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US gives November deadline to Ukraine - Azov Sea or bust!
November Deadline - Sea of Azov
November
Telegram Rezident - reports that Biden Administration - has told Zelensky that they must continue the push to take Crimea - Have till Nov 2023 - if not demonstrated success then funding will begin to decrease.
Ukrainian armed forces Commander Valery Zaluzhny - again rumours of him not supporting an offensive at this time.
Perhaps Leading to ……
Ukraine Offensive
Kherson - amphibious assault by the Ukrainians expected - National Guard of Ukraine representative has announced - mentioned yesterday that Russian MOD intelligence believed this to be about to occur.
Poland - expressing desire to put Polish peace-keeping forces in Ukraine - Zelensky rejected the idea - one line of thinking is that Zelensky is worried that the Polish forces may in fact attempt to carve of some of Western Ukraine for Poland.
Polish Volunteer Corp - involved in excursion into Belgorod - Polish, US, Uk, Canada, Romania - directly reports to Ukrainian MOFA
There have been reports that Poland’s support of Ukraine has not been entirely due to a hatred of Russia, but also that if the Ukrainian state were to collapse, then Poland would claim western areas of Ukraine
Russian foreign ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said: “There is now an obvious desire of Poland to invade the western part of Ukraine. This is why Ukraine is not invited to NATO.”
Political change
Ben Wallace - UK Defense Secretary -contemplating departing politics in AUtumn - British PM - Rishi Sunak is planning to reshuffle his cabinet.
Wallace - denied the EU Gen Sec role by BIden Admin - for being to aggressive in attempting to get F-16s into Ukraine - something US does not want due to the expected bad optics of burning F-16s falling due to Russian S-400 Air Defense.
Vitali Klitschko - Heavyweight Boxing world champ (45 and 2 record) - says Zelensky beginning to purge political rivals - claims that when he is publicly asked if he would run for president that Zelensky initiates searches on his properties/home
Turkey
Erdogan - August meeting with Putin (Dmitry Peskov Press Sec to Putin - says timing of visit unconfirmed “WE HAVE COMMON positions on the grain deal”
PMC Wagner
Now in Republic of Belarus - transition to Belarusian control - expectation is they will engage
Prigozhin breaks silence - comments on the negative press given about Wagner
Finally
Commander Popov
Former commander of the 58th Army Major General Ivan Popov
Yong fast rising
58th flagship combined arms army
Bested Georgia in 2008
Leading the Zaporozhian front - repelling the largest Ukrainian offensive to date
Valerie Gerasimov - Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces and First Deputy Minister of Defence was previous commander of the 58th Army
Private address to his subordinates - leaked - critical of MOD
However - many others praising Shoigu and Gerasimov
Ukrainian Zaluzhny has praised Gerasimov - studied his books - greatest commander of his generation
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
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