Opinion of the most famous (Belo)russian doomster, who is often correct:

"Opinion of the most famous (Belo)russian doomster, who is often correct:

https://t.me/bulbe_de_trones/2587"

"The war was supposed to start in April-May 2021. But I did not believe in it, and therefore limited myself to a small hint on the old channel.

It was postponed for 9 months for the sake of the Putin-Biden summit. The time gained allowed the West to saturate the Armed Forces of Ukraine with anti-tank weapons, as well as to complete the formation of the air defense system and the troops of the territorial defense. But this is not even the worst: after the delay, a key component of the original plan disappeared: a joint grouping of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus from Brest should have attacked Western Ukraine and cut off Ukraine from Western military assistance. Whether the treacherous agreements between Putin and Biden played here, or whether Lukashenko bucked up, or was neutralized as a result of Operation Alicia by French intelligence, is not known for certain.

The West left Kyiv, withdrew the embassies, betting on inertia for this cutting blow, which did not happen. But instead, after the failure of the first stage of the SMO, the Russian Federation unexpectedly gave security guarantees to Western military aid flows and the Western presence in Kyiv. Embassies and Western politicians returned to Kyiv. It was then that HIMARS, M777 started to come. After the Istanbul guarantees from representatives of the Russian Federation.

At the beginning of the war, I counted on victory based on two assumptions: the elimination of the Ukrainian leadership and a strike cutting Ukraine off from Western assistance. Because the exact opposite happened, I don’t understand what the pro-Kremlin folks are counting on. In this obviously defeatist configuration of the war, absolutely everyone mobilized will be killed or incapacitated. No matter how many there are: 300k or 3 million.

In addition, the inconsistency of the actions of the Russian Federation is striking. Iranian drones in the sixth month of the war, mobilization in the seventh, sluggish attacks on energy infrastructure in the eighth, dubious plans for a joint grouping with the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the ninth ..

All actions are uncoordinated and are late not even for half a year, but sometimes for 9-12 months. Iranian drones had to be purchased years before the war. Mobilization should have been carried out months before the war. Bombing of power plants and administrative buildings for weeks should have taken place from the first days of the war. Instead, all useful actions are delayed until they are completely useless and are merely reactions to major military defeats.

Moreover, even belated beneficial actions are carried out only partially, in form of half-measures, and also spaced as much as possible in time so that a synergistic effect does not occur. For example, in the case of a non-mobilized Ukrainian state, in the first days of the war, the removal of energy infrastructure with the help of the cruise missiles would have dealt a crushing blow to morale and coordination of efforts, but in the eighth month of the war they did not affect the combat capability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The rejection of a cutting strike against Western Ukraine, the rejection of the liquidation of the leadership of Ukraine and the implementation of Istanbul agreements are the cause of the death (disposal) of tens of thousands of Russian soldiers.

The Putin administration and the power structures of the Russian Federation are the most treacherous and complete agents of the global elite in world history, and this war will be the beginning of the end of the Russian Federation."