Today’s MLB Prop Picks and Best Bets: Castellanos Makes the Grade vs A's

Today’s MLB Prop Picks and Best Bets: Castellanos Makes the Grade vs A's Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News

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Prop bet #1: James in jeopardy
Just when it looked like the Oakland A's were rolling, they have lost three in a row and send James Kaprielian to the mound for today's showdown with the Phillies. The righty has a 6.89 ERA with an OBA of .279 in 49 2/3 innings this year. Things won't get any better w hen Kaprielian comes out of the game, since the A's bullpen ranks dead-last in the majors with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP.  That's music to the ears of a Phillies lineup that has been mashing lately. Nick Castellanos leads...

Prop bet #1: James in jeopardy
Just when it looked like the Oakland A's were rolling, they have lost three in a row and send James Kaprielian to the mound for today's showdown with the Phillies. The righty has a 6.89 ERA with an OBA of .279 in 49 2/3 innings this year. Things won't get any better w hen Kaprielian comes out of the game, since the A's bullpen ranks dead-last in the majors with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP.  That's music to the ears of a Phillies lineup that has been mashing lately. Nick Castellanos leads Philadelphia with a .315 batting average and has been on fire this month, batting .403.
Kaprielian doesn't actually get hit particularly hard but he tends to give up plenty of contact, which is bad news against a hitter like Castellanos. 
The Phillies outfielder is tied for eighth in the majors with 55 singles, and has picked up at least one single in five of his last six games. Back Castellanos to go Over 0.5 on his singles today at close to even money.  Nick Castellanos  prop : Over 0.5 singles (+100) Prop bet #2: Kell-Mell
Mitch Keller is enjoying a breakout season with the Pirates, going 8-2 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP through 14 starts.
Bizarrely enough, Keller had a brutal performance against the A's last week, allowing five runs and striking out just one batter before getting the hook midway through the sixth inning. However, he bounced back with a stellar performance against the Mets on Sunday, where he allowed just a pair of hits and fanned seven batters through seven innings. 
Today, Keller faces off against a Brewers lineup that has been among the worst in the majors. Milwaukee is 25th in the majors in OPS (.682), with that number ticking down to .663 this month. They are also 24th in the majors in whiff rate while ranking second-last in strikeout rate.
With Keller fanning at least seven batters in eight of his last nine starts, take the Over 6.5 on his strikeouts total today.   Mitch Keller prop : Over 6.5 strikeouts (+102) Prop bet #3: Mr. Greene with the fastball in Minute Maid Park
Has Hunter Greene finally figured it out? The 23-year-old is now four years removed from Tommy John surgery, and while his ERA sits at a middling 4.01, he's been mowing down hitters. 
Greene is coming off a nine-strikeout performance against the Cardinals and has fanned at least eight batters in five-straight starts. He even racked up strikeouts in poor performances against the Rockies at Coors Field — fanning eight Colorado batters through just four innings — and against the Yankees, as he hit double-digits in Ks against New York.  Greene is in the top fifth percentile in fastball velocity, the Top 10th percentile in strikeout rate, and the Top 15th percentile in whiff rate. The 6-foot-5 righty is one of the hardest throwers in the game, with his heater averaging 98.6 mph, and his changeup at 91.6 mph.
Greene and the Reds face off against an underachieving Houston Astros squad today. The defending World Series champs are having one of their worst offensive seasons in recent memory, ranking just 22nd in the majors in OPS (.711), with that number dropping to .661 over the last week. The 'Stros don't strike out a ton (seventh-lowest strikeout rate in the majors), but they swing at a lot of pitches and are 24th in chase rate. 
Greene would be second in the majors in strikeouts per nine innings (13.0) if he qualified (he's fewer than three innings away), and th...