurora photos from recent solar storms with our guest host, Kelley Filby, learn what the backside Sun reveals about the active region (old region 2733) returning into Earth view, and see what else our Sun has in store for us this week.

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For a more in-depth look at the data and images in this video see links in my prior videos. I am saving space below for links to the aurora field reporter photos highlighted this week:

Aurora Photography:
Tim Nordström, Abisko, Sweden:
https://twitter.com/mark_tarello/status/1091186056224038912
Oliver Wright, Abisko, Sweden:
https://twitter.com/OW_Photography/status/1091125013309206529
Glass Images, North Berwick, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/GlassFotos/status/1091146680555180032
Nick, Ganavan Beach, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/EdgingtonNick/status/1091174304291717120
Giuseppe Petricca, Stornoway, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/gmrpetricca/status/1091402452023365633
Brian Fullerton, Northern Ireland:
https://twitter.com/Beefy4605/status/1091148809541951488
Kathelcymru, Cumbria, UK:
https://twitter.com/kathelcymru/status/1091104728455544833
Carolyn Hailstones (via Aurora Newtork), Iceland:
https://twitter.com/CarolynHailston/status/1091407526002941954
Ollie Taylor, Iceland:
https://twitter.com/OllieTPhoto/status/1091337056024973314
Brent Mckean, Eastern Manitoba, Canada:
https://twitter.com/mark_tarello/status/1091186056224038912
Dan Lorenz, Detroit, Michigan:
https://www.facebook.com/daniel.j.lorenz/videos/10217861835399170/
Mike Rongo, Marquette, Michigan, USA:
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10217866989932597&set=gm.2984957868196562&type=3&theater&ifg=1
Kevin Palmer, Montana, USA:
http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=151651&PHPSESSID=hpam1s776559jor7gn5uoi42s0
Anne-Marie Gutschlag, Invercargill, New Zealand:
https://twitter.com/AnneMarie224/status/1091319292300148737
Sussan Says, Hobart Tasmania:
https://twitter.com/SussanSays/status/1091100773327360000

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.

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