France Burns - Ukraine panic

The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404 #franceriots #frenchriots #parisriots
Ukraine Battle Update Global News Roundup

CIVIL WAR
While the western media pushes a narrative that Putin has barely escaped a civil war and is teetering in instability….. In France there is far less reporting of the country wide riots…

France - Nahel M a 17yr old boy killed by two police in a roadside stop in Nanterre (Nohn-tear), Paris.
4 days of riots - violent attacks - video of amputations - gun shop looted - explosions and fires all across France - reports and videos on social media today of rioters throwing grenades and starting to use rifles. - even what appears to RPG usage against a police station.

MACRON
Macron’s response was that this is due to video games and bad parenting - Nero Fiddles scene - Macron attended an Elton John concert as the streets of Paris burned in the 4th night of rioting.

In May 2023 Macron’s popularity sank to its lowest ever with less than a quarter of polled adults approving of him and a 70% disapproval rating. He folds power till the next French presidential election in 2027, however he lost his parliamentary majority in June 22 elections which is hampering him. Multiculturalism in France appears to be destabilising at the moment. Whilst the western media would have you believe otherwise right now Moscow seems to be stable as France appears on the edge of civil war.

ANTONOVSKY BRIDGE
Iskander missile - destroyed the eastern span under which AFU forces were reportedly deploying Electronic Warfare equipment.
Establishing a bridgehead and using the Bridge for cover - the Russian forces had destroyed the bridge last year after their withdrawal from Kherson… but a section remained standing on the eastern end. Reporting is that a combined surprise assault by Russian forces approaching via boats from behind occurred after the Iskandar strike and that the Ukrainian forces have been neutralised.

Reports that AFU reinforcements sent overnight - fight still continuing - although the purpose is unclear - given Russian ability to destroy bridge when desired.

Wagner - Prigozhin

Prigozhin - Belarus, troops returning to Donbass, other’s heading to Belarus perhaps to train forces on the border of Poland and Lithuania.

MSM attention seems to have moved from Sergie Shoigu to Sergey Surovikin Commander-in-Chief of the Aerospace Forces and Deputy Commander in Ukraine after with claims that he was sympathetic to Prigozhin - however there has been no announcement from the Russian MOD or the Kremlin and reports today arrived of his daughter apparently confirming that he his working as normal.

I think the Russians are not taking the bait here and are just abc to work - and not particularly concerned about Western claims that Surovikin has been detained - however we will watch this and see.

The Wagners in Belarus is being talked up as a reason for needing to provide Ukraine NATO security.

Imprisoned Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny - why him but not Prigozhin

Chernigov
Interestingly - an uncorroborated report - that Wagner are planning to be involved in the Ukraine Chernigov region - this is just north of Kyiv/south of Belarussian border. Earlier in May there were a series of seemingly unexplained nightly glide bomb strikes in this area. Might be worthwhile keeping an eye on. A general mobilisation has just been announced unsure if this is in anyway related?

Robotyne
Reports of advances in this area of Zaphorozhia region… pushing towards Tokmak.

NATO
NATO Summit Vilnius 11-12 July.
The big questions - who will take over from Stoltenberg as Secretary General and what will be the outcome of discussions about providing Ukraine with security guarantees
.
The Ukrainian government is lobbying hard behind the scenes for a bespoke route to joining Nato, jettisoning the normal membership action plan (Map) that leaves accession at risk of a last-minute veto by any of the member states.

USA apparently is talking about forming a new ‘coalition of the willing’ to guarantee ongoing support for Ukraine without the need for Ukraine entering NATO.

Zelensky apparently claims that he won’t attend the Summit unless he is given ‘a signal’ that the process for Ukraine to enter NATO will commence.

Turkey and Sweden - The approved burning of a copy of the Holy Quran in Sweden by protestors - is likely to stiffen Turkey's reluctance to agree to allowing Sweden to join NATO. Turkey opposed Sweden's entry due to Sweden allegedly providing asylum to Kurdish militants, namely the PKK (Kurdistan Workers’ Party ) who threatened a coup against Turkey and Turkey considered to be terrorists. Turkey is strongly supportive of its Islamic community and has quarreled with France over France’s approval of cartoonists to make satire of the Prophet Mohammed.

Nuclear Escalation