West Surges Ammunition Ahead of Ukraine's All-Or-Nothing Offensive - NewAtlas

1 year ago
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Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for March 23, 2023:
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- Russian forces continue encircling the fortified cities of Bakhmut and now Avdeevka, two major points along Ukraine's defense line in the Donbass
- Ukraine is gearing up for its upcoming offensive, carrying out drone strikes on Crimea and reconnaissance by force along the line of contact in Zaporozhye;
- the stated goal of Ukraine according to Western reports is to cut the land-bridge between Crimea and the rest of Russia, though that would hardly isolate Crimea entirely
- Ukraine would suffer immense losses, just as they did during the Kharkov /Kherson offensives last year, with the addition of many more Russian troops and extensive defensive works created months in advance
- The US and EU are surging remaining stockpiles of artillery ammunition to Ukraine ahead of the offensive to sustain 2-4 months of intense fighting. Once depleted it will take years for the West to restore these stockpiles
- Russian shell production appears to have exceeded Western output as early as 2014-2015 and has continuously increased since meaning Russia's ability to regenerate combat power exceeds the West's at this moment
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- Ukraine's upcoming offensive should not be underestimated nor the prospects of a breakthrough, Russian forces have repeatedly demonstrated a preference for withdrawing over being encircled or suffering heavy casualties as part of its attrition strategy
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References:
Financial Times - Ukraine asks EU for 250,000 artillery shells a month (March 4, 2023):
https://www.ft.com/content/75ee9701-aa93-4c5d-a1bc-7a51422280fd
Financial Times - Explosives shortage threatens EU drive to arm Ukraine (March 20, 2023):
https://www.ft.com/content/aee0e1a1-c464-4af9-a1c8-73fcbc46ed17
Reuters - EU seals plan to send a million artillery shells to Ukraine (March 20, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/
NYT - Artillery Is Breaking in Ukraine. It’s Becoming a Problem for the Pentagon. (November 25, 2022):
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/25/us/ukraine-artillery-breakdown.html
Alexander Mercouris - Russia Big Gains Bakhmut, UK MoD Alarmed Avdeevka; West Stakes All Kiev Offensive; Xi Jinping Moscow (March 21, 2023):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEGp5k4Nw1U&t=0s
The Telegraph - Putin is running out of time to win the ammunition war against the West (March 9, 2023):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/03/09/putin-running-time-win-ammunition-war-against-west/
Novya Gazeta - Barren Barrels (November 2022):
https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2022/11/02/the-barren-barrels-en#:~:text=Handmade%20tanks,200–250%20tanks%20a%20year
Ukrainian Armed Forces - Russia resumed production of 152-mm shells (November 2022):
https://mil.in.ua/en/news/russia-resumed-production-of-152-mm-shells/
Jamestown Foundation - Russia Struggles to Maintain Munition Stocks (Part One) (December 2022):
https://jamestown.org/program/russia-struggles-to-maintain-munition-stocks-part-one/
Jamestown Foundation - Russia Struggles to Maintain Munition Stocks (Part Two) (December 2022):
https://jamestown.org/program/russia-struggles-to-maintain-munition-stocks-part-two/
The Moscow Times - Russia Says Ramping Up Ammunition Production for Ukraine War (January 2023):
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/27/russia-says-ramping-up-ammunition-production-for-ukraine-war-a80061
Defense News - Army acquisition chief would welcome tank ramp-up if Congress funds it (May 2022):
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2022/05/18/army-acquisition-chief-would-welcome-tank-ramp-up-if-congress-funds-it/
Great and stable work by Brian / TheNewAtlas
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-- WATCH ALL FORMER REPORTS BELOW
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20.03.23 - 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Avdeevka Encirclement + US Prepares UA for "Last Chance" Offensive, Surging Ammunition - TheNewAtlas
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https://rumble.com/v2dutbw-avdeevka-encirclement-us-prepares-ua-for-last-chance-offensive-surging-ammu.html
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16.03.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - Washington's Downed Drone + Growing Admissions of Ukraine's Military Deterioration
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https://rumble.com/v2dffyi-washingtons-downed-drone-growing-admissions-of-ukraines-military-deteriorat.html
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13.03.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - Ukraine's Possible Bakhmut Counteroffensive + What Poland's Military Build-Up Means -TheNewAtlas
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https://rumble.com/v2d376o-ukraines-possible-bakhmut-counteroffensive-what-polands-military-build-up-m.html
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06.03.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - UK DoD: RU Fighting with "Shovels" - Ukraine Losing Bakhmut, Low on Artillery Shells
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https://rumble.com/v2bxc6q-uk-dod-ru-fighting-with-shovels-ukraine-losing-bakhmut-low-on-artillery-she.html
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22.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - Where is Russia's Winter Offensive + Biden Empty-Handed in Kiev - TheNewAtlas
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https://rumble.com/v2ag93a-22.02.23-where-is-russias-winter-offensive-biden-empty-handed-in-kiev-thene.html
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20.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - 1 Year Russia's Special Mil. Operation: the U.S Started this War & Where it's Heading -
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15.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 West's Ability to Arm Ukraine Continues to Wane - TheNewAtlas Report
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13.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - Jets for Ukraine will Take Years + US Sanctions Blocking Syrian Earthquake Relief
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10.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 TheNewAtlas: Missiles, Earthquakes & Pipelines - US Hegemony Fighting on All Fronts
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06.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 What's in the Latest US Arms Package + US Provocations vs Russia & China - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v28iz5q-whats-in-the-latest-us-arms-package-us-provocations-vs-russia-and-china-the.html
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03.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 As US Proxy War Rages Against Russia, US Seeks War with China by 2025
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01.02.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 - US Threatens Missiles, Jets, Crimea, US Sees War with China by 2025
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https://rumble.com/v27ws0u-01-02.23-us-threatens-missiles-jets-crimea-us-sees-war-with-china-by-2025-t.html
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29.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Western Volunteer in Bakhmut: Ukraine is Losing + Western Tank Card a Bluff? TheNewAtlas Report
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25.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 US to Send M1 Abrams to Ukraine and more
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23.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russian Gains, US Gears Up for Crimea Escalation
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https://rumble.com/v26u4pc-russian-gains-us-gears-up-for-crimea-escalation-thenewatlas-report.html
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20.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 US, Allies Send More Weapons to Ukraine in Absence of Real Solution - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v26focu-us-allies-send-more-weapons-to-ukraine-in-absence-of-real-solution-thenewat.html
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18.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 US-NATO Prepare Escalation in Desperate Bid to Turn the Tide (again) in Ukraine - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v265fxo-us-nato-prepare-escalation-in-desperate-bid-to-turn-the-tide-again-in-ukrai.html
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16.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 As West Sends More Armor to Ukraine, Why "Turning the Tide" is still Fantasy - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v25uqos-as-west-sends-more-armor-to-ukraine-why-turning-the-tide-is-still-fantasy-t.html
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13.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦Will Western Main Battle Tanks Turn the Tide in Ukraine? What do Russian Gains in Soledar Mean? - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v254ot3-will-western-main-battle-tanks-turn-the-tide-in-ukraine-what-do-russian-gai.html
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11.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 What (more reasonable) Western Analysts Say Comes Next for Ukraine - TheNewAtlas Report
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https://rumble.com/v24vtu4-what-more-reasonable-western-analysts-say-comes-next-for-ukraine-thenewatla.html
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08.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Latest US Arms Shipment to Ukraine Cannot Solve Kiev's Fundamental Problem - TheNewAtlas Report
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06.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Western Escalation in Ukraine: Sending in Armor - But is it Too Little Too Late? TheNewAtlas Report
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04.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Could NATO Directly Intervene in Ukraine? theNewAtlas Report
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02.01.23 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 New Year Missile & Drone Strikes Continue Across Ukraine - TheNewAtlas Report
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29.12.22 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russian Missile Strikes, New Defenses, & Fighting into 2023 - TheNewAtlas Report
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27.12.22 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Why is Russia Conducting its Special Military Operation this Way? TheNewAtlas Report
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21.12.22 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Battlefield Bakhmut: Why Russia & Ukraine are Fighting Over this City - TheNewAtlas Report
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09.12.22 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russia-Ukraine SITREP, Missiles & What Comes Next
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🇷🇺 RUSSIANS GO ONLY FORWARD ‼️ GOD IS WITH US #ForwardRussia #StrongerTogether
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https://rumble.com/v26ngn4-russians-go-only-forward-god-is-with-us-forwardrussia-strongertogether.html
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