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Chris Schwartz (Black Hawk County, Iowa Supervisor) says we're not safe anywhere
http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/votechrisschwartz-black-hawk cross posted http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/covid-increase-homicides
Here is THE ENTIRE SPIEL for your pleasure
The following is a total & complete debunking of Black Hawk County, Iowa Supervisor Chris Schwartz & his lack of an education on guns. The dumb comments he made can be found https://archive.ph/x4S0k & https://rumble.com/v1jns2a-chris-schwartz-black-hawk-county-iowa-supervisor-and-the-real-democrat-insu.html.
Chris Schwartz hits all the usual points that people who have never used a firearm & don’t understand the 2nd Amendment. The dumbest statement is likely the “we’re not safe anywhere” line, which is gross Freudian Projection.
Then next dumbest line is the whining about the gun lobby. As I will prove further in this essay, it is not white, rural counties won overwhelmingly by Republicans that are the problem. It’s a small segment of America (usually decaying inner-city cesspools) that overwhelmingly votes Democrat – those are the areas of America that are really deteriorating & have had homicide rates well above the national average for decades.
Later in this essay I will debunk him on a national level, let us look at some data from Iowa & since I have good county & city data from 2016-2021, I will focus on that.
I did a previous video on Iowa’s uber-low homicide rates https://rumble.com/vfvmzh-story-county-iowa-supervisor-latifah-faisal-and-iowas-constitutional-carry-.html before I discovered new information. That is simply a supplemental to this & all the data came from the Iowa Legislature.
Here are the demographics of some of the Iowa cities I will be examining
Let us begin!
***
According to the FBI, https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/ https://crime-data-explorer.app.cloud.gov/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend (I used the latter) Iowa had (2016-2021) 422 homicide incidents (67, 90, 41, 62, 96, 66), which is a homicide rate of 2.194 per 100,000 – well below the national average.
Iowa state data says https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/CrimeDensityReports https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/AnnualTrendReport https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/CrimeTrends (select “Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter” & then the reporting period should be January 2016-December 2021) there were 483 occurrences of Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter.
Not sure why there’s basically a difference of 10 homicides per year, but that would push the Iowa rate a bit higher, but still well below the national rate.
Iowa of course, like most states is not homogenous (as you will see later, ~2/3 of Iowa’s counties have ZERO homicides in a given year) – some areas are dangerous, most are not.
Let’s look at arrests for Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter in Iowa 2016-2021. https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/ArrestDistribution Select “Murder & Nonnegligent Manslaughter”, report by County, time frame is 1/1/16 to 12/31/2021 & Arrestee Race.
Boom! Of the 313 arrestees where the race of the arrestee was known, 47.28% of the arrestees were Black. According to the Census Bureau, Iowa is 4.3% Black https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/IA/PST045221 in 2020. https://archive.ph/0P4MA
https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/CrimeDistributionReport According to Iowa state data, (2016-21) of the 473 victims where the race of the victim was known, 39.54% (191) of them were Black. https://archive.ph/xaz75
According to the FBI, https://crime-data-explorer.app.cloud.gov/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend of the 503 homicide offenders in Iowa (2016-2021) where the race of the assailant is known, 48.111% (242) of the arrestees were Black. Of the 468 victims of homicide in Iowa (2016-2021), 40.38% (189) of the victims were Black.
That’s called disproportionate kids!
Now let us look at the most Democrat-dominated counties in Iowa (and they are few & far between) & see how they rank against the entire state pertaining to homicide. If you want to look at more data on House Districts (which are much smaller & a good gauge of the voting preferences of a county) then see https://www.legis.iowa.gov/legislators/house. Some Iowa House Districts overlap into other counties though, but the primary county is the one listed & feel free go through archived versions in the WayBack Machine to see how they have changed.
I will be fudging my ≥60% of the vote method a bit. Johnson County voted ≥60% for the Dumocrat nominee for Governor & POTUS (“Brain Dead” Fred Hubbell & Senile Biden), no other county did that.
I will also be including some Democrat-leaning counties that get close, especially when one considers Iowa State House Districts. You can also see (if you do the research) that cities within some of these counties differ quite markedly.
I know this will come as a shock to mentally ill MSNBC contributors that the entire U.S. isn’t like New York City, a Borg Hive Mind.
The counties I am examining are Johnson, Story, Linn, Polk & Black Hawk (Hello Chris Schwartz).
According to Iowa State Data https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/DrillDownReports (I selected 1/1/16-12/31/21 as my Incident Data time frame, Report By County, Time of Day, “Murder & Nonnegligent Manslaughter” then those counties listed above & “Day of Week” to get all this data) those counties had 231 occurrences of “Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter” from 2016-21. https://archive.ph/acgpJ
According to the Census Bureau https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-counties-total.html those counties had a collective (2016-21) population of 6,559,677 & that yields a homicide rate of 3.521 per 100,000.
That is lower than the national average (higher than the IA average), now let’s drill down to some of the most homicide-riddled cities in Iowa & I will be adding Davenport (Scott County) because Scott county en masse is not as Democrat-leaning as Davenport is.
Council Bluffs is a problem area within Pottawattamie County, so they will be included as well.
The individual cities I will now be examining (and I will supplement it, if possible, with local police data later) are Waterloo, Cedar Rapids, Des Moines, Davenport, Ames, Council Bluffs & Iowa City. https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/DrillDownReports
Those entities had 246 homicides (50.93% of all Iowa homicides comparing to other state data) 2016-2021. They had a collective population of 4,334,466 in those years which gives us a cumulative homicide rate of 5.675 per 100,000. Much, much, MUCH higher than the Iowa state average & higher than the national average in that time frame. https://archive.ph/b7lao
I could’ve added Fort Dodge & they alone (cumulative population of 146,403 from 2016-21) had 11 homicides 2016-21, yielding a homicide rate of 7.513 per 100,000. YIKES!
Webster County is a GOP county, but Fort Dodge is a lean-Dumocrat or break-even city. If you want to dig through this data & find proof go to https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/results/precinctvotetotals2020general.html or https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/results/precinctvotetotals2016general.html & look up the precinct results for the 2016 (this one was a lot closer) or 2020 (Senile Biden won decisively) in Webster County. Outside Fort Dodge, Webster County is decisively Republican. Feel free to peruse other races, you will see Fort Dodge is break-even or lean Democrat.
Their long time Mayor Matt Bemrich https://www.messengernews.net/news/local-news/2019/12/buttigieg-in-fd/ endorsed Pete Buttigieg for POTUS. YUCK!
If I now add Fort Dodge w/ Waterloo, Cedar Rapids, Des Moines, Davenport, Ames, Council Bluffs & Iowa City we have a cumulative population of 4,480,869 (2016-21) & 257 homicides, 53.2% of Iowa’s homicides. Homicide rate for those entities = 5.735 per 100,000. The decisively exceeds the national average for that time frame. Those jurisdictions are <24% of Iowa’s population. Let that sink in.
https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/ArrestDistribution How about arrests for Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter in Black Hawk, Johnson, Linn, Polk & Story counties 2016-21?
Of the 163 arrests for that offense, 57.05% (93) of them were Black. https://archive.ph/aBHOC
As I presumed (and not gratuitously), the vast majority of the Great State of Iowa is as safe as a baby in its mother’s arms because we don’t largely demonize police or gunowners. Most of Iowa does not have a hood rat, meth head culture, but the worst areas in Iowa have homicide rates above the national average so let’s can this “red states have higher homicide rates than blue states” crap that tossed around at the local pool hall.
You can see the problem children in Iowa & all of them (the only exception might be Council Bluffs, but I would wager that city leans Democrat, while the county does not. The Council Bluffs-Omaha Metropolitan area is a dangerous place, if you don’t believe me peruse Omaha’s annual police reports https://police.cityofomaha.org/crime-information/annual-reports) are Democrat-leaning cities.
The data from the Council Bluffs Police Dept. is https://www.councilbluffs-ia.gov/2505/Crime-Statistics basically worthless.
Now for some local data that will also be uncomfortable for woke, LGBT Iowa Democrats or Dumocrats in general.
According to the FBI https://crime-data-explorer.app.cloud.gov/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend (Select “Iowa” & then your jurisdiction) here are the number of reported homicides 2016-21 for Waterloo (32), Fort Dodge (11), Cedar Rapids (41), Des Moines (94), Davenport (46), Ames (8), Council Bluffs (13) & Iowa City (9) = 254 homicides, only 3 less than State of Iowa data.
I already covered Davenport & Des Moines https://professor_enigma.webs.com/sam-seder-ilhan-omar-racism3 & had local data for them, here’s local police dept. data if I can find it. Already informed you local Council Bluffs data is useless.
The Waterloo Police Dept. https://web.archive.org/web/20220000000000*/https://waterloopolice.com/images/recordsreports/ucrstats.pdf reports 29 cases of Murder/nonnegligent Manslaughter 2016-21.
Waterloo’s Mayor is a Democrat https://www.ci.waterloo.ia.us/government/mayor/index.php who appears to be making a career of being Mayor of one of Iowa’s most dangerous cities. https://www.democraticmayors.org/pressandmediablog/the-gazette-mayor-quentin-hart-how-biden-democrats-are-helping-iowans He presses all the right “cradle-to-grave” care buttons on the Democrat agenda & even endorsed “Rear Admiral” Pete Buttigieg. https://www.kwwl.com/news/waterloo-mayor-quentin-hart-endorses-pete-buttigieg-for-president/article_63977270-4908-513e-9df7-0278aee2621c.html
How about Cedar Rapids? https://www.cedar-rapids.org/local_government/departments_g_-_v/police/annual_report.php They tally 33 homicides 2016-20, 2021 data is not yet out.
How about Iowa City? https://www.icgov.org/city-government/departments-and-divisions/police-department/resources-and-documents https://www8.iowa-city.org/WebLink/DocView.aspx?id=2064506&dbid=0&repo=CityofIowaCity&cr=1
From 2017-2021 they list 10 murders in the city.
The Council of Iowa City opposed https://www.thegazette.com/local-government/iowa-city-council-opposes-gun-amendment-on-the-november-ballot/ (as did all House & Senate Democrats, as well as the Johnson County, Linn County Board of Supervisors & the Cedar Rapids School Board https://www.thegazette.com/k/cedar-rapids-school-board-opposes-gun-amendment/, surprise!) Iowa’s Gun Rights Amendment, https://ballotpedia.org/Iowa_Amendment_1,_Right_to_Keep_and_Bear_Arms_Amendment_(2022) which passed easily. Using phrases like “common sense” are just B.S., especially when you consider this contingent, this voting bloc largely thinks it is kosher to allow biological men in the same locker room w/ women.
They just want to use these ambiguous “common sense” moving goalposts to allow for eventual broad confiscation. These people are nuts & I will do a separate debunking of that piece soon.
Why is it the most violent places in Iowa oppose “common sense” proclamations like, “Law-abiding citizen from rural Iowa can have a handgun on his person to defend himself in the unlikely event he gets attacked. If he does to certain parts of Des Moines, Davenport or Waterloo, it becomes a bit more likely.”
They don’t like that, but if they lived in Waterloo or a shady part of Des Moines, they wouldn’t want the tweakers or meth heads to be the only people w/ guns. They oppose the “strict scrutiny” language because they want to codify “red flag” laws, that do not give “due process” the attention it deserves.
In closing, the most violent cities & counties in Iowa are not uber-Republican (although Council Bluffs is in a lean-Republican county, as is Fort Dodge) & when one looks at the homicide & victim data, we can conclude that it is not white, rural Iowa. ~2/3 of Iowa’s counties in any given year have ZERO homicides.
When 24% of the population is committing 53.2% of the homicides & the arrestees are disproportionately Black, the Democrats need to use a phrase they are fond of, “Common Sense.”
Chris Schwartz (Black Hawk County, Iowa Supervisor), along w/ most Democrats is completely confused/Fascist on firearms & the Second Amendment. Make no mistake Iowans, this lunatic et al. want to confiscate firearms from every law-abiding citizen in Iowa.
It won’t happen, but that doesn’t mean the pudgy little Hobbit won’t make the attempt. The next time some Fascist screeches, “We are not safe anywhere”, feel free to use this essay as a blowback.
I’ve elucidated this in my essays on homicide (this entire spiel will be crossposted @ http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/covid-increase-homicides ) & let me go a bit further w/ data going way back.
The racial characteristics of homicide in these United States has been commonplace for many decades, unless you’re a fatherless #blacklivesmatter terrorist & your head is ensconced in one of your orifices.
https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/12871 & https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_20/sr20_006acc.pdf
https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/65093 & https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1435670/pdf/pubhealthrep00160-0005.pdf
The homicide rate in these United States saw a YUUUGE spike in the 1910s-1920s & then dropped substantially in the 1930s. During those Roaring Twenties, it was substantially higher than it has been over the last few years. During the 1950s it was lower than it has been the last few years, just some food for thought.
Some things have not changed: “The upward trend for homicide victims from 1960 to 1974 is the primary focus of this report. This trend is kept in perspective by a comparison of recent homicide rates with the rates for earlier years. Some data concerning persons arrested for homicide and circumstances concerning the violent deaths, supplied by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, are also presented. In 1973, 20,465 men, women, and children lost their lives from injuries inflicted by another person or persons with intent to injure or kill (table 1). This figure gives a homicide rate of 9.8 deaths per 100,000 for 1973, the highest ever recorded for the nation. The next highest rate occurred more than 40 years ago in 1933 when the rate reached 9.7 deaths per 100,000 (fig. 1). Provisional data for 1974 show that homicide is still at a high level. It is estimated that the rate for 1974 was at least 9.8 deaths per 100,000, with 20,770 victims of homicide.” […]
“The category "white" includes, in addition to persons reported as white, persons reported to be Mexican or Puerto Rican. The categories "races other than white" and "all other" consist of persons reported as Negro, American Indian, Chinese, and Japanese; other numerically small racial groups; and persons of mixed white and other races. The Bureau of the Census reports that in 1973 about 26,802,000 of the 209,851,000 people in the United States (or 13 percent) belonged to "races other than white." Of the 26,802,000 people, about 23,801,000 (or 89 percent) belonged to the Negro race.”
“For each of the four color-sex groups, the homicide rates declined slowly through the last half of the 1940s and through the 1950s, but the rates turned upward again at the beginning of the 1960s. The upward trend continued through 1973 for three of the four color-sex groups-white males, white females, and females of other races but not for males of other races. For males
other than white, the rate of increase in homicides decelerated from the middle of the 1960s until about 1971, and then the rate turned downward-from 70.1 homicides per 100,000 for 1972 to 65.8 for 1973. The effect on the total homicide rate of this striking downturn in the rate for males of other races, however, was more than offset by the accelerated rise in the rate for the white population. For white persons, the homicide rate rose from 4.9 deaths per 100,000 for 1972 to 5.5 for 1973-representing an increase of more than 1,000 deaths-from 8,976 deaths for 1972 to 9,986 for 1973. The pattern of the trends for age-adjusted death rates for each of the four color-sex groups is similar to the pattern for the unadjusted rates for these four groups (fig. 3, table 2). As measured by age-adjusted death rates, the relative increase of 101.9 percent in the total
homicide rate between 1960 and 1973 reflects the following increases for the four color-sex groups: white male, 123.1 percent; other male, 71.7 percent; white female, 86.7 percent; and other female, 42.9 percent (fig. 3). Despite the larger relative increase in the age-adjusted
homicide rate for white persons, the 1973 rate for other persons was still 7.8 times the corresponding rate for white persons.” […]
“An examination of the mortality pattern for age specific homicide rates for each year from 1933 to 1973 (beginning with the first year that all of the first 48 States were in the death registration area) shows that-with few exceptions for any given year-for each of the four color-sex groups the age group 25-34 had a considerably higher death rate than any other age group. This pattern holds both for years in periods when homicide rates fell and for years in periods when the rates rose.” […]
“Firearms, especially handguns, are the primary means of homicide. According to information on the death certificates of the victims, the percentage of homicides committed by means of firearms and explosives rose from 54.7 in 1960 to 67.2 in 1973-an increase from 4,627 such homicides for 1960 to 13,572 for 1973. (For 1973, the Federal Bureau of Investigation ((1) estimated that 53 percent of the homicides were committed with handguns and about 14 percent with shotguns and other firearms.) On the other hand, information on the death certificates
shows that the percentage of homicides committed with cutting and piercing instruments (especially knives) dropped from 21.7 in 1960 to 15.9 in 1973. This percentage decrease, however, does not reflect an actual decrease in the number of homicides committed with cutting and piercing instruments because the number increased from 1,816 in 1960 to 3,254 in 1973. Rather, the decrease in the percentage is largely a result of the relatively greater increase during 1960-73 in the use of handguns and other firearms and explosives to commit homicide… Other means of injury, including homicidal brawl, poisoning, drowning, and pushing from high places, accounted for about 20 percent of the homicides in 1960, but for only 14.8 percent of such deaths in 1973. Again, the percentage decrease does not reflect an actual decrease in the number of homicides committed in these ways-the number increased from 1,700 in 1960 to 3,083 in 1973.” […]
When all means of injury are considered, there are still more suicides in the United States (25,118 in 1973) than there are homicides (20,465 in 1973). But the gap between the two types of violent death is closing rapidly. Whereas in 1973 more than half of the victims of homicide were among persons of races other than white, about 93 percent of the suicides were among white persons… In 1973 the victims of felony-type murder were 62 percent white, 37 percent Negro, and the remaining 1 percent of other race or race not reported. [NOTE: Take a gander at Tables 7 & 8 that look at homicide rates by region & then a table of homicide rates in the larges U.S. cities. A lot of the usual suspects from today are on that list]
You want more, eh?
“Most of the decline in homicides among the nonwhite population occurred to nonwhite males (fig. 2), From 46 deaths per 100,000 in 1950, their rate fell to 34 in 1961, a decrease of 26 percent in 12 years. The level was still more than seven times the national average… Over half the homicides were by firearms and explosives. Nearly one-fifth of the deaths were classified in the residual category “assault by other means” where the methods of homicide are not tabulated separately (table F) Among the many titles included in this category are homicides from strangulations, fights, and assault by unspecified or other means which cannot be classified in categories E980-E982. Females and white persons had proportionately twice as many homicides in this category as males and nonwhite persons, respectively. On the other hand, nonwhite persons showed almost twice as high a percentage of deaths from cuttings and stabbings as did white victims… In1964 the rates for firearms and explosives and from cutting and stabbing wounds were greater for the nonwhite population than for the white, 8 and 16 times greater, respectively. For ages 25-44, these rates were 10 times greater for firearms and explosives and more than20 times greater for cutting and stabbing wounds.”
Young, dysfunctional (usually nonwhite) men (with or without Roe) tend to be the folks getting murdered disproportionately, even back in the 1930-1960s. They also tend to be the perpetrators of these heinous crimes & the only thing that has changed is over the past ~25 years is the U.S. has enjoyed a homicide rate those who lived in the 1910s-1930s & 1970s-1980s would’ve loved to have.
I surmise if the FBI or CDC published detailed data (such as the FBI’s current “Expanded Homicide Data”) pertaining to the race & gender of the assailant, we would see little has changed, except the U.S. homicide rate has fluctuated massively over the past century.
This concludes my rebuttal to Black Hawk County, Iowa Supervisor Chris Schwartz, may his parroted, uneducated, sophomoronic talking points RIP. Mr. Chairman, I Yield Back.
*** Chrissy shrieks. “We are not safe anywhere.” Speak for yourself Hobbit. Waterloo is one of the most dangerous places in Iowa, has been for a long time & it sits in the County you live in. Quit projecting the immoral, disgusting culture in that city onto white, rural Iowa where we don’t find a body riddled w/ stab wounds and/or gunshots every month or so. ‘
Granted, Waterloo is uber-safe compared to other Democrat-leaning cities outside of Iowa, but as far as Iowa goes, Waterloo is not safe.
Here’s a rundown of counties for various years (as far as I want to go w/ this & depending on if 2021 reports are out) that had ZERO homicides.
Pennsylvania https://www.ucr.pa.gov/PAUCRSPUBLIC/Home/Index
The following PA counties had ZERO cases of Murder/Non-Negligent Manslaughter in 2021: Cameron, Clinton, Centre, Wyoming, Wayne, Union, Tioga, Sullivan, Snyder, Montour, Juniata, Jefferson, Huntingdon, Greene, Fulton, & Forest.
That’s 23.88% (16) of PA’s 67 counties had zero homicides in 2021. They had a population of 592,213 – 4.56% of PA’s total population in 2021.
Donald Trump won 14 of those 16 (87.5%) counties with ≥60% of the vote in 2020.
The following PA counties had ZERO cases of Murder/Non-Negligent Manslaughter in 2020: Armstrong, Bedford, Bradford, Cameron, Centre, Columbia, Forest, Fulton, Greene, Huntingdon, McKean, Mifflin, Union, Wayne & Wyoming.
That’s 22.38% (15) of PA’s 67 counties w/ zero homicides in 2020.
How about Minnesota https://dps.mn.gov/divisions/bca/bca-divisions/mnjis/Pages/uniform-crime-reports.aspx https://www.cde.state.mn.us/
https://dps.mn.gov/divisions/bca/bca-divisions/mnjis/Documents/2020UCR-county_all_offense_data.pdf
Counties in MN that had ZERO homicides for 2020 – those were: Aitken, Becker, Benton, Big Stone, Brown, Carver, Cass, Chippewa, Chisago, Clearwater, Cook, Cottonwood, Crow Wing, Dodge, Douglas, Faribault, Fillmore, Freeborn, Grant, Houston, Hubbard, Isanti, Itasca, Jackson, Kanabec, Kandiyohi, Kittson, Koochiching, Lac qui Parle, Lake, Lake of the Woods, Le Sueur, Lincoln, Lyon, Mahnomen, Marshall, Martin, McLeod, Meeker, Morrison, Murray, Nicollet, Nobles, Norman, Pennington, Pipestone, Polk, Pope, Red Lake, Redwood, Rice, Rock, Sibley, Stevens, Swift, Traverse, Wabasha, Wadena, Waseca, Watonwan, Wilkin, Wright & Yellow Medicine.
That’s 72.41% (63 of 87) of MN’s counties & they had 25.75% of the MN population (1,469,474).
Donald Trump won 77.77% (49 of 63) of those counties in the 2020 election ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in MN that had ZERO homicides in 2021 – those were: Aitken, Becker, Benton, Big Stone, Brown, Cass, Chippewa, Clearwater, Cook, Cottonwood, Dodge, Douglas, Faribault, Fillmore, Freeborn, Goodhue, Grant, Houston, Hubbard, Itasca, Jackson, Kanabec, Kandiyohi, Kittson, Koochiching, Lac qui Parle, Lake, Lincoln, Lyon, Mahnomen, Marshall, Martin, McLeod, Mille Lacs, Murray, Nicollet, Nobles, Norman, Otter Tail, Pennington, Pine, Pipestone, Polk, Pope, Red Lake, Redwood, Rock, Roseau, Sherburne, Sibley, Steele, Stevens, Swift, Traverse, Wadena, Waseca, Watonwan, Wilkin & Yellow Medicine. https://cde.state.mn.us/DownloadData/OffenseCountyMunicipalByCountyDownload
That’s 67.81% (59 of 87) of MN’s counties had ZERO homicides in 2021. Whoops!
How about Michigan? https://www.michigan.gov/msp/divisions/cjic/micr/annual-reports https://www.michigan.gov/msp/-/media/Project/Websites/msp/micr-assets/2021/Offenses-by-County-and-Agency_2021.xlsx
Counties in MI that had ZERO murders/non-negligent manslaughter events in 2021 (make sure you read the notes): Alcona, Alger, Antrim, Baraga, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Crawford, Delta, Dickinson, Emmet, Gladwin, Hillsdale, Houghton, Huron, Iron, Kalkaska, Keweenaw, Lake, Leelanau, Mason, Mecosta, Menominee, Midland, Montmorency, Newaygo, Oceana, Ogemaw, Ontonagon, Osceola, Oscoda, Otsego, Presque Isle, Roscommon, Schoolcraft, Shiawassee & Wexford.
37 of MI’s 83 counties (44.57%) had ZERO murders in 2021.
Counties in MI that had ZERO murders/non-negligent manslaughter events in 2020: Alcona, Alger, Antrim, Arenac, Baraga, Barry, Cass, Clare, Clinton, Crawford, Delta, Dickinson, Gladwin, Gogebic, Grand Traverse, Gratiot, Houghton, Iosco, Iron, Kalkaska, Keweenaw, Lake, Lapeer, Leelanau, Luce, Mackinac, Marquette, Mason, Mecosta, Menominee, Missaukee, Monroe, Montmorency, Newaygo, Oceana, Ogemaw, Ontonagon, Osceola, Oscoda, Sanilac, Shiawassee & Tuscola.
42 of MI’s 83 counties (50.6%) had zero homicides (2020) & that was 13.98% of the state population (1,409,262).
Donald Trump won 32 of those 42 (76.19%) counties ≥60% of the vote in 2020.
How about Wisconsin? https://www.doj.state.wi.us/dles/bjia/ucr-offense-data Counties that had ZERO homicides (or murder/non-negligent manslaughter if you prefer) in 2021: Adams, Barron, Bayfield, Calumet, Clark, Dodge, Door, Douglas, Florence, Forest, Green Lake, Iron, Jackson, Kewaunee, Lafayette, Langlade, Lincoln, Marquette, Menominee, Pepin, Pierce, Price, Richland, Sauk, Shawano, St. Croix, Trempealeau, Vernon, Vilas, Walworth, Washburn & Waushara.
32 of 72 counties in WI (44.44%) counties had ZERO homicides in 2021. They were 17.25% of the state’s population (1,017,265).
Donald Trump won 18 of those 32 counties (56.25%) ≥60% of the vote in 2020.
How about Oklahoma? https://osbi.ok.gov/publications/crime-statistics https://osbi.ok.gov/file/10091/download?token=8SuW41G8
Counties in Oklahoma that had ZERO homicides in 2020: Alfalfa, Atoka, Beaver, Blaine, Caddo, Carter, Cimarron, Coal, Cotton, Craig, Ellis, Grant, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Haskell, Hughes, Jefferson, Kingfisher, Kiowa, Latimer, Love, Major, Marshall, Mayes, Murray, Noble, Pawnee, Payne, Pushmataha, Roger Mills, Sequoyah, Tillman, Woods & Washita.
35 of OK’s 77 counties (45.45%) had zero homicides in 2020.
Counties in Oklahoma that had ZERO homicides in 2019: Alfalfa, Atoka, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Cimarron, Coal, Cotton, Craig, Delaware, Dewey, Ellis, Garvin, Grant, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Haskell, Hughes, Jefferson, Kay, Kingfisher, Kiowa, Latimer, LeFlore, Love, McIntosh, Major, Nowata, Ottawa, Pawnee, Pushmataha, Roger Mills, Texas, Tillman, Woods, Woodward & Washita.
39 of OK’s 77 counties (50.64%) had zero homicides in 2019, they were 13.76% (544,851) of the state’s population.
Donald Trump won 39 of those 39 counties (100%) in 2020 w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in MT that had ZERO murders/non-negligent manslaughter offenses in 2021 (again, when I say “homicide” I mean “murder/non-negligent manslaughter”): Beaverhead, Big Horn, Broadwater, Carbon, Carter, Custer, Dawson, Deer Lodge, Fergus, Hill, Jefferson, Lewis and Clark, Liberty, Lincoln, Madison, Musselshell, Powell, Richland, Rosebud, Sanders, Sweet Grass, Toole, Valley, Judith Basin, Golden Valley, Chouteau, Daniels, Granite, McCone, Meagher, Mineral, Phillips, Pondera, Powder River, Prairie, Stillwater, Treasure, Wheatland & Wibaux.
That’s 39 of MT’s 56 (69.64%) counties had zero homicides in 2021.
Counties in MT that had ZERO murders/non-negligent manslaughter offenses in 2020: Big Horn, Broadwater, Carbon, Carter, Cascade, Custer, Dawson, Deer Lodge, Jefferson, Liberty, Lincoln, Musselshell, Park, Petroleum, Powell, Richland, Rosebud, Sanders, Silver Bow, Sweet Grass, Teton, Toole, Valley, Judith Basin, Golden Valley, Chouteau, Daniels, Granite, McCone, Meagher, Mineral, Phillips, Pondera, Powder River, Prairie, Stillwater, Treasure, Wheatland & Wibaux.
That’s also 39 of MT’s 56 (69.64%) counties had zero homicides in 2020. Those counties were (346,848) 31.99% of MT’s population.
Donald Trump won 34 of those 39 counties (87.17%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote. Be careful when tabulating MT’s data, it will de facto exclude listing counties that had NO HOMICIDES in the time frame you select, so you have to make sure you look at the right side of their interactive board & count counties not listed!
How about Utah? https://bci.utah.gov/utah-crime-statistics/
Counties in UT that had zero homicides in 2020: Beaver, Box Elder, Carbon, Emery, Garfield (the previous two agencies submitted no data, I presume due to their rural nature & no data submission they had ZERO murders), Morgan, Piute, Rich, San Juan, Sanpete, Sevier, Summit, Wasatch & Wayne.
That’s 48.27% (14 of 29) of UT counties w/ ZERO homicides in 2020.
Counties in UT that had zero homicides in 2019: Beaver, Carbon, Dagget, Emery, Garfield, Grand, Iron, Juab, Kane, Morgan, Piute, Rich, San Juan, Sanpete, Sevier, Summit, Uintah, Wasatch & Wayne.
65.51% (19 of 29) of UT counties had zero homicides in 2019. They had 10.17% of the population (326,316).
Donald Trump won 16 of those 19 counties (84.21%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Let’s look at New York state https://www.criminaljustice.ny.gov/crimnet/ojsa/stats.htm https://www.criminaljustice.ny.gov/crimnet/ojsa/indexcrimes/county_totals.htm
Counties in NY that had zero homicides (2021): Chenango, Delaware, Franklin, Hamilton, Lewis, Livingston, Madison, Orleans, Otsego, Putnam, Schuyler, Tioga, Warren, Wyoming & Yates.
15 of 62 (24.19%) NY counties had zero homicides in 2021.
Counties in NY that had zero homicides (2020): Essex, Franklin, Genesee, Greene, Hamilton, Lewis, Livingston, Orleans, Oswego, Otsego, Putnam, Schoharie, Schuyler, Tioga, Tompkins, Warren, Washington & Wyoming.
18 of 62 (29.03%) NY counties had zero homicides in 2020. They were 4.79% (968,215) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 6 of those 18 counties (33.33%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Oregon?
https://www.oregon.gov/osp/Pages/Uniform-Crime-Reporting-Data.aspx
As far as I can see Tillamook, Columbia, Lincoln, Polk, Curry, Hood River, Wasco, Sherman, Gilliam, Morrow, Harney, Grant, Crook, Wheeler & Wallowa had zero homicides in 2020.
15 of OR’s 36 counties (41.66%) had zero homicides (2020). They had 8.4% (356,259) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 8 of those 15 counties (53.33%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
For 2021: Clatsop, Curry, Wallowa, Union, Baker, Grant, Morrow, Gilliam, Hood River, Wasco, Lake, Harney, Crook, Wheeler & Jefferson had zero homicides.
15 of OR’s 36 counties (41.66%) had zero homicides (2021).
How about the great state of Maine? https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/about/maine-crime https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/sites/maine.gov.dps.msp/files/inline-files/Crime%20in%20Maine%202020.pdf
The following counties in ME had zero homicides in 2020: Aroostook, Franklin, Hancock, Knox, Lincoln, Oxford, Sagadahoc, Somerset, Waldo, Washington & York.
68.75% (11 of 16) of ME’s counties had zero homicides in 2020, equaling 48.11% (655,510) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 1 of those 11 counties (9.09%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
The following counties in ME had zero homicides in 2019: Franklin, Hancock, Knox, Lincoln, Piscataquis, Somerset, Waldo & Washington.
50% of ME’s counties (8 of 16) had zero homicides (2019). If you’re wondering why ME is such a safe place, look up its demographics & then look at their Constitutional Carry law. That’s likely why there are not shootouts in ME every weekend.
There are not massive “homicide increases everywhere” as some idiots say. Rural, white counties are not the problem, capiche?
How about Florida? https://www.fdle.state.fl.us/CJAB/UCR/Annual-Reports https://www.fdle.state.fl.us/CJAB/UCR/UCR/2020/Annual/Statewide_County_2020A.aspx
Counties in FL that had ZERO criminal homicides in 2020: Flagler, Franklin, Gilchrist, Glades, Gulf, Jefferson, Lafayette & Liberty.
8 of 67 (11.94%) FL counties had zero homicides in 2020.
Counties in FL that had ZERO criminal homicides in 2019: Baker, Franklin, Gilchrist, Glades, Jackson, Lafayette, Madison, Taylor, Union, Wakulla & Washington.
11 of 67 (16.41%) FL counties had zero homicides in 2019. They had 1.13% (243,075) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 10 of those 11 counties (90.9%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Arkansas? https://www.dps.arkansas.gov/crime-info-support/arkansas-crime-information-center/crime-statistics/
In 2021, the following counties had ZERO homicides: Calhoun, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway, Crawford, Dallas, Faulkner, Franklin, Grant, Greene, Hempstead, Izard, Jackson, Lafayette, Lawrence, Lee, Lincoln, Nevada, Perry, Pike, Polk, Randolph, Searcy, Sharp, Van Buren, Woodruff & Yell.
Of AR’s 75 counties, (28) 37.33% had no homicides in 2021. Those counties were 18.97% (574,294) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 26 of those 28 (92.85%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
In 2020, the following counties had ZERO homicides: Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleveland, Conway, Crawford, Cross, Dallas, Grant, Izard, Lafayette, Lincoln, Logan, Madison, Perry, Pike, Polk, Prairie, Saline, Searcy, Sevier, Stone, Van Buren & Woodruff.
Of AR’s 75 counties (24) 32% had zero homicides in 2020.
How about Missouri? https://showmecrime.mo.gov/public/ (Select “SRS Crime Rates by County” then “Summary Offense” then “Murder and Nonnegligent Homicide” & lastly “Show Report. You can also use the “NIBRS Reports”, which are more thorough. I compared BOTH and I was glad I did because some NIBRS reports had zero homicides & the SRS reports did not. In that case, I eliminated that county)
MO counties w/ ZERO homicides in 2021: Cole, Franklin, Gasconade, Grundy, Howard, Howell, Miller, Perry, Ripley, Sainte Genevieve, Shannon, Stone, Wayne, Webster & Wright.
13.04% (15 of 115) of MO counties had zero homicides in 2021.
[NOTE: St. Louis City is an “Independent City” & thus MO technically has 115 counties]
MO counties w/ ZERO homicides in 2020: Bollinger, Butler, Caldwell, Camden, Carter, Cedar, Dade, Grundy, Laclede, Lincoln, Miller, Oregon, Perry, Randolph, Ray, Saint Francois, Sainte Genevieve, Sullivan, Vernon, Warren, Webster & Wright.
19.13% (only 22 of 115) of MO counties had zero homicides in 2020. They were 8.78% (540,736) of the state population. It was a rough 2 years in the Show Me State.
Donald Trump won all 22 of those counties (100%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
What about Washington? https://www.waspc.org/crime-statistics-reports
https://www.waspc.org/assets/CJIS/2021%20CIW.pdf
Counties in WA that had zero homicides in 2021: Clallam, Columbia, Douglas, Ferry, Garfield, Kittitas, Lincoln, Okanogan, Pacific, Pend Oreille, San Juan & Wahkiakum.
Of WA’s 39 counties (12) 30.76% had zero homicides in 2021.
Counties in WA that had zero homicides in 2020: Asotin, Columbia, Douglas, Ferry, Garfield, Island, Klickitat, Lincoln, Pacific, San Juan, Skamania, Wahkiakum & Whitman.
Of WA’s 39 counties (13) 33.33% had zero homicides in 2020. They had 3.95% (304,691) of the state’s population.
Donald Trump won 6 of those 13 (46.15%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about California? https://oag.ca.gov/crime https://data-openjustice.doj.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2022-08/Homicide%20In%20CA%202021.pdf (See “Understanding the Data” notes)
Counties in CA that had zero homicides in 2021: Alpine, Colusa, Glenn, Inyo, Lassen, Modoc, Napa, Plumas, Shasta & Sierra.
10 of CA’s 58 counties (17.241%) had zero homicides in 2021. They had 1.15% (454,291) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 4 of those 10 (40%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in CA that had zero homicides in 2020: Alpine, Calaveras, El Dorado, Lassen, Mariposa & Sierra.
6 of CA’s 58 counties (10.34%) had zero homicides in 2020.
How about Illinois? https://isp.illinois.gov/CrimeReporting/CrimeInIllinoisReports https://isp.illinois.gov/StaticFiles/docs/CrimeReporting/cii/cii20/Index%20Crime.pdf
Illinois counties w/ no homicides 2020: Adams, Alexander, Bond, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Edwards, Effingham, Fayette, Ford, Franklin, Gallatin, Greene, Hamilton, Henderson, Henry, Iroquois, Jasper, Jefferson, Jersey, Jo Daviess, Johnson, LaSalle, Lawrence, Lee, Livingston, Logan, Macoupin, Marion, Marshall, Mason, Massac, McDonough, Menard, Monroe, Morgan, Moultrie, Perry, Piatt, Pike, Putnam, Randolph, Richland, Saline, Schuyler, Scott, Shelby, Stark, Union, Warren, Washington, Wayne, White & Woodford.
64 of IL’s 102 counties (62.74%) had ZERO homicides in 2020. They had 11.41% (1,461,995) of the state’s population.
Donald Trump won 58 of those 64 (90.62%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Illinois counties w/ no homicides in 2019: Alexander, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Edwards, Effingham, Fayette, Ford, Franklin, Fulton, Gallatin, Greene, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Henderson, Jasper, Jersey, Jo Daviess, Johnson, Knox, Lawrence, Livingston, Logan, Macoupin, Marshall, Mason, Massac, McDonough, Menard, Mercer, Moultrie, Perry, Piatt, Putnam, Randolph, Richland, Schuyler, Scott, Shelby, Stark, Union, Wabash, Warren, Washington, Wayne & White.
56 of IL’s 102 counties (54.9%) had ZERO homicides in 2019.
[NOTE: Calhoun County, Pulaski County & Pope County, while very small did not report any data 2020-2017, so I am not going to include them. Hardin had no data 2020 & 2019 but had data the previous two years & one homicide. I will include them in 2019, but not 2020]
Let’s keep this train rolling, how about South Carolina? https://www.sled.sc.gov/crimestatistics https://www.sled.sc.gov/forms/statistics/2020%20Crime%20in%20South%20Carolina.pdf
Counties in SC that had ZERO homicides (2020): Abbeville, Edgefield, Hampton & McCormick.
Of SC’s 46 counties, only 8.69% (4) had zero homicides. Those counties had 78,392 people & were 1.53% of SC’s population.
Donald Trump won 2 of those 4 (50%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in SC that had ZERO homicides (2019): Calhoun, Edgefield, McCormick & Saluda.
Of SC’s 46 counties, only 8.69% (4) had zero homicides.
How about New Hampshire? https://crimestats.dos.nh.gov/public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=2
Counties in NH that had zero homicides (2021): Belknap, Carroll, Coos, Strafford & Sullivan.
Of NH’s 10 counties, (5) 50% had zero homicides in 2021. Those counties had a population of 323,198 & that was 23.26% of the population.
Donald Trump won 0 of those 5 (0%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in NH that had zero homicides (2020): Coos, Grafton, Merrimack & Sullivan.
Of NH’s 10 counties, (4) 40% had zero homicides in 2020.
How about Iowa? https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/CrimeDensityReports
In 2021, here are the counties in Iowa that ZERO occurrences of “Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter” (make sure you select that): Adams, Allamakee, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cedar, Cherokee, Chickasaw, Clarke, Clay, Clayton, Crawford, Dallas, Davis, Decatur, Dickinson, Fayette, Franklin, Freemont, Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Harrison, Henry, Howard, Humboldt, Ida, Iowa, Jackson, Keokuk, Louisa, Lucas, Lyon, Madison, Mahaska, Marion, Mills, Mitchell, Monona, Monroe, Muscatine, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Palo Alto, Plymouth, Pocahontas, Poweshiek, Ringgold, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor, Union, Van Buren, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Winnebago, Winneshiek & Worth.
69.69% (69) of Iowa’s 99 counties had ZERO homicides in 2021. What is this “we are not safe anywhere” crap? Sounds like someone has brain damage. Quit projecting the behavior of your fatherless, hood rat voters onto the entire nation.
In 2020, these Iowa counties had ZERO cases of “Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter”: Adair, Adams, Allamakee, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Chickasaw, Clarke, Clay, Clayton, Crawford, Davis, Decatur, Delaware, Dickinson, Emmet, Fayette, Floyd, Franklin, Fremont, Greene, Grundy, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Henry, Howard, Humboldt, Ida, Iowa, Jackson, Jasper, Jefferson, Jones, Keokuk, Kossuth, Lee, Louisa, Lucas, Lyon, Mills, Mitchell, Monona, Monroe, Montgomery, Muscatine, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Pocahontas, Pottawattamie, Ringgold, Sac, Shelby, Tama, Union, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington, Wayne, Winnebago, Winneshiek, Worth & Wright.
That’s (75) 75.75% of Iowa’s 99 counties with ZERO Murders in 2020. Those counties had a collective population of 1,296,281 & that was 40.63% of the entire IA population.
Donald Trump won 61 of those 75 (81.33%) of those counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Massachusetts? https://masscrime.chs.state.ma.us/public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=678 (Select all 14 counties in “Jurisdiction by Geography” & then “Summary Date” select your years (in this case, 2021 & 2020) & lastly “Summary Offense” should include “Murder and Nonnegligent Homicide” under the “Criminal Homicide” dropdown menu. DO NOT include “Manslaughter by Negligence”)
Counties in MA that had zero homicides in 2021: Dukes, Franklin & Nantucket.
Counties in MA that had zero homicides in 2020: Dukes, Franklin & Nantucket.
For 2021 & 2020, MA had 3 of its 14 counties (21.42%) w/ ZERO homicides. Those counties were (106,603) 1.52% of the MA population in 2021.
Donald Trump won NONE of those (0%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Maryland? https://mdsp.maryland.gov/Document%20Downloads/Crime%20In%20Maryland%202020%20Uniform%20Crime%20Report.pdf
Counties in MD that had zero homicides 2020: Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne’s, Somerset & Talbot.
5 of MD’s 24 counties (20.83%) had zero homicides in 2020.
Counties in MD that had zero homicides 2019: Allegany, Calvert, Garrett, Kent, Queen Anne’s & Worchester.
25% (6 of 24) of MD’s counties had zero homicides in 2019. Those entities were (314,034) 5.19 % of the MD population.
Donald Trump won 3 (50%) of those 6 counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
[NOTE: Baltimore City is an Independent City, a separate entity from Baltimore County]
Let’s look at New Jersey https://www.nj.gov/njsp/ucr/uniform-crime-reports.shtml https://www.nj.gov/njsp/ucr/pdf/current/2020_Uniform_Crime_Report.xlsx https://www.nj.gov/njsp/ucr/pdf/2019_Uniform_Crime_Report.xlsx
Counties in NJ that had zero homicides 2020: Cape May & Warren.
9.52% (2 of 21) of NJ’s counties had no homicides 2020
Counties in NJ that had no murders in 2019: Cape May & Sussex.
9.52% (2 of 21) of NJ’s counties had no homicides 2019. Those counties were (232,527) 2.61% of the entire NJ population.
Donald Trump won ZERO of those 2 counties (0%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Since TX has SO MANY counties, I will only be covering 2020. https://www.dps.texas.gov/sites/default/files/documents/crimereports/20/2020chapter10b.xlsx
https://www.dps.texas.gov/section/crime-records/crime-texas
Counties in TX with ZERO murders 2020: Zapata, Yoakum, Winkler, Wilbarger, Wheeler, Ward, Uvalde, Upton, Tyler, Titus, Throckmorton, Terry, Terrell, Swisher, Sutton, Stonewall, Sterling, Stephens, Somervell, Sherman, Shackelford, Schleicher, San Jacinto, San Augustine, Rockwall, Roberts, Refugio, Real, Reagan, Rains, Presidio, Pecos, Parmer, Panola, Oldham, Ochiltree, Nolan, Motley, Morris, Moore, Montague, Mitchell, Mills, Milam, Menard, Mason, Martin, Marion, Madison, McMullen, McCulloch, Lynn, Loving, Llano, Live Oak, Lipscomb, Limestone, Leon, Lavaca, La Salle, Lampasas, Knox, Kinney, King, Kent, Kenedy, Kendall, Karnes, Jim Hogg, Jeff Davis, Jackson, Jack, Irion, Hutchinson, Hudspeth, Houston, Hemphill, Haskell, Hartley, Hardeman, Hansford, Hamilton, Hall, Guadalupe, Grimes, Gray, Goliad, Glasscock, Gillespie, Garza, Gaines, Freestone, Franklin, Foard, Floyd, Fisher, Fayette, Fannin, Falls, Erath, Edwards, Duval, Donley, Dimmit, Dickens, DeWitt, Delta, Deaf Smith, Dawson, Culberson, Crosby, Crane, Cottle (did not report data, but including them), Concho, Collingsworth, Coleman, Coke, Cochran, Clay, Childress, Castro, Carson, Camp, Callahan, Burleson, Brown, Brooks, Briscoe, Brewster, Borden, Bee, Baylor, Bandera, Bailey, Armstrong & Archer.
Of TX’s 254 counties, (136) 53.54% of them had ZERO murders in 2020. Those counties were (1,644,368) 5.64% of the entire TX population.
Donald Trump won 129 of those 136 counties (94.85%) in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Idaho? https://nibrs.isp.idaho.gov/CrimeInIdaho/Report/CrimeDensityReports (Select “Year” & then “Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter”)
Counties in ID that had ZERO homicides in 2021: Adams, Bear Lake, Benewah, Bingham, Blaine, Boise, Boundary, Butte, Camas, Caribou, Cassia, Clark, Custer, Elmore, Franklin, Gooding, Idaho, Jerome, Latah, Lemhi, Lincoln, Minidoka, Oneida, Owyhee, Payette, Power, Shoshone, Teton & Valley.
29 of ID’s 44 counties (65.9%) had zero homicides.
Counties in ID that had ZERO homicides in 2020: Bannock, Benewah, Boise, Butte, Camas, Caribou, Cassia, Clark, Clearwater, Custer, Franklin, Fremont, Gem, Gooding, Latah, Lemhi, Lewis, Lincoln, Madison, Minidoka, Oneida, Payette, Power, Shoshone, Teton, Valley & Washington.
27 of ID’s 44 counties (61.36%) had zero homicides. Those counties were (431,143) 23.44% of the entire ID population.
Donald Trump won 23 of those 27 (85.18%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
How about Arizona? https://www.azdps.gov/about/reports/crime http://www.azdps.gov/sites/default/files/media/FINAL_Crime%20in%20Arizona%202020.pdf http://www.azdps.gov/sites/default/files/media/FINAL_Crime%20in%20Arizona%202019.pdf
Counties in AZ that had ZERO homicides (2020): Apache, Graham, La Paz & Santa Cruz. 4 of AZ’s 15 counties (26.66%) had no homicides in 2020. Those counties had 2.36% (168,780) of AZ’s population.
Donald Trump won 2 (50%) of those 4 counties in 2020 w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Counties in AZ that had ZERO homicides (2019): Greenlee & Santa Cruz.
Combining all the above data (I did two years, depending on if they had 2021 reports out I did 2020 each time & either 2019 or 2021) & the year I selected from the two I examined we have (PA, MN, MI, WI, OK, MT, UT, NY, OR, ME, FL, AR, MO, WA, CA, IL, SC, NH, IA, MA, MD, NJ, TX, ID & AZ) 1,568 COUNTIES. That’s a pretty good sample size.
Some of these states are high homicide (IL, AR, MO, OK) & some are low homicide (IA, OR, ME, NH). Some vote Republican consistently & some vote Democrat. Some states are highly populated, some are not – some are densely populated (and even that varies a LOT by county, especially in TX) & some are not. This is a good sample size kids.
Of those 1,568 COUNTIES, 704 (44.89%) of them had ZERO occurrences of Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter. Donald Trump won 79.97% (563) of those counties w/ ZERO homicides in the 2020 election where he received ≥60% of the vote.
Extrapolating that out – there are 3,143 COUNTIES or county equivalents in these United States (St. Louis City & Philadelphia City are “independent cities” & thus considered a “County” for Census purposes, as are a number of “independent cities” in VA), that would mean in a given year in recent history, 1,411 (44.89%) of U.S. Counties have zero homicides.
Those 704 counties had a cumulative population of 15,860,621 for the years I selected (again, depending on if their 2021 report was done, it was 2019 & 2020 or 2020 & 2021). The states I selected (PA, MN, MI, WI, OK, MT, UT, NY, OR, ME, FL, AR, MO, WA, CA, IL, SC, NH, IA, MA, MD, NJ, TX, ID & AZ) had a collective population of (2020) 228,635,731 – that was 68.98% of the entire U.S. population.
6.93% of the fine folks living in those states lived in counties w/ no homicides. That means in any given year, almost 23 million people live in U.S. counties (44.89% of all counties) where there are no homicides.
I could’ve gone further & included counties w/ one homicide as there are numerous rural counties in America that have no homicides most years, but the occasional heinous crime is committed. All those counties would add cumulatively, millions & millions more to the grand total.
If I did that, the data would look much better, but I set a high bar.
Kind of blows up the “we are not safe anywhere” talking point, eh? Only some who is borderline retarded and/or trying to push a narrative would make up such a thing. You may be projecting the violent perpetrated by fatherless hood rats in your own county upon everyone else & I hate to tell you, but rural Iowa doesn’t have piles of dead bodies, replete w/ knife wounds & gunshots.
We leave that to places like Waterloo, Cedar Rapids, Des Moines & Davenport.
These totals https://crimeresearch.org/2017/04/number-murders-county-54-us-counties-2014-zero-murders-69-1-murder/ are much lower than in previous decades where ~70% of U.S. counties had zero murders in any given year & murders were even more concentrated & the homicide rate was much, much higher.
From 1987-2000, the U.S. homicide rate was much higher than 2001-2019 & in the former time frame fewer counties had homicides when compared to my recent data (the homicide rate 2018-2020 was much lower than 1987-2000). I am not saying America is doing great, we have seen massive homicide increases the last 3 years, but it’s not as bad as it has been.
The main reason (I concur w/ John Lott on this) homicides are creeping into less dense, more rural counties is drug abuse & a lack of fathers. Lott did not mention the latter, I did.
As I proved in my essays on homicide https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=2909861932583537&id=1400591836843895 http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/sam-seder-ilhan-omar-racism3 (and John Lott covers this too) the counties & cities in the U.S. that are doing the lion’s share of the homicide are a small portion of the entire U.S. population.
It’s ~10% of U.S. counties & cities where danger is around every corner, not rural, white counties won overwhelmingly by Republican candidates. These dangerous counties & cities are overwhelmingly won by the Dumocrat Party.
Some food for thought the next time you hear a mouth-breathing, overweight Democrat suggest that “we are not safe anywhere.” Speak for yourself fat boy!
BONUS ROUND: In 2016, 73 of Iowa’s 99 counties (73.73%) had zero homicides. The site does NOT make it easy to find out which counties had just one homicide, ergo – I did not add the counties w/ one homicide.
Of Utah’s 29 counties, 17 of them (58.62%) had no homicides in 2016. And additional 5 counties had ONE HOMICIDE in 2016.
In 2016, only 6 of California’s 58 counties (10.34%) had zero homicides. An additional 7 counties had one homicide.
39 of Michigan’s 83 counties (46.98%) had zero homicides in 2016. An additional 20 counties had ONE homicide.
https://isp.illinois.gov/StaticFiles/docs/CrimeReporting/cii/cii16/cii16_SectionI_Pg11_to_246.pdf Of Illinois’ 102 counties, 64 of them (62.74%) had zero homicides in 2016. An additional 17 counties had ONE HOMICIDE.
https://dps.mn.gov/divisions/bca/bca-divisions/mnjis/Documents/2016UCR-county_all_offense_data.pdf Of Minnesota’s 87 counties, 62 of them (71.26%) had ZERO homicides (2016). An additional 14 counties had ONE HOMICIDE.
Of Wisconsin’s 72 counties, 48 of them (66.66%) of them had ZERO homicides in 2017. An additional 13 counties had one homicide.
Of New York’s 62 counties, 14 (22.58%) of them had ZERO homicides in 2017. An additional 15 counties had one homicide in 2017.
Of Idaho’s 44 counties, 28 of them (63.63%) of them had ZERO homicides in 2016.
In Missouri, 51.3% (59 of 115) of its counties had ZERO homicides (2016). An additional 25 counties had one homicide.
In Montana, (41 of 56) 73.21% of its counties had ZERO murders (2016). As an aside, an additional 5 counties had one case of murder/nonnegligent manslaughter.
In Oklahoma, 41 of their 77 counties (53.24%) had ZERO murders in 2016. An additional 15 counties had ONE MURDER.
South Carolina has 46 counties, only 2 of them (4.34%) of them had ZERO homicides in 2016. As an aside, 7 counties had only one homicide.
https://www.nj.gov/njsp/ucr/2016/pdf/2016_sect_7.pdf New Jersey has 21 counties, 4 of them (19.04%) had ZERO homicides in 2016. One additional county had 1 homicide.
In New Hampshire (2016), one of their ten counties (10%) had zero homicides. An additional 5 counties had one homicide.
In Maine, 56.25% (9 of 16) of its counties had no homicides in 2016. One additional county had one homicide.
https://www.dps.texas.gov/crimereports/16/citCh10b.xlsx In Texas, 138 of its 254 counties (54.33%) had ZERO homicides (2016). 44 additional counties had ONE homicide.
The states above in the BONUS ROUND had collectively 1,231 COUNTIES & in the year I selected (some states did not have good data going back to 2016, so I chose 2017), 646 (52.47%) of those counties had ZERO homicides.
The states where I was able to find counties w/ one homicide had 1,088 COUNTIES collectively. 739 of those counties (67.92%) had fewer than two homicides.
The reason I bring that up again is because there are boatloads of rural counties in these United States <50,000 people & in a 5-year block of crime data they could have one homicide in two of those years & the other three have none.
When I was looking through TX’s 2016 data, one of their podunk counties had a homicide rate in the hundreds because they had 2 homicides that year. Most years they have zero.
There are a lot of those counties in these United States & it further demonstrates that the “We are not safe anywhere” talking point is only excreted by people who are trying to push a false narrative (crime is out of control) & using that narrative to try & take away firearms from rural areas (and everyone else for that matter) so the next time their lunatics riot (defunding the police or instituting a Ferguson Effect is also part of the Democrat #INSURRECTION) there is nobody around to stop them.
Letting lunatics loose from prison is also a Democrat priority – it is imperative that citizens be able to defend themselves from lunatics before the police arrive to whisk them away to the County Hilton.
The other reason an idiot might say, “Uh duh, we are not safe anywhere” is because they watch MSLSD or the local news too much & they’re a malleable idiot.
In any given year over half of counties (this has closed a bit in the last few years) in these United States have zero homicides & >2/3 of counties in these United States have fewer than two homicides.
The fact remains: The most dangerous counties & cities in America can be drilled down to 10% of the remaining counties (after omitting all those w/ fewer than two homicides), it’s not “everywhere.”
As John Lott did, the most dangerous counties usually have just one city that is doing most of the damage & you can narrow that down to a few districts or neighborhoods in that city. It’s not “everywhere.” I know this essay completely demolishes that talking point.
Missouri, Tennessee, Illinois & Delaware have high homicide rates, but it’s a few cities in those states perpetrating most of the violence, in >90% of the counties in those states you are as safe as a baby in its mother’s arms.
Yes, lightning can strike anywhere once, but how about year after year after year (Kansas City, Chicago, Baltimore, Wilmington, Detroit, Houston, Flint, Gary, Newark, Memphis, St. Louis, Jackson, Birmingham, Petersburg, Richmond, Compton, Albuquerque, Atlanta, Buffalo, Rochester) & over & over again?
It’s not uber-white rural counties won overwhelmingly by Donald Trump all over this great nation causing the (Democrat) crime wave.
If you find this information above worthy, pass it on & vote the Democrat bums out! Mr. Chairman, I Yield Back!
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