Ukraine escalates - Turkey Biden Medvdev

10th July Ukraine Battle Update

Simplicius the thinker https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/azov-commanders-return-6th-column?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
Alexander Mercouris - @AlexMercouris
Turkey -
Ankara angry that Russia not signing the Grain deal - and are just trying to get in with The West - however, there has been some tension with Russian airforce in Syria attacking Turkish aligned rebel groups - and that Turkey may be retaliating about this.

The Syrian conflict is complex and Assad and Ergodan being asked to find a way to stop the agreement - which leaves america as the sole occupying force. Noise from UKR sources that Ergodan has claimed Turkish navy will escort UKR ships to the Bosphorus - but this is unconfirmed and unlikely as Turkey would be silly to do this given the trade impact it would have if they became directly militarily engaged in a dispute with Russia.

Ergodan has allegedly told Biden that Turkey wants to revive the EU membership process for Turkey - this may be a quid pro quo for Turkey approving Swedish entry to NATO. TYalked about F-16s

Medvedev - Smolensk nuclear plant - alleged missile attack 400kms north Kyiv - 250kms north of Ukr border
“If an attempt to attack the Smolensk (Desnogorsk) NPP with NATO missiles is confirmed, it is necessary to consider the scenario of a simultaneous Russian strike on the South Ukrainian NPP, Rivne NPP and Khmelnitsky NPP, as well as on nuclear facilities in Eastern Europe. There is nothing to be ashamed of."

Kerch bridge - UKR Storm Shadow? Missile shot down - note that Russia captured one allegedly with flight and control system intact - being reverse engineered 300km so top of line SShadow s-400 - KRAINE amidst responsibility for destroying this last year

Ukr losing the fight …
"Our source in the General Staff reports that Zaluzhny briefed Zelensky on the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. On the southern front, we are losing 5-7 units of heavy equipment per day, while on the eastern front, the losses reach up to 4 units. ."
10+ units per day heavy equipment (this does not include APCs), 300 a month at this rate - only estimated to have between 600-800 at start of offensive - 200 allegedly already gone in first 5 weeks.

More coming 180 Leopard 1, 32 Bradleys, ~32 Strykers and ~30+ M777s
Note leopards have tiny punch 105mm , not 155mm and won’t stand a chance against russian armour with HE and AP 155mm rounds

And SImplicius the thinker reports that There is one database showing that 110-120 of the total delivered ~150 M777s are now visually confirmed to be destroyed.

Alexander Mercouris - reporting that UKR firing 5k per day, Russia firing 40k per day with a stockpile of 9 million - while the west is sending cluster munitions to bridge the gap.

Nova Kakhovka reservoir
TESTING Our sources reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces were conducting manoeuvres BMPs get buried in the silt and cannot move on their own.
best time for a landing operation would be mid-August, when the heat will reach its peak

BRICS - August summit - 5 new nations? A new reserve currency - Argentina paying Debt in RMB, India paying for Russian oil in RMB
Janet Yellin - not giving a convincing refutation of BRICS ability to diminish US sanction power with GOld backed reserve currency - remember USD is backed by the FED- by a inflation generating money printing machine - not gold

Brazil - increase in oil trade with russia - Russia moving from supply 1% to 18% of Brazilian oil

Pyongyang - will shoot down US war planes

The North Korean military official pointed to the US strategic reconnaissance planes RC-135, U-2S and reconnaissance drone RQ-4B flying in North Korea’s airspace in turn for eight straight days from July 2 to 9 - history here in 1969 31 airmen killed when NKorea shot down an early AWACS craft

Poland - 12 Mi-24 helicopters - reported earlier in month but now confirmed
Carries 8 - gunship/attack helicopter 67 missiles , cannon on the skid twin barrel 23mm auto cannon

Vilnius NATO summit
Bristling - 1k soldiers
12 patriot systems - germany
2 squadrons of fighters - germany
NASAMS AIr defence - spain
CEASAR self propelled artillery - france
France, FInland,Denmark - sent Jets to local bases

Valeriy Gerasimov
Head of Russian General Staff - may have been removed from Ukraine command - still being confirmed but RYbar reporting that Mikhail Teplinskiy currently in command of Ukraine operation

Robert Kennedy Junior: against the continuation of the war - as is Trump - puts Joe in a tricky position.

DRONES
Israeli company Elbit Systems - min-UAVs launched from mother carrier -
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