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Our Sun Dials Down the Brightness: Solar Storm Forecast 06-09-2018
Space Weather quiets down this week as we watch region 2712 rotate off the Sun's west limb. This means solar flux has taken a nose-dive and amateur radio propagation has dropped to poor conditions. Luckily, this dimming of the Sun's brightness should only last a few days until a new active region rotates into Earth view. GPS users should enjoy clean signals this week, even at low latitudes, due to the low solar flux. A remnant coronal hole crossing the Sun's face could bring us a short burst of fast solar wind next week. Aurora views to high latitudes are possible. Learn more about how the Sun affects you this week.
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Aurora Photography:
Jake Stehli, Sweet Briar Lake, Judson, North Dakota, USA:
https://twitter.com/eljakeo30/status/1003337988091383809
Tim Grimsey, Tasmania:
https://twitter.com/astropixie/status/1002757109576957952
Dragonfly Connection, Central Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/AnnBond_007/status/1003111950883041280
NEOC Starcam, Mt Katahdin, Maine, USA:
https://twitter.com/TheUmno/status/1003108813954797568
Andre Brandt, near Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada:
https://twitter.com/andrebrandtfoto/status/1002579669856768000
Ben Shirely, Invercargill, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZaurora/permalink/2159387957408624/
Aotearoa People, Smails Beach, New Zealand:
https://twitter.com/AotearoaPeople/status/1002517276367572992
Michele Mccue, Central British Columbia, Canada:
https://twitter.com/MccueMichele/status/1002460248383209472
Stefan Walker, Buffalo, Minnesota, USA:
https://twitter.com/stefanwalker89/status/1002456597686378497
Debbie Center, Nevis, Minnesota, USA:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/greatlakesaurorahunters/permalink/2468132483212439/
Anton Shkaplerov, ISS, Low Earth Orbit
https://twitter.com/Anton_Astrey/status/1002632662719352832
Anne-Marie Gutschlag, Otatara, New Zealand:
https://twitter.com/AnneMarie224/status/1003523557542920192
Jonny Harrison, Ross Ives Shelf, Antartica:
https://twitter.com/JonnyHarrisonNZ/status/1003462060309544961
Jill Jones, Queenstown, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1837188476340820&set=gm.2160445013969585&type=3&theater&ifg=1
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wing-kp
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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