High concern for significant hurricane hit in Florida from strengthening Tropical Storm Ian #shorts

High concern for significant hurricane hit in Florida from strengthening Tropical Storm Ian
Between today and Monday, the storm will be moving across the Caribbean toward western Cuba. The environmental pattern will steadily become more conducive for the system to organize and strengthen today, but Sunday and Monday pattern is forecast to be extremely supportive of hurricane development.
Tropical Storm Ian formed out of the disturbance we have been following in the Caribbean Sea. Between today and Monday, the storm will be moving across the Caribbean toward western Cuba. The environmental pattern will steadily become more conducive for the system to organize and strengthen today, but Sunday and Monday pattern is forecast to be extremely supportive of hurricane development.

Ian should miss Jamaica to the south, but people in the Cayman Islands should be ready for Ian to be a hurricane when it passes over or near the islands.

There are two key pieces of the atmospheric puzzle that the computer forecast models – which are really simulations of the atmosphere – have to predict. Where and how strong is the storm going to be Sunday into Monday? And how strong is the dip in the jet stream going to be that will try to scoop it up, to one degree or the other?

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