the second statement is only true if she does both of these things

Look at the options again.How do we know the first statement is more likely to be true?Because it a less specific version of the second statement.Saying that Lucy is a portrait artist doesn make any claims about what else she might or might not do.But even though it far easier to imagine her playing poker than making art based on the background information,the second statement is only true if she does both of these things.However counterintuitive it seems to imagine Lucy as an artist,the second scenario adds another condition on top of that, making it less likely.