On the probable offensive of the Ukrainian armed forces in the Zaporozhye direction

2 years ago
482

[Forwarded from SLG OSINT Unit]
On the probable offensive of the Ukrainian armed forces in the Zaporozhye direction

Earlier we wrote that Ukrainian formations are preparing for an offensive in the Zaporozhye direction. According to the characteristic signs, we assume that the preparation is close to completion.

🔻 What is the AFU's plan?

▪️The use of mobile groups

Since October 3rd, Ukrainian DRGs (Diversionary Reconnaissance Groups) of up to 20 men have been conducting daily reconnaissance operations in the areas of Mirnoye and Pologi settlements, and before that in Gulyai Pole. The groups consist of foreign mercenaries, mainly Poles.

Their main task is to cut in and gain a foothold by exploiting gaps in the Russian Armed Forces' fighting lines.

▪️ Massive artillery attacks

DRG activities are accompanied by massive artillery and MLRS fire. Ukrainian troops are firing indiscriminately at Russian positions almost non-stop.

Over the course of September, more than 20 Western-made barreled and self-propelled artillery pieces were transferred to the Gulyai Pole and Orekhov sites.

The main purpose of the first two sites is to probe the most vulnerable points in the Russian Armed Forces' defences and wear out the Russian contingent due to constant attacks and strikes mainly at night.

▪️Concentration of armoured vehicles at the main strike sites

Simultaneously with the actions of the assault groups, the AFU is moving a large number of armoured vehicles in the direction of the main strike to cut into the Russian Armed Forces' defence.

Just today a column of military equipment, including six tanks, arrived at the Stepnogorsk-Orekhov line. At the same time, Ukrainian SAM systems have been moved to the southern outskirts of Zaporozhye to cover ground forces, and mobile MANPADS firing teams are operating on the line of contact.

▪️Masking the main direction

And the most important thing for the AFU is to ensure the secrecy of the activities carried out. To this end, the Ukrainian command conducts deliberate disinformation through both open and closed sources.

Only recently, we wrote about the fact that in a radio exchange the units of the 66th AFU detachment deliberately reported the withdrawal of the unit from the direction due to allegedly heavy losses in manpower and equipment in the hope of an offensive by Russian troops.

In order to mislead the Russian command, the AFU conducted a demonstrative redeployment of forces in false directions, forcing the RF Armed Forces to redeploy units to hold the line.

https://t.me/SLG_MAPS/243

Source: @Rybar https://t.me/rybar/39836

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@Slavyangrad / SLG OSINT Unit (Giuliano & Maqi)
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