US could lose up to 900 warplanes fighting a Chinese invasion of Taiwan but would emerge victorious

2 years ago
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A think tank ran war game analyses for a conflict between the US and China over Taiwan.

One of the analysts told Insider the US and Taiwan would likely succeed in beating back a Chinese invasion.

However, both sides would likely suffer devastating losses. Up to 900 US warplanes could be destroyed.

The US and Taiwan would likely be able to fend off a Chinese invasion, but it would come with heavy losses on both sides, a think tank analysis finds.

The Washington-based think tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, has been conducting war games to imagine how such a conflict would play out.

"The good news is that at the end of all the iterations so far, there is an autonomous Taiwan," Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told Insider.

"The United States and Taiwan are generally successful in keeping the island out of Chinese occupation, but the price of that is very high – losses of hundreds of aircraft, aircraft carriers, and terrible devastation to the Taiwanese economy and also to the Chinese navy and air force."

In one of the more pessimistic scenarios, 900 American fighter and attack aircraft would be lost in four weeks, equivalent to half of the US Air Force and Navy's combat planes, according to The Times of London.

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