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The Coming Belarus Affair
Gleb Bazov: Without commentary, a sampling of the increasing number of posts from across the Russian Telegram sphere about the joint Russian-Belarusian military grouping in the process of formation
from @Romanov_92:
1) The Russian Army is starting an offensive match. Northern direction. Very soon. Less than two weeks. The exact date and area will be published exclusively on my channel a little later.
2) The transfer of military units to Belorussia has begun. The counter-terrorist operation in Belarus will be carried over to the Kiev direction as well. Less than two weeks to go.
3) Nikolayev region: The Ukrainian Armed Forces report from the ground that they have begun to redeploy forces from the Nikolayev region to the border with Belarus.
from @Politjoystic:
Russia-Belarus Union State. The real unification has begun. Joint military groups are a pre-emptive measure. And also to stretch the front. Kiev is a stone’s throw from the northern Ukrainian border.
from Belarus:
Belarusian General Staff: Minsk and Moscow will be based on the peacetime military forces of the Belarusian army and separate military formations of the Russian Federation.
from Vladislav Ugolny (@Zola_of_Renovation):
[In response to @Romanov_92:] Can someone please explain to me, a fool, what is the point of making another raid on Kiev? I can't see it at all.
Why this probability is being hyped up in the media is clear—we need the Ukrainians to deploy as many forces as possible to the defence of Kiev, so that a bunch of AFU troops stand across the border from Belarus and twiddle their thumbs. But I don't see the point of the actual crossing of the border here. Please explain, your version will then become more convincing.
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