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NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Favorites, Sleepers, and Long Shot Plays
NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Favorites, Sleepers, and Long Shot Plays Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News
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Take a look at the historical NFL stats, and it’s clear to see the path pro football has been on the past two decades: this is a receiver’s league.
Receptions have spiked in that span, with the 2022 NFL season boasting the ninth-highest output for receivers since 1932.
Remember when you had to draft running backs quickly in your fantasy league? Well, these days no one would throw you a sideways look for taking Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase in the first round.
Those two talented wideout are also atop the NFL odds to lead the league in receiving yards...
Take a look at the historical NFL stats, and it’s clear to see the path pro football has been on the past two decades: this is a receiver’s league.
Receptions have spiked in that span, with the 2022 NFL season boasting the ninth-highest output for receivers since 1932.
Remember when you had to draft running backs quickly in your fantasy league? Well, these days no one would throw you a sideways look for taking Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase in the first round.
Those two talented wideout are also atop the NFL odds to lead the league in receiving yards this upcoming season. Below them are some potent pass catchers who could provide a pretty payout when Week 18 wraps up.
Most regular season total receiving yards odds Odds courtesy of FanDuel, as of June 15, 2023. I break down this NFL futures markets by tiers — favorites, sleepers and long shots — and give a best bet for each odds segment. Best NFL bonuses
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As mentioned above, Justin Jefferson (+650) and Ja’Marr Chase (+750) are the two top favorites in the odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards in 2023.
Jefferson is the reigning receiving king, pacing the league with 1,809 yards for the Vikings, while Chase recorded 1,046 yards through the air despite playing in only a dozen games for the Bengals. Given his per game clip, he would have put up close to 1,482 yards over 17 games.
Below them is Tyreek Hill (+1,000), Cooper Kupp (+1,200), A.J. Brown (+1,600), Davante Adams (+1,600), and Stefon Diggs, who ranges from +1,600 to +2,000 after his camp drama this past week.
Hill finished second to Jefferson in yardage last year with 1,710 yards in his first season in Miami. This output came despite losing starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa for four games and having guys like Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson under center. He still averaged more than 75 yards receiving in those contests with a backup making throws.
Hill caught 119 balls on 170 targets in 2022, and will continue to find his spots in Year 2 under head coach Mike McDaniel. Of course, his production is closely tethered to the health of Tagovailoa. The Dolphins threw the ball on almost 62% of snaps — the seventh-highest pass rate in the NFL — and the Cheetah is a threat to break off a huge home run on every connection.
Hill is certainly setting lofty goals for the 2023 campaign. He told the media he’s aiming for a 2,000-yard season, talking up his play, coaches and of course, Tagovailoa. Pick: Tyreek Hill (+1,000 at bet365)
Sleepers
Behind those front runners, there are a number of gifted hands holding odds of 20/1 or greater. I’ve segmented receivers between +2,000 and +3,500 odds to lead the NFL in receiving into the “sleeper” group.
Leading the way is Hill’s Miami teammate Jaylen Waddle (+2,000), which tells you just how much oddsmakers expect the Dolphins to be chucking it. Waddle was seventh in yardage last season, finishing with 1,356 yards and boasting a league-high 18.1 yards per reception.
CeeDee Lamb (+2,200), Garrett Wils...
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