Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bello Stays Steady In New York

Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bello Stays Steady In New York Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News

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One of the great baseball rivalries will conclude a three-game series when the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox tonight.
The pair split the first two of the series, with defense telling the story in this chapter of the rivalry. New York won Saturday's tilt 3-1 and Boston won 3-2 on Friday. Tonight we'll find out who takes the series in front of the prime time lights of Sunday Night Baseball. Will strong pitching continue tonight?
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks for the Red Sox vs. Yankees on Sunday, June 11.
Red Sox...

One of the great baseball rivalries will conclude a three-game series when the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox tonight.
The pair split the first two of the series, with defense telling the story in this chapter of the rivalry. New York won Saturday's tilt 3-1 and Boston won 3-2 on Friday. Tonight we'll find out who takes the series in front of the prime time lights of Sunday Night Baseball. Will strong pitching continue tonight?
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks for the Red Sox vs. Yankees on Sunday, June 11.
Red Sox vs Yankees odds Red Sox vs Yankees predictions
There is a consistent belief around baseball that Brayan Bello is close to taking a massive step. The underlying metrics are so-so, but the pitch quality has improved since returning from the minors a month ago. Today he'll have an opportunity to continue that improvement, and I'm targeting him in the MLB player props market as my best bet. 
I'm grabbing Bello Under 1.5 walks as it's the best bet on the board from a value perspective. Getting this at such an attractive price of +115 surprised me, given my projections priced it at around -112. Nevertheless, I'll happily grab it.
Bello's game is predicated on getting chases outside the zone. If you look at the games where he's given multiple free passes, they've generally come against teams that don't chase pitches.
Bello gave out two free passes against the Reds who rank third in walk rate, and two against the Brewers, who rank sixth in chase rate. The only real exception to this rule was when he walked two against the Cleveland Guardians. They chase more pitches than almost anyone in baseball, but there's a huge caveat — they also rank first in chase contact rate by a wide margin. 
Getting pitch chases shouldn't be an issue tonight, and it is one of the key reasons I like this bet. The New York Yankees are slightly below league average in this regard, but it's something that's worsened as of late. A big part of that is the absence of two hitters — Aaron Judge and Harrison Bader — while Anthony Rizzo and DJ LeMahieu have struggled at the plate recently.
Whether Bello can take advantage of this or not is inconsequential. We don't care if they are making contact, just that we're getting swings. Recent data suggest we will.
It's also worth mentioning that even before the recent lineup roulette, New York has yet to be a team that walks a ton. On the season, the Yankees have just walked three times per game, a mark that's the sixth lowest in baseball. It's a number that goes down in home games, too, leaving one to theorize they are a little more antsy to make contact in front of their home fans.
As of late, this number has been one of the league's lowest, with just an average of one per game over the last three. With today's bet, we're backing recent trends to continue and getting a reasonable price to do it. My best bet: Brayan Bello Under 1.5 walks (+115 at DraftKings) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best MLB bonuses
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